My Oscar picks. Please critique.

[TheMightyFavog]

My 2014 Oscar Picks:

Best Picture: Gravity
Best Actor: Christian Bale
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock
Best Sup. Actor: Michael Fassbinder
Best Sup. Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
Best Animated Feature: The Wind Rises (I figure the Academy is going to give Myazaki an epic sendoff.)
Best Cinematography: Gravity
Best Costume Design: American Hustle
Best Directing: Gravity
Best Doc. Feature: Dirty Wars
Best Short Doc: Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall
Best Film Editing: Gravity
Best Foreign Language Film: The Great Beauty
Best Makeup: *sigh* Jackass Presents Bad Grandpa
Best Music: Gravity
Best Original Song: Ordinary Love
Best Production Design: Gravity
Best Animated Short: Mr. Hublot
Best Live Action Short: Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
Best Sound Editing: Gravity
Best Sound Mixing: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Best Visual Effects: Gravity (If Gravity doesn't win, we riot.)
Best Adapted Sreenplay: 12 Years A Slave
Best Original Screenplay: Her

[WolverineDG]

1. I love Gravity

and I hope it wins. However, I have a feeling that "American Hustle" is this year's "The English Patient."

[OmahaBlueDog]

2. Critique

Best Picture: Gravity If it's my ballot, I pick Nebraska (for obvious reasons). Who do I think will win? American Hustle or 12 Years a Slave. Dallas Buyers Club would be my dark horse pick here.
Best Actor: Christian Bale I think Bale is the longshot here. One school of thought said Chiwetel Ejiofor would be a lock. The other said the Academy would give Bruce Dern what essentially amounts to a lifetime achievement award. Then McConaughey won the GG. I think McConaughey gets the Oscar nod.
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock Most are saying Blanchett is a lock. I think if it's not her, it will be Amy Adams...in no small part because she's racked up so many nominations without a win.
Best Sup. Actor: Michael Fassbinder I think Jared Leto is a lock here.
Best Sup. Actress: Jennifer Lawrence I agree, although I wouldn't rule out June Squibb.
Best Animated Feature: The Wind Rises (I figure the Academy is going to give Myazaki an epic sendoff.) OBkid1 and I just had this discussion. On one hand, Frozen is the best film to come out of the Disney (as opposed to Pixar) shop in years. OTOH, Myazaki deserves an epic sendoff. I agree TWR wins, but I'd personally vote for Frozen.
Best Adapted Sreenplay: 12 Years A Slave Probably
Best Original Screenplay: Her Nope - Dallas Buyers Club I'd vote for Nebraska, for obvious reasons.
Best Original Song: Ordinary Love Let It Go

I didn't vote on categories of which I knew nothing.

[Locut0s]

3. You could cross post this in the new movie group too :P

Just a gentle reminder, and blatant advertising , that there's now a new group.

See my sig.

[Baitball Blogger]

4. Lupita Nyong'o will win supporting actress.

Or Chiwetel Ejiofor will win Best actor.

[Bjorn Against]

5. I think Best Picture will be a race between 12 Years a Slave and American Hustle

I think Alfonso Curon will win Best Director for Gravity, Gravity will also take the cinematography and special effects awards, but aside from Best Director I don't think it will take any of the big prizes. I think Amy Adams will win Best Actress, Leonardo DiCaprio will probably get Best Actor this time as after this many nominations he is viewed as overdue for a win.

12 Years a Slave will take at least a couple awards if it does not get Best Picture, I could not imagine it walking away empty handed even though it is up against tough competition in all categories.

[lunamagica]

6. I agree with you about Gravity

But I doubt it will win any of the big categories. The Academy always looks down on anything that smells of science-fiction. Remember "Close encounters of the third kind"? wonderful, wonderful movie. The best movie of that year, but it was snubbed.

I think Sandra Bullock deserved to win the Golden Globe for Best Actress. They should have taken into account how difficult it must have been to give such a marvelous performance under the circumstances (long monologues, reacting to stuff that wasn't there). I hope the Academy sees that, but I'm not holding my breath

[cynatnite]

7. I think Dallas Buyers Club will do better than expected...

Gravity will do well in technical awards, but that's it.

I want Lupita to win. She was amazing in 12 Years. As much as I love Fassbender, I think Jared Leto might walk away with it. He was pretty damn good in Dallas Buyers Club. I also think either McConaughey or Ejiofor will get best actor, but I wouldn't be surprised if Dern walks away with it. I think he's the sentimental favorite.

I'm not convinced that American Hustle will do that well. I haven't seen the movie yet, but I plan to since there is a lot of fuss about it right now.

As far as animated goes...I hope it's not Frozen. I thought that was a gigantic stinker of a movie. Blech.

I do hope 12 Years as a Slave gets best picture. It was a stunning movie to watch although, I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas Buyers Club takes it as well. I'll cheer either way.

[davidpdx]

8. I haven't seen enough of the movies to even make a determination

Being here in Korea we get them for like a week or two and then they are gone. I usually wait until they are out on DVD which is like 3-4 months after it is released.

I did see Gravity though.

[regnaD kciN]

9. I'm hoping "Nebraska" gets the screenwriting award...

Not because I've even seen it, but because the nominee is Bob Nelson, who Seattlites will recognize as one of the regulars on the local classic Almost Live (Uncle Fran, among other roles).

[blueknight]

10. if jennifer wins

she will be the first to win back to back since the legendary katharine hepburn

[patricia92243]

11. First Female? Because Tom Hanks has won back to back. n/t

[DebJ]

12. Gravity had great sound and visuals but as for the story line

not so much in my opinion.

The constant tension they created almost became annoying it was so persistent and so long,
so they get credit for achieving that. I think sound had as much to do with that as anything else.
You can react to sound more subliminally than visuals I think.

I can't give Bullock credit because she has just, for some reason, always rubbed me the wrong way.
Don't know why, but I know I can't be fair there.