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Sun Oct 20, 2019, 07:11 PM

Republican held US Senate seats Democrats are going to win in 2020.

CO(Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D)47D
AZ special(McSally-R vs Kelly-D)48D
NC(Tillis-R vs Cunningham-D/Smith-D)49D
KY(McConnell-R vs McGrath-D)50D
KS(Kobach-R vs Bollier-D)51D
GA(Perdue-R vs Ossoff-D/Tomlinson-D) 53D
IA(Ernst-R vs Greenfield-D/Franken-D) 54D
ME(Collins-R vs Gideon-D)55D
MS(Hyde Smith-R vs Espy-D)56D
SC(Graham-R vs Harrison-D)57D
TX(Cornyn-R vs Hegar-D)58D

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Reply Republican held US Senate seats Democrats are going to win in 2020. (Original post)
nkpolitics1212 Oct 20 OP
Polybius Oct 20 #1
nkpolitics1212 Oct 20 #2
Polybius Oct 21 #3

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 07:19 PM

1. Please be realistic

We are not winning all of them. Mississippi? Come on. And we are losing Alabama, so take that into account.

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Response to Polybius (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 08:09 PM

2. Trump's 2016 margin of victory in AL was 10 percent greater than his 2016 margin of victory in MS.

Espy-D lost to Hyde Smith-R in the 2018 special election runnoff which took place in Nov. 27th, 2018 by a 7 percent margin.
Jones-D only won because the Republicans nominated Moore-R.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 21, 2019, 08:39 AM

3. The special election had low turnout

With Trump on the ticket in 2020, more Republicans will vote in Mississippi in 2020, so I'd bet it's 10 points this time.

Yes that's true, the only reason. Hopefully Moore gets the nomination again.

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