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Thu May 28, 2020, 07:43 PM

They Predicted 'The Crisis of 2020' ... in 1991. So How Does This End?

Last edited Thu May 28, 2020, 08:45 PM - Edit history (1)

'Two scholars coined the term millennial and developed a fan base for their grim theories. Now, the surviving one sees a generational realignment happening in American politics that does not bode well for Republicans.

They called it the Crisis of 2020 — an unspecified calamity that “could rival the gravest trials our ancestors have known” and serve as “the next great hinge of history.” . . .
That was in 1991.

The scholars responsible were William Strauss and Neil Howe, whose book “Generations” introduced a provocative theory that American history unfolds in boom-to-bust cycles of roughly 80 years. Their conclusions about the way each generation develops its own characteristics and leadership qualities influenced a wide range of political leaders, . . .
. . . So now what?

. . . Mr. Howe, who now hosts a podcast and analyzes demographic trends for an investment advisory firm, is still very much in the insight business. And what he sees on the other end of the coronavirus pandemic — a generational realignment in American politics hastened by the failure of the baby boomer generation to lead the nation out of its quagmire — does not bode well for President Trump or the Republicans.

For most of the past 75 years, the Republican attitude about government has been rooted in a deep skepticism of authority that says, in essence: Success doesn’t take a village; it takes a determined individual whose government isn’t standing in the way. But that belief, Mr. Howe said, “is uniquely ill-suited to the current crisis.” . .

More insightful than the date itself was the assertion that historical patterns pointed toward the arrival of a generation-defining crisis that would force millennials into the fire early in their adulthood. . .

their theory helps explain why some of the most prominent voices calling for political reform from left, center and right have been young — Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, 30; Pete Buttigieg, 38; Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri, 40. . .

fixing the problems created by the pandemic will fall to this younger, civically oriented generation. . .

younger Americans overwhelmingly favor a cautious approach to getting back to normal — . . . This includes many young Republicans, ages 18 to 49, who were far more likely than Republicans 50 and older to say the worst of the outbreak is yet to come, . . .

“This is really the problem with Gen X and baby boomers,” Mr. Howe said. “They’ve championed this kind of individualism. They’ve championed thinking less about the community.” . .

“The really bad news is we are in the grip of an administration that sees everything as marketing, spin, branding,” said David Kaiser, a former professor at the Naval War College . . . “And I don’t think is really capable of thinking through a problem and acting on it.”
. . .

If the pandemic doesn’t break the boomer generation’s grip on American government, some see hope that it will end the brand of conservatism that has thrived during their time in power.'>>

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/28/us/politics/coronavirus-republicans-trump.html?

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Reply They Predicted 'The Crisis of 2020' ... in 1991. So How Does This End? (Original post)
elleng May 28 OP
Hestia May 28 #1
MFM008 May 29 #2
uriel1972 May 29 #3
uriel1972 May 29 #4

Response to elleng (Original post)

Thu May 28, 2020, 07:57 PM

1. Bullshit - it is the quest for more more more that has driven this and that mind pattern

is not exclusive to any age group or generation. Mindless, relentless, ruthless cutting down of human capital units - that is the problem

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Response to elleng (Original post)

Fri May 29, 2020, 12:29 AM

2. Interesting

Regaurdless.

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Response to elleng (Original post)

Fri May 29, 2020, 03:14 PM

3. Evidence?

anywhere?

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Response to uriel1972 (Reply #3)

Fri May 29, 2020, 03:16 PM

4. I mean for the theory not the facts in the matter.

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