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Tue Aug 28, 2018, 03:46 AM

One race I will be watching closely from Florida

Florida-18. It's R+5.
The current rep is Mast (R-sucks)
One of the people running against him in the primary is Dave Cummings (Gun Nut). But, Cummings is also extremely pro-environment (for a republican he's practically a tree hugger)

He is concerned about state or federal government not having effectively addressed the toxic algae dumps which have turned the waterways black, killing fish, birds, dozens of manatees, and damaging fragile ecosystems in our estuaries.
"The last dump destroyed the summer tourist season by closing our beaches and harming the economy, yet our current congressman has done nothing to prevent the next incident. " (current congressman being Mast)

According to a few places that have written on Cummings, he seems actually sincere and doesn't see the solution as being drill for oil and wipe out endangered and threatened species.

I think I want him to lose because I think his voters are the ones the Democratic candidate has the best chance of picking up, or at the very least, not voting in the GE for either.
I don't think Mast voters, were he to lose to Cummins, would vote for the Democrat since Mast is more reichwing than Cummins

Thoughts by anyone from Florida on this race

6 replies, 1124 views

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Reply One race I will be watching closely from Florida (Original post)
rpannier Aug 2018 OP
Sancho Aug 2018 #1
rpannier Aug 2018 #4
mitch96 Aug 2018 #5
FM123 Aug 2018 #2
rpannier Aug 2018 #3
Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #6

Response to rpannier (Original post)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 05:26 AM

1. If it's close, the repubs always win here...

I'm convinced they have hacked the machines for years. Until we fix the DREs, the Democrats can't win in FL.

The people have voted repeatedly for amendments on education, environment, and fair districts. The repubs in charge ignore the people's votes. (Not to mention high-speed rail).

Years ago, I registered republican just to get into the primary and then switched back and voted straight Democratic...but the gun nuts are really catching hell here because of all the shootings - so I think that may outweigh the environmental issues.

I'd guess Mast will still win.

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Response to Sancho (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 06:40 AM

4. Thanks

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Response to Sancho (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 08:47 AM

5. "repubs in charge ignore the people's votes."

Don't get me started... They totally disregard what the people want if it upsets big sugar.. The bullet train from Miami to Orlando to Tampa makes so much sense.. BUT the trucking and airline industry got the fix in early... Legal Med MJ??? fine but you can't smoke it... fuck 'em

m

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Response to rpannier (Original post)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 06:04 AM

2. Floridian (Broward County) weighing in....

I think you are right, I don't think the Mast voters would go across to vote for the Democrat.

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Response to FM123 (Reply #2)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 06:40 AM

3. Thanks

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Response to rpannier (Original post)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 01:18 PM

6. Nate Silver has Mast at 93.5% likelihood in general election

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Projected by win by more than 12%. Nothing about the primary. I guess Mast is assumed.

Run cursor over specific district to see projection.

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