9:45pm EST: NYTimes' live model currently predicts...

[Chichiri]

...about 137 delegates for Hillary, 110 for Bernie.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/19/upshot/live-model-estimating-new-york-democratic-primary-delegates.html?_r=0

[metroins]

1. I wish it were higher

But that's a pretty decent pickup.

I think at 25 delegates in NY, Bernie needs to win like 70% of all remaining delegates to win.

I think I heard that yesterday, but I might be wrong.

[spooky3]

2. He's going to be in a bigger hole once MD votes.

[LiberalFighter]

3. The Green Papers has Sanders only with 104

[IamMab]

4. From 538 just now:

If you want an idea of why the exit polls were off on the Democratic side, look no further than the 15th district. The 15th, which is the most Hispanic in the state, is favoring Clinton by over 40 percentage points. The exit poll had Clinton winning Hispanics statewide by 18 percentage points.

[sweetloukillbot]

5. That seems awfully close for a 20 point split

Of course the race will likely tighten, but as it stands now, that doesn't sound remotely close to correct.