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Sun Jan 22, 2012, 11:59 PM

"Particularly Dangerous" Tornado Outbreak Underway -- Liveblog Updated 13x

Sun Jan 22, 2012 at 05:06 PM PST
"Particularly Dangerous" Tornado Outbreak Underway -- Liveblog Updated 13x
by weatherdude

The SPC has issued a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" Tornado Watch for parts of Mississippi, Arkansas, and Tennessee until midnight CST as a line of storms continues to build up and move east across Arkansas. "Particularly Dangerous Situation" is enhanced wording added to a tornado watch to indicate the higher-than-normal potential for large, destructive, long-track tornadoes in any of the stronger storms tonight.

This is an extremely dangerous situation not only because of the intensity of the tornadoes, but because this is happening overnight. 2.5x more people die in nighttime tornado outbreaks than they would if the storms were to occur during the day, because 1) most people don't get warnings if they're asleep, and 2) it's a sad fact that people try to look for tornadoes to see it for themselves before they take cover, and you can't see a tornado at night. They don't come with built-in nightlights. Keep a very close eye on the weather tonight if you live in Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi or Alabama, as these storms are forecast to grow more violent as the hours pass.

Here's a quick look at the area most at risk for these particularly dangerous tornadoes, which is shaded in red. The yellow area (slight risk for severe t'storms) is also at risk (albeit not as high of a risk) for storms tonight into tomorrow morning.



...958PM CST: I spoke too soon. Tornado warning for the City of Memphis and surrounding areas. CONFIRMED TORNADO just southwest of Memphis, moving northeast right into the city. This is a dangerous situation. It's moving at 55 MPH, so you don't have much time to hesitate if you're in the warned area...

MUCH MORE WITH UPDATES: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/01/22/1057417/-Particularly-Dangerous-Tornado-Outbreak-Underway-Liveblog-Updated-13x?via=siderec

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Arrow 55 replies Author Time Post
Reply "Particularly Dangerous" Tornado Outbreak Underway -- Liveblog Updated 13x (Original post)
FourScore Jan 2012 OP
RKP5637 Jan 2012 #1
Newsjock Jan 2012 #2
SharonAnn Jan 2012 #3
FourScore Jan 2012 #4
southernyankeebelle Jan 2012 #5
jwirr Jan 2012 #10
southernyankeebelle Jan 2012 #13
Samantha Jan 2012 #17
FourScore Jan 2012 #18
southernyankeebelle Jan 2012 #42
carla Jan 2012 #32
southernyankeebelle Jan 2012 #41
Nictuku Jan 2012 #6
Odin2005 Jan 2012 #7
DesertRat Jan 2012 #8
dixiegrrrrl Jan 2012 #21
FourScore Jan 2012 #22
Art_from_Ark Jan 2012 #25
aquart Jan 2012 #33
Hugabear Jan 2012 #44
redqueen Jan 2012 #39
qanda Jan 2012 #9
AverageJoe90 Jan 2012 #10
The Doctor. Jan 2012 #51
AverageJoe90 Jan 2012 #53
Broderick Jan 2012 #12
Vanje Jan 2012 #14
ChairmanAgnostic Jan 2012 #15
frazzled Jan 2012 #16
Odin2005 Jan 2012 #34
ChairmanAgnostic Jan 2012 #36
FourScore Jan 2012 #19
FourScore Jan 2012 #20
murielm99 Jan 2012 #23
certainot Jan 2012 #24
eppur_se_muova Jan 2012 #26
Edweird Jan 2012 #27
Broderick Jan 2012 #28
Edweird Jan 2012 #30
Broderick Jan 2012 #31
Edweird Jan 2012 #48
Stuckinthebush Jan 2012 #38
Edweird Jan 2012 #47
Stuckinthebush Jan 2012 #49
Edweird Jan 2012 #50
era veteran Jan 2012 #29
existentialist Jan 2012 #35
Magoo48 Jan 2012 #37
redqueen Jan 2012 #40
dixiegrrrrl Jan 2012 #43
redqueen Jan 2012 #45
ThoughtCriminal Jan 2012 #52
dixiegrrrrl Jan 2012 #54
patrice Jan 2012 #46
Art_from_Ark Jan 2012 #55

Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:02 AM

1. K&R !!!

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:05 AM

2. Tornado on the ground now, headed for city of Memphis

... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 1045 PM CST for western
Shelby... extreme northwestern DeSoto and central Crittenden
counties...

