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Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:53 PM

Hillary up by 3 pts in final Iowa poll

Last edited Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:25 PM - Edit history (1)

Greg Dworkin ‏@DemFromCT 1m1 minute ago
“Most of the ways you look at it, she’s stronger than the three-point race would suggest,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer.

This is supposed to be the gold standard of Iowa caucus polls

80% said it's time for a woman president. She is stronger with women than Sanders is with youth voters

Jennifer Jacobs ‏@JenniferJJacobs 6m6 minutes ago
Clinton's support is more solid than Sanders', and her advantage with women overrides his advantage with youth voters, Iowa Poll shows.

Here's the write up from Bloomberg-

Only one in three likely Democratic voters in the survey are first-time caucus-goers, who break decidedly toward Sanders. That compares with 60 percent in the final pre-caucus survey of 2008, when a wave of young voters and new participants helped Barack Obama overpower Clinton in Iowa.

In addition, the survey finds Clinton’s support is deeper and sturdier than Sanders’ across many areas, with 53 percent saying they'd be very enthusiastic with her as the party's nominee. Most tellingly, 83 percent of her voters say their minds are made up to support Clinton.

“Most of the ways you look at it, she’s stronger than the three-point race would suggest,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer.

Roxanne Caldwell Fee, 74, a retired teacher from Knoxville, said she was “very proud” that America elected an African-American man as president in 2008, "but now I want to have a woman in there." Four in five surveyed say it's time for a woman president.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-01-30/bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-democrats


17 replies, 1051 views

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Arrow 17 replies Author Time Post
Reply Hillary up by 3 pts in final Iowa poll (Original post)
Rose Siding Jan 2016 OP
Iliyah Jan 2016 #1
Bleacher Creature Jan 2016 #2
Metric System Jan 2016 #3
lunamagica Jan 2016 #4
workinclasszero Jan 2016 #5
Rose Siding Jan 2016 #7
workinclasszero Jan 2016 #8
Rose Siding Jan 2016 #6
FloridaBlues Jan 2016 #9
romana Jan 2016 #10
Rose Siding Jan 2016 #12
Laurian Jan 2016 #11
Cha Jan 2016 #17
Kath1 Jan 2016 #13
Rose Siding Jan 2016 #14
Kath1 Jan 2016 #15
stonecutter357 Jan 2016 #16

Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:54 PM

1. YES!

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:57 PM

2. The comments are actually better than the numbers!

Looking really good, but she can't let up one bit.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:59 PM

3. I hope I'm as happy Monday night as I am right now!!! The women vs youth voters has me excited,

and makes the #WeWillNotBeErased hashtag all the more powerful.

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 06:59 PM

4. K&R. Go Hillary!

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:03 PM

5. YES!!!

 

Go Hillary!

Now all those great Hillary Clinton workers in Iowa have to bring home the victory Monday night.

GOTV YALL!

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Response to workinclasszero (Reply #5)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:07 PM

7. She's up in the last 5 polls


This one- DMR HRC +3
PPP HRC +8
Gravis HRC+11
Monmouth HRC +5
Marist HRC +3

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Response to Rose Siding (Reply #7)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:13 PM

8. Wow Iowa is surging for Hillary!

 

This needs to get posted out in general discussion primaries!

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:04 PM

6. 83% of Clinton supporters have made up their minds vs....

Mark MurrayVerified account
‏@mmurraypolitics
Why Clinton's lead *could* be bigger than DMR poll shows:

83% of Clinton supporters have made up their minds vs. 69% for Sanders

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Response to Rose Siding (Reply #6)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:23 PM

9. Yes that's interesting 83% vs 69% who have made up their minds!!

I hope the O'Malley people don't get to harassed to join the BS group. Not sure about the caucus if that's controlled or not.

Love all the recent polling
I'd rather be Hillary than Bern at this point.
Still say she will win by a higher margin

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Response to FloridaBlues (Reply #9)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:24 PM

10. Need to check

But I think the poll showed they were evenly split on their second choice.

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Response to romana (Reply #10)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:29 PM

12. The Bloomberg link added to the op has some more deets

I read that MOM supporters were breaking even but maybe not in there

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:29 PM

11. I saw Tom Harkin say Hillary would win because she

has strong support statewide while Sanders' support is concentrated in smaller areas. Tom knows Iowa.

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Response to Laurian (Reply #11)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 12:43 AM

17. To Senator Tom Harkin, Laurian!

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:38 PM

13. Excellent news!

Go Hillary!

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Response to Kath1 (Reply #13)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:44 PM

14. Wanna see the enthusiasm number?



Is that just wild? And FUN?

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Response to Rose Siding (Reply #14)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:48 PM

15. Even MORE excellent news!

Thank you, Rose Siding!

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Response to Rose Siding (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 07:52 PM

16. K&R!

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