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Sat Jan 13, 2018, 04:19 PM

Connelly: Rep. McMorris Rodgers 'no longer safe' -- Cook Political Report

The report downgraded GOP Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers from "Solid Republican" to "Likely Republican."

How likely is open to conjecture back in this Washington. Last Saturday, 439 people showed up in Spokane at a volunteers training session for Democratic challenger, former State Senate Majority Leader Lisa Brown.

Brown will hold a workshop for volunteers Sunday afternoon in Walla Walla, at the other end of the district.

"Eastern Washington is not normally a place you'd expect a competitive House rate, but in this political climate problems for Republicans are popping up in surprising places," David Wasserman, House editor of the Cook Political report, wrote.

"House GOP Conference Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the only female member of the House GOP leadership elite since 2012, has been a high profile supporter of the party's legislative agenda. But as that agenda's popularity has faded, so has her political security back home."

http://www.seattlepi.com/local/politics/article/Connelly-Rep-McMorris-Rodgers-no-longer-safe-12495126.php?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=dailynewsletterspi&utm_term=spi

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Reply Connelly: Rep. McMorris Rodgers 'no longer safe' -- Cook Political Report (Original post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jan 2018 OP
cilla4progress Jan 2018 #1
Wounded Bear Jan 2018 #2
KT2000 Jan 2018 #4
Wounded Bear Jan 2018 #9
irisblue Jan 2018 #3
Johnyawl Jan 2018 #5
grantcart Jan 2018 #6
Wounded Bear Jan 2018 #10
Johnyawl Jan 2018 #12
Wounded Bear Jan 2018 #13
Johnyawl Jan 2018 #14
grantcart Jan 2018 #7
firstwife Jan 2018 #8
grantcart Jan 2018 #11
Fla Dem Jan 2018 #15

Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 04:25 PM

1. Great news!This is my area, e. Washington

Very conservative.

With redistricting, our Rep. Is GOPPER Dave Reichert, from the Isaquah area. He's not an extreme rightie, but I'm glad he's retiring nonetheless. Dr. Kim Schrier has my interest, of all the Dem aspirants.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 05:26 PM

2. Perhaps some folks are remembering Tom Foley...

Former Speaker of the House who was blitzed by the Repubs using national money.

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #2)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 06:39 PM

4. won't ever forget that

they voted out the Speaker of the House for nothing. That was just stupid. Shows how powerful money can be.

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Response to KT2000 (Reply #4)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 09:42 PM

9. It was a test case IMNSHO...

They did it because they could. It was one of the first times that kind of national money and influence was fed into a local race like that.

They did it to Daschle, too.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 06:27 PM

3. So Washingtonians...who is the best bet to beat her?

And a link if you can please. Thanks in advance.

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Response to irisblue (Reply #3)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 06:50 PM

5. former State Senate Majority Leader Lisa Brown.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisa_Brown_(Washington_politician)

I don't know if any other Dems are running.

I live in Dave Reichert's district and thankfully he's retiring. There's 7 Dems filed to run for his seat, at least 4 of them damn good candidates.


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Response to Johnyawl (Reply #5)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 07:07 PM

6. Brown will be the nominee

Even Republicans had good things to say about her.

I heard Republicans saying that they don't like McMorris Rogers, but I couldn't get a handle on why.

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Response to grantcart (Reply #6)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 09:44 PM

10. Pretty sure she's a Tea Partier IIRC..

They're kind of falling out of favor, and Trumpism isn't carrying the same weight, long term.

This district and 8 (with Reichert retiring) are two seats I'd love for our state to flip.

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #10)

Sun Jan 14, 2018, 01:33 AM

12. I'd like to flip Jaime Herrera Beutler...


...our of that seat in Vancouver too. That has always been a purple swing district, it's about time it swung back to a democrat.

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Response to Johnyawl (Reply #12)

Sun Jan 14, 2018, 02:26 AM

13. If we hold all of our blue seats and flip 3 red ones...

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #13)

Sun Jan 14, 2018, 12:54 PM

14. If WA can flip 3 red seats...

...and CA can flip the 9 red districts they're favored to...the left coast will provide 1/3 of the seats we need to take the House.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 07:29 PM

7. I just returned from 3 weeks in Lincoln and Spokane Counties

1) Someone who I am very close to for 5 decades and who has never voted for a Democrat said "If the Democrats don't win in a landslide then the country is finished". He is a devout Catholic and is very concerned about abortion. We have a "no politics" agreement which I thought was to avoid conflict with him. It turns out his wife "has gone over to the dark side" and watches Fox News. He is a traditional Republican with advanced degrees and absolutely despises Trump.

2) In Eastern WA you have to feel around about politics and don't deal with it directly but once you know its a friendly you can let your guard down. Everybody I met was either enthusiastically Democratic, quiet but absolutely no trump, or quiet for Trump. No one was saying that they are for Trump in the open. The closest RW response I got is "Obama was bad, etc". No one wanted to publicly support Trump.

3) I was shocked that people openly speculated that McMorris-Rogers (I personally knew her father in law who was Mayor of Spokane and was a Rockefeller Republican and would have hated Ryan and Trump) was finished.

4) Everybody had positive things to say about the likely Democratic challenger Dr. Brown who besides winning with 65% for her Senate seat in Spokane became the administrator of a very popular WSU Medical school in Spokane.

The bottom line is that there are no undecideds. The most common response I have heard from non DUers all over the country is "I don't want to talk about it any more, lets just get this guy out of here". Trump has committed the worst political sin, he has become boring.

Everyone falls into one of 4 categories:

1) Enthusiastic Democrat
2) Enthusiastic Trump Hater (both Democrats and Republicans)
3) Borderline Republican supporter who may or may not vote
4) Trump defender

The only unknown, IMHO, is how many number 3 voters are going to stay home.

I haven't found anybody that is truly undecided at this point.

A blue wave is already there, most people including most Democrats, are already fed up with it and can't wait for the next election cycle to be over.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 07:41 PM

8. This is encouraging news

to this eastern Washington Democrat. I live in a very red part of a blue state. Looking forward to seeing a Democrat elected in place of McMorris-Rodgers. We are a small, but steadily growing contingency of dedicated people who want to break the R hold on this side of the state. I was contacted by the Central WA State Democratic liaison, who asked to meet with me to discuss involvement in the upcoming election run up. We will be meeting next week. Our Congressional lap dog is Dan Newhouse. He is being challenged by Christine Brown, a political newcomer looking to unseat him. Remember that name! She would be an excellent choice to unseat Newhouse, and I intend to support and work in her campaign. #resist

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Response to firstwife (Reply #8)

Sat Jan 13, 2018, 10:43 PM

11. welcome to DU

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Response to firstwife (Reply #8)

Tue Jan 16, 2018, 03:29 PM

15. Welcome to DU and Thank you for your activism.

It s only by taking back congress AND local and state positions that we'll break the stranglehold the RW has on our Democracy. Keep us posted on your efforts.

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