At 1003 PM CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to
indicate a tornado. This tornado was located near Midway Corner... or
9 miles southwest of West Memphis... moving northeast at 60 mph.

Locations in the warning include but are not limited to Edmondson...
Marion... sunset... West Memphis... downtown Memphis... Frayser... Midtown
Memphis... southwest Memphis... Crittenden... Ebony... Gavin... Harvard...
Briark and Bridge Junction.

This warning also includes areas near Brandywine Lake... coronee lake
and Wapanocca Lake.


Live coverage from Memphis: http://www.wreg.com

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Response to Newsjock (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:08 AM

3. Knoxville, TN here. Just checked the weather and wondered about the violent T-storms predicted

overnight and in the AM.
didn't think much more about it till I cam here and saw this thread.

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Response to SharonAnn (Reply #3)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:10 AM

4. I'm glad you saw it, SharonAnn.

Please stay safe.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:11 AM

5. Yep coming towards Nashville. We should get it after mid-night. I always sit with my

 

candles and rosaries asking god to watch over my family and neighbors. I always get alittle scared. I won't be sleeping to well tonight. Stay safe everyone. I hope there isn't much damages or deaths. Peace be with you all.

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Response to southernyankeebelle (Reply #5)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:24 AM

10. And peace be with you.

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Response to jwirr (Reply #10)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:29 AM

13. Thanks I hope it will be a peaceful night.

 

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Response to southernyankeebelle (Reply #5)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:54 AM

17. Where exactly are you?

I ask because my stepmother lives in Seymour TN and I just saw this. I am wondering if I should call and wake her up to warn her.

Sam

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Response to Samantha (Reply #17)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:58 AM

18. I would call.

I would rather be woken by a phone call I wasn't expecting than a tornado I wasn't expecting.

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Response to Samantha (Reply #17)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:43 AM

42. Sorry I didn't get back to you I went to bed and watched tv til 3:00am. We were pretty lucky

 

I live around Rock Island Tn. How did your stepmom make out. I don't know where Seymour is.

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Response to southernyankeebelle (Reply #5)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:11 AM

32. I sure hope you aren't praying to the

same god that sends the tornadoes...hide in the SE corner of your basement, that is the only tangible protection for us.

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Response to carla (Reply #32)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:40 AM

41. Thanks for the advice most people in TN don't have basements like me. I was up til 3:00am in

 

the morning watching a long, long movie on AMC (Kingdom of Heaven). It was pretty good. We were lucky we didn't have it to bad. Guess my prayers to god worked.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:12 AM

6. K&R

Thanks for posting this. I have family in Memphis.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:12 AM

7. Tornadoes is frakking January? WTF?

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:19 AM

8. A tornado swept through western N.C. about 10 days ago

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:10 AM

21. I am in SW Ala. watching the line of storms head our way.

It is 60 degrees right now. Feels like late Feb, not late Jan.
Wind is blowing a bit.
Just heard a warning for Jackson Miss. which is where our weather comes out of, so tonight will be interesting.
Usually they hit a bit north of me, meaning the Tuscaloosa area...damn.


"Weather service meteorologists expect a line of storms that already has prompted tornado warnings in Arkansas to hit the Jackson metro area between 11 p.m. and 2 a.m. and exit the state state by 4 a.m. The weather service said the storms will be capable of producing severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, tornadoes and golf-ball sized hail.

Meteorologist Anna Weber said the weather looks to be bringing a line of storms that could spawn supercells as well as 70-80 mile per hour winds. The worst of the weather is expected to hit a line from Rayville, La., to Laurel and north."

This is the kind of weather I try to stay awake for.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #21)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:15 AM

22. Tornado watches now in effect in LA, MS, AL AND TN.

Stay safe dixiegrrrrl.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 03:16 AM

25. Any time you have warm air masses colliding with cold air masses, you can have severe storms

Looks like warm air from the Gulf of Mexico is colliding with cold air from the north.

At any rate, this is unusual for Arkansas, at least, since historically the worst tornadoes in that state have occurred almost exclusively in March and April. So, the 2010 New Year's Eve tornado that occurred in Cincinnati, Arkansas (near the Oklahoma border) was a real shocker.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:41 AM

33. Ain't climate change grand.

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Response to aquart (Reply #33)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:46 AM

44. Climate change, what a bunch of hooey

What we're seeing is perfectly normal. It's happening all over the solar system - why, just the other day, there was a massive tornado outbreak on the moon.

