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Treant

(1,968 posts)
Wed Feb 17, 2016, 07:04 PM Feb 2016

Sanders' Nomination Path (Hillary Clinton Group)

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanderss-path-to-the-nomination/

This is an interesting article, but one that I feel has several weaknesses (and an article that doesn't enamor me to Silver's supposed skill).

It ignores the differences between open and closed caucuses/primaries for the most part, and very much ignores the idea that shifting states by arbitrary and equal amounts don't directly reflect the national polling.

Still, it's interesting. Right now, it would seem that Clinton is polling about +7 nationally by this chart.
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