Iowa poll: Hillary Clinton 51%..Bernie Sanders 43%

[workinclasszero]

Iowa poll: Hillary Clinton 51%..Bernie Sanders 43%

BREAKING #iacaucus poll results: Democratic Top 3: @HillaryClinton: 51% @BernieSanders: 43% @MartinOMalley: 4% #EmersonPoll
9:31 PM - 31 Jan 2016

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/694030260841619456

[Cha]

1. No way.. but happened to the

"3%" difference?

[yallerdawg]

10. What they keep tellling us is a statistical tie...

can also be seen as a 4 point swing in the other directions, plus 4 for Hillary, minus 4 for Sanders.

That turns the 3 point difference into 11 points - and not a tie at all!

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. K&R!

[BainsBane]

3. This is going to be a close race

It's important not to take anything but granted. Hillary definitely isn't. If you can manage it, contact your local Clinton campaign office to see if there is anything you can do to help, like make calls to Iowa.
It all comes down to turnout, which means getting our supporters to their caucus sites. The blizzard isn't expected to hit until after midnight, so they should be able to go and return from the caucus safely.

[workinclasszero]

5. I have no idea how reliable this polling outfit is

I just ran across this on the internets and brought it here.
Take nothing for granted Hillary folks.
GOTV like there's no tomorrow if you are in a position to do so!

[workinclasszero]

4. I took off the date Feb 1st. The tweet is dated January 31

[Treant]

6. It would be nice!

But it seems rather unlikely. My personal guess is still Hillary +2, Trump +5, but neither a slight Sanders nor a slight Cruz win would surprise me.

It all comes down to turnout...

[gyroscope]

7. Garbage

I think I'll go with the DMR gold standard poll of polls, which this one wildly diverts from.

[Cha]

8. you do what you want but take your "garbage" remark outside.

[pandr32]

9. She has the support

...and now it is up to actual turnout. A blizzard expected...yikes!

[asuhornets]

11. I agree with this poll..

Hillary will be in the 50 percentile.