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OrlandoDem2

(2,134 posts)
Sun Oct 28, 2018, 09:34 PM Oct 2018

2 new polls show Gillum in the lead. NY Times poll has him up by 5!

CBS has him up by 1.

A NYTimes/Siena poll released Sunday had good news for Democrat Andrew Gillum and bad news for Republican Ron DeSantis.

Gillum had a five point lead (48-43 percent), and he led in every turnout scenario except for one: an electorate that looked like 2014.

http://floridapolitics.com/archives/279199-ny-times-poll-gillum-desantis

We need Gillum voters to also vote for Bill Nelson! And vote Democrat down the ballot!

And for the record, polls don’t vote. People vote! GOTV!!

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2 new polls show Gillum in the lead. NY Times poll has him up by 5! (Original Post) OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 OP
I do not care what polls say DonCoquixote Oct 2018 #1
Wherever we win governorships, we need to put in election change that will Baitball Blogger Oct 2018 #2
yes, governorships are important. GOP has controlled majority and made it difficult 4 dems to win Demovictory9 Oct 2018 #3
The polls have tightened up. Please fl vote . FloridaBlues Oct 2018 #4
Lopsided polls in Florida statewide races make no sense to begin with Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #5

DonCoquixote

(13,627 posts)
1. I do not care what polls say
Sun Oct 28, 2018, 10:20 PM
Oct 2018

We are not safe until the GOP stops fighting and cheating to vote. We could win in a landslide, and sure as hell, the GOP will be fighting, just as half of them think the Civil War is still up for grabs.

Baitball Blogger

(47,273 posts)
2. Wherever we win governorships, we need to put in election change that will
Sun Oct 28, 2018, 10:52 PM
Oct 2018

Last edited Mon Oct 29, 2018, 06:13 AM - Edit history (1)

make it difficult to game the system. Look to the future when Republicans will regain control. Make sure all the Dem counties have up to date election machines. In Florida, Republican counties have had the best. Time for us to catch up.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
5. Lopsided polls in Florida statewide races make no sense to begin with
Mon Oct 29, 2018, 10:41 AM
Oct 2018

I have no idea how anyone takes them seriously.

Republicans are incredibly well organized in Florida. I know people don't like to hear it but it happens to be the reality. Check out Marc Caputo's Political Playbook from today. Here are some excerpts:

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/florida-playbook/2018/10/29/26m-have-voted-what-the-electorate-looks-like-miami-man-maga-bomber-lock-him-up-puerto-rico-statehood-and-fla-335050

THE YOUNG PEOPLE WILL ... STAY HOME? — Remember all that talk of how "the young people will win" and come out in force in Florida, especially after the Parkland massacre? So far, it's not happening. Voters between the ages of 18-29 are 17 percent of the registered voters in Florida but have only cast 5 percent of the ballots so far. They tend to vote more Democratic. Meanwhile, voters 65 and older are 18.4 percent of the electorate but have cast 51.4 percent of the ballots. And older voters tend to vote more Republican.

THE WHITES WILL ... VOTE HEAVILY — In looking at votes by race, whites (who also tend to vote more Republican) are crushing it. Non-whites (who vote heavily Democratic) aren't. So far, white people have cast 72.7 percent of the pre-Election Day ballots, even though they're 63.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. African-Americans have cast just 10.4 percent of the ballots, but they're 13.3 percent of the registered Florida voters. Hispanics have cast just 11.7 percent of the ballots, but they're 16.5 percent of the electorate. The black turnout numbers should change after we get statewide numbers from Sunday, the first of two "Souls to the Polls" days for after-church voting. In Jacksonville's Duval County (a GOP-leaning county where a majority of Democrats are black), a strong early vote gave Democrats an edge of 493 votes over Republicans.

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