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Bowman victory speech (Original Post) JonLP24 Jun 2020 OP
Yay! TristanIsolde Jun 2020 #1
Democratic! Jeeze Walleye Jun 2020 #2
Not called yet. nt. Pryderi Jun 2020 #3
I think it is likely he will win JonLP24 Jun 2020 #4

JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
4. I think it is likely he will win
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:39 AM
Jun 2020

This was the most recent poll before the election.

According to new polling from Data for Progress, middle school principal and progressive congressional candidate Jamaal Bowman has cracked open a 10-point lead in his primary bid to unseat Eliot Engel, the 16-term incumbent in New York’s 16th district. In a survey conducted between June 11 and June 15, Bowman showed a commanding advantage, holding a 41-31 margin over Engel, with 27 percent undecided.

(Snip)

As one might expect, Bowman, who is running to Engel’s left, enjoys a considerable 43-17 lead with voters under 45, who tend to support progressives overwhelmingly. But Bowman is also winning voters over 45 by 6 percent, non-college-educated voters by 8 percent, college-educated voters by 9 percent, and female voters by 17 percent. His advantage is even more dominant when broken out by racial group: he’s winning Black voters by a startling 56-10 margin. Engel’s best demographic, meanwhile, is whites, who he’s winning 52-30 (it’s the only demographic he’s winning aside from men, who favor him by a 2 percent margin).

https://www.google.com/amp/s/prospect.org/api/amp/politics/eliot-engel-down-double-digits-new-poll-jamaal-bowman/

I don't think Engel can come back.

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