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Wed Aug 26, 2020, 03:54 PM

Trump Trailing Biden In Key Swing States: Poll Morning Joe MSNBC

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Reply Trump Trailing Biden In Key Swing States: Poll Morning Joe MSNBC (Original post)
yuiyoshida Aug 2020 OP
greenman3610 Aug 2020 #1
Thekaspervote Aug 2020 #2
Cicada Aug 2020 #3
Thekaspervote Aug 2020 #4
Cicada Aug 2020 #5
magicguido Aug 2020 #6

Response to yuiyoshida (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 04:06 PM

1. what it looks like is "race is tightening in swing states"

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Response to greenman3610 (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 04:20 PM

2. Where to you see that?

538

MI Biden 7.6, PA 5.5, Wi 5.8, AZ 3.7

The Economist with a much better rating than 538 has similar numbers for Biden. More at the link

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president/pennsylvania

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 04:37 PM

3. It is still early and big events will happen before the election

How will a flood of evictions and foreclosures change votes? As people return to work and unemployment declines,nWhat happens?

I donít know.

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Response to Cicada (Reply #3)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 04:55 PM

4. It may, probably will change, if you're assuming it's going to shift back toward the gop..why?

Every time dotard opens his mouth he further screws himself!

Regardless of what the msm says and several posters here are fearful of, the polls are not tightening!

Look at 538, The Economist, ElectoralVote.com, cookpolitical...and others!!

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 05:26 PM

5. Look at the betting markets. Getting tighter.

The collective wisdom of the crowd is smarter than I am.

Some think the odds at bookies predicts better than polls, but there is limited data on that.

I have several times been really surprised after polls close.

If I had to bet I would probably rely on Nate Silver.

But donít bet on it.

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Response to yuiyoshida (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2020, 09:49 PM

6. Be aware trump is Bombarding YouTube with ADS. "Watch Now" "Click Here" It's Disgusting

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