Clinton Will Crush Sanders in South Carolina, But It's Only the Beginning

[MrWendel]

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/26/1491949/-Clinton-Will-Crush-Sanders-in-South-Carolina-But-It-s-Only-the-Beginning

By Scan



We already know that Bernie Sanders has thrown in the towel in South Carolina, and the latest poll reminds us why:

https://t.co/wHnCN5nSNu

Yeah, that's pretty nuts. A 75%-25% Clinton victory there would be staggering, but let's not go overboard. Something like a 65%-35% win is far more likely, and none of her supporters should complain about that. Whatever the case, get ready to party.

But you don't need to take my word for it. Here's what Nate Silver, America's greatest political statistician, has to say about it over at FiveThirtyEight.com:

Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the South Carolina primary.

But that's not all. Not even close.

(More in link)

[LuvLoogie]

1. I think there will need to be better turnout than the first 3 states to get over 60%.

Not an educated analysis, just a hunch. Plus I think she will need to significantly eat into or erase, Bernie's popular vote lead.

I don't think the MSM will let her get away with anything less than that. I want her to exceed expetations in SC. But mostly I wan't a solid win. For me that's 15%

[Treant]

2. My "walkin' around" prediction

is Clinton +22 tomorrow (a stunning victory, and a blowout, but not the galactic-level thrashing that +30 to +50 would be).

I'd be happy to be wrong.

[Lucinda]

3. Thanks much!

I'm expecting a very good day tomorrow!