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groovedaddy

(6,229 posts)
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 12:29 PM Sep 2012

What’s Wrong With Pennsylvania?

On June 30, 2011, an enthusiastic Mitt Romney arrived here in the heart of the Lehigh Valley determined to make Pennsylvania a presidential battleground state.

Standing before the closed Allentown Metal Works, Romney told reporters: “The president is a nice guy and I know he’s trying, but he doesn’t understand how the economy works” — a line that Romney later observed had resonated with focus groups.

A key assumption underpinned Romney’s appearance in Allentown — that the working class whites who once dominated this great industrial center would back the Republican nominee.

Pennsylvania demographics suggested that the state was fair game for Republicans. Seniors are a key source of support for Romney, and the state has a higher percentage of voters over the age of 65, 15.6 percent, than the country as a whole (13.3 percent). Pennsylvania is substantially whiter, at 79.2 percent, than the rest of the nation (63.4 percent). And unemployment in Pennsylvania matches the national rate at 8.1 percent.

http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/23/whats-wrong-with-pennsylvania/?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20120924

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What’s Wrong With Pennsylvania? (Original Post) groovedaddy Sep 2012 OP
Latest polls has Obama ahead by 11 points LynneSin Sep 2012 #1
Voting will be depressed more here than any other state... onehandle Sep 2012 #2

LynneSin

(95,337 posts)
1. Latest polls has Obama ahead by 11 points
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 12:35 PM
Sep 2012

Pennsylvania is normally a blue state but democrats got lazy in 2010 and are now paying for it with the likes of Tom Corbett as their governor and Pat Toomey as their US Senator.

THe key to dems winning Pennsylvania is high voter turnout in the Philly area which usually goes about 4-1 for the democrat. You get close to 50% voter turn out in the city the rest of the state is hardpressed to make up the difference especially if the democrat and run close in the other 67 counties and win the other Dem strongholds like Pittsburgh, Philly suburbs and Allentown-Bethelem.

Why do you think the repubs in PA passed that horrible voter ID bill. They know if they can supress the vote in the urban areas then they can make up the difference in the rural/non-philly suburb areas.

Assholes.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
2. Voting will be depressed more here than any other state...
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 12:46 PM
Sep 2012

...but with an 11 point lead, I'm calling it for the President.

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