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TexasTowelie

(112,069 posts)
Wed Apr 23, 2014, 05:11 PM Apr 2014

David Dewhurst Going Out with a Whimper, Not a Bang

David Dewhurst is Texas’ second-longest serving lt. governor. He’s shaped the state like few other public officials in modern history. But though he’s wielded an enormous amount of power for a remarkably long time, for the last several years he’s been in a constant state of free fall. The beginning of the end was his humiliating loss to Ted Cruz in 2012, which quashed his hopes to move up through the political ranks. Then there were the indignities of the 2013 legislative session, where he was pushed to take up a special-session abortion fight that was never a Dewhurst priority, then got slammed for its failure. His re-election campaign this year has seen embarrassing scandals alternate with groveling before tea party groups. Indignities piled upon each other, weighing down a candidate who never seemed to have a lot of political acumen even when times were good. (This is a guy who once included a Luftwaffe pilot in a post-9/11 ad celebrating the American armed forces.)

But we might have finally arrived at the last chapter. After a lopsided primary loss, he’s stuck in a runoff with state Sen. Dan Patrick and is unlikely to win. Would Dewhurst finish his political career standing up, using the time to burnish a tarnished legacy that seemed to be slipping away from him? Or would he write himself a huge check and go nuclear, doing as much damage to Patrick as he could?

Dewhurst seems to be pursuing the latter path, with a blitz of negative TV ads across the state that might have cost as much as $1 million, and an attack site—realdanpatrick.com—that seems to mimic Patrick’s own sites from earlier in the primary. But it’s an odd push, in part because it seems like it’s too little, too late. It follows a month of apparent dysfunction in the Dewhurst campaign—several high-level campaign aides jumped ship two weeks ago. (One wonders if the operatives didn’t want to be affiliated with the push to go negative on Patrick, the likely victor and a potential future leader in the state GOP.)

The ad blitz, which focuses on Patrick’s bankruptcy and past business practices, began late last week, which leaves the Dewhurst camp a little over a month to get the message out before the May 27 runoff. But the issue of Patrick’s past debts—he walked away from more than $800,000 when he declared bankruptcy—are not new to primary voters. The issue has been raised repeatedly, including during January’s televised debate. The ad claims that Patrick changed his name from Danny Goeb to escape debts: In reality, Patrick had used the name since 1978, long before his bankruptcy. PolitiFact rated the claim “pants on fire.”



More at http://www.texasobserver.org/david-dewhurst-whimper-not-bang/ .

[font color=green]As the Texas Observer noted, "Dewhurst also experienced a 1980s bankruptcy and also never paid off unsecured creditors, Patrick’s campaign notes. It highlights Dewhurst’s recent failure to pay more than $1 million in debts to his 2012 U.S. Senate campaign’s vendors. That was an event related to a longtime Dewhurst aide’s alleged embezzlement of campaign funds."

It's amazing that Republicans that maintain that people should assume "personal responsibility" are some the most prominent deadbeats around. I'm thinking of US Rep. Bill Flores, who ran Phoenix Exploration Company (an oil & natural gas company) that saddled the federal government with over $7 million in debt.[/font]
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David Dewhurst Going Out with a Whimper, Not a Bang (Original Post) TexasTowelie Apr 2014 OP
I like the bankruptcy ad Gothmog Apr 2014 #1
Patrick vs Leticia is the real litmus test of 2014 Rstrstx Apr 2014 #2

Gothmog

(145,060 posts)
1. I like the bankruptcy ad
Wed Apr 23, 2014, 05:21 PM
Apr 2014

In Texas business circles, the norm used to be that it was okay to file bankruptcy but if you later became solvent you paid back your debts as part of a moral code of honor. I know some clients who did this (maybe good business people went into bankruptcy in the 1980s during the oil and real estate crashes).

Dan Patrick does not recognize this code of honor in part because he is a scumbag and has no honor. Dewhurst's commercial will hurt Patrick with GOP business types but Patrick's base is the tea party and the teabaggers do not care about honor or code of ethics. Dewhurst was probably going to get the business vote in the GOP primary but that will probably not be enough to keep Patrick from winning.

Many Democrats are happy to see Patrick win because Leticia should be able to beat Patrick. Here is a good analysis from a Houston Chronicle blogger who is knowledgeable about Texas politics. http://blog.chron.com/kuffsworld/2014/03/no-love-for-dan/

We saw a great example of it in 2010. Bill White received over 387,000 more votes than Democratic Lt. Governor candidate Linda Chavez-Thompson, while Rick Perry collected over 311,000 fewer votes than David Dewhurst. That’s nearly a 700,000 vote swing towards White. People often don’t realize how big the swing was towards White because the Republican tidal wave of 2010 was too big for it to matter, but in a more normal year, 700,000 votes is more than enough to make a difference.

Consider this scenario: Turnout in November is 4.9 million voters – a bit less than 2010, but more than any other off year. The average statewide Republican wins with a 57-43 margin, which I think we can agree is healthy enough to invite plenty of post-electoral scoffing at Battleground Texas and any thought of a blue state in the foreseeable future. Well, in this scenario a Bill White-sized swing is just about what it would take to tip an election, since the average vote tally would be 2.8 million to 2.1 million. If there’s any Republican candidate capable of inspiring that kind of disloyalty among his fellow Republicans, it’s Dan Patrick.

Patrick is going to be easier to beat compared to Dewhurst.

Rstrstx

(1,399 posts)
2. Patrick vs Leticia is the real litmus test of 2014
Thu Apr 24, 2014, 01:32 AM
Apr 2014

For some reason Wendy's campaign just hasn't taken off like I was hoping it would; she should be taking advantage of Greg's miscues left and right and I'm not hearing about it. I suspect it's a question of money, I think we were expecting (or hoping for) the big out-of-state checks and support to start rolling in for her but unless I've missed something I'm not seeing it. It leads me to believe the powers that be at the national level don't think she has a legitimate chance.

Now Leticia on the other hand will be up against a verifiable goofball. I also think she's quicker on her feet than Wendy (or most other TX politicians for that matter) and knows how to play hard politics and won't hesitate to go for the jugular when it comes to painting Patrick as a nutcase or take advantage of any missteps. So even if the big bucks from up high don't pour down on her I think she might have a chance with a decent amount of in-state help. The voter ID law may be a factor here. It may also depend on how far the Republican party will go to supporting Patrick; he'll undoubtedly be popular with their tin-foil hat base but is he the kind of candidate the establishment will want to go pulling out all the stops for? He's not P.

I wonder if Dewhurst would have the balls to turn around and run as an independent? Nah, silly thought, the Democrats don't like him and evidently Republicans don't either. Plus it's not easy to do; the only politician who could have possibly pulled that off would have been Kay Bailey four years ago.

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