'The virus will last longer than expected': UW researchers model neighborhood COVID-19 peaks

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

While the first-known case of COVID-19 was located in Snohomish County back in January, the infection has not spread through the Emerald City's neighborhoods evenly, according to new research from the University of Washington.

Disease modeling experts from the University of Washington and the University of California Irvine created new projection to show how the novel coronavirus spreads through a community using factors such as demographics and network exposure — whom one interacts with — to simulate the diffusion in Seattle.

And their findings show that COVID-19 may be here for a lot longer than we think, and reach different peaks in different neighborhoods at vastly different times.

Accounting for social and geographic connections, the research found that peaks can vary vastly even within one city. Denser neighborhoods, such as Capitol Hill and the University District, reached their peak faster in close to 83 days.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/the-virus-will-last-longer-than-expected-uw-researchers-model-neighborhood-covid-19-peaks/ar-BB1ayqYf?ocid=hplocalnews

[Newest Reality]

1. Longer than expected?

My impression is that this virus may be around for a decade in some form and maybe even for the rest of our lives.

If it keeps spreading like it is, that offers more opportunities for it to mutate, (which it looks like it has already done). That would be yet another good reason to contain and control it, of course.

Corona is the same kind of virus that causes the common cold. We don't have a vaccine or a cure because it mutates a lot, but is not very lethal and more of a bother than anything else.

We can count on COVID-19, now that it is in the wild and roaming free, to mutate enough that we could be developing new vaccines for the variants often over the years.

The common cold does not go away.

[regnaD kciN]

2. "Corona is the same kind of virus that causes the common cold."

Not quite. Some colds are coronaviruses, others are rhinoviruses.