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #7)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:27 AM

39. December and January are normally the months with the fewest tornadoes.

But we're in the process of establishing a "new normal", so, all bets are off, really.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:20 AM

9. Thoughts are with those who are and will be experiencing these storms

Stay safe DUers in these areas.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:24 AM

10. For those who may have questions: Mid-winter tornado outbreaks aren't totally rare.

 

There was one that happened in January, 1975 that went as far north as the bottom of Illinois and dropped an F4 tornado that killed 9 people in Southern Miss.

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Response to AverageJoe90 (Reply #10)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 03:52 PM

51. I think you mean 'not unheard of'.

 

Once every 30 years can certainly be considered 'very rare'.

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Response to The Doctor. (Reply #51)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 07:45 PM

53. Pretty close to what I meant.

 

But it has been slightly more common than once every 3 decades, though.
There was the New Year's Eve 2010 outbreak. One in 2007 occurred on the last day of winter and the first day of spring and was the one that produced the Enterprise, Ala. twister.
And more on topic, there was a mid-winter outbreak in 1999 that spawned 100+ tornadoes and killed 16 people.
Apparently, more also occurred in 1947, 1949, 1967, 1969, and even as far back as 1929.

So yeah, they are somewhat rare, but they do happen just a tad more than some might think.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:27 AM

12. Be safe everyone in the path!

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:30 AM

14. Stay safe, Southrons

Batten down your hatches, or whatever .

Check in tomorrow, so we'll know how you fared.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:31 AM

15. WTF? We have Winter LIGHTNING going on here, SW of Chicago.

This is fucking weird weather.

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Response to ChairmanAgnostic (Reply #15)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:43 AM

16. I just thought something blew up in my house.

I thought: is that the washing machine, the dishwasher? (Neither was on.) Then I panicked and thought it was the furnace. Then I looked out the window and saw that all hell was breaking loose with lightning (and I guess hail, because it sounded like that). Lucky my son and daughter-in-law, who'd come to dinner, just three minutes before called to tell me they'd gotten home okay (though maybe it was already crazy on the South Side).

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Response to frazzled (Reply #16)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:34 AM

34. Hahaha, that reminds me of when we got thundersnow here last spring.

I was freaking out trying to figure out what that booming noise was!

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Response to Odin2005 (Reply #34)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:12 AM

36. our local whether or not gurus reported that a few peoples reported lightning.

Hell, this was a full blast thunderstorm, heavy lightning, high winds, a good time to stay indoors. Even my dogs were cowering around us.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:03 AM

19. Radar image from TWC



"The lavender outlines on the radar image below represent tornado warnings, multiple ones of which have been issued all across the Memphis metro area. The most widespread threat is for straight-line winds, but the kinks and swirls in the line of thunderstorms are indicative of storm structures that are capable of spinning up localized tornadoes."

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/january-severe-weather-outbreak_2012-01-22

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:08 AM

20. Tornado warning for Calloway County, KY until 11:30pm CT.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:53 AM

23. This is why I have a weather alert radio with a loud alarm.

I don't want to be caught in the middle of the night by a violent storm. While I might not sleep through it, I could be sleepy and unprepared. My husband would sleep through it. He sleeps through anything.

My radio has battery back-up, too. I would recommend one of these radios for everyone.

Stay safe, people down there!

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:56 AM

24. god damned republicans- really - we needed action a long time ago

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 04:19 AM

26. Tornado warning in north central AL -- Marshall Co, extreme SE Madison Co

On TV, and the sirens are going off here (safely to the NW).

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 05:36 AM

27. Dude this sucks.. I'm in Gadsden headed towards Tuscaloosa in a few.

 

I have to show up for work at 6am. I'm going to be driving right through the worst of this shortly.

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Response to Edweird (Reply #27)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:21 AM

28. Hope the trip to work

Was a uneventful one

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Response to Broderick (Reply #28)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:01 AM

30. Tornado sirens went off right as I was leaving Gadsden.

 

I made it safe and sound, but it was rough in some spots. At times the rain was on par with a tropical system.

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Response to Edweird (Reply #30)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:04 AM

31. Glad you're safe

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Response to Broderick (Reply #31)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:40 PM

48. It turns out I was within striking distance of at least 1 tornado on my drive.

 

I guess that explains the torrential downpour.

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Response to Edweird (Reply #27)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:38 AM

38. Do you work at the University?

I've made that drive many times but in reverse from the University to the Gadsden Center.

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Response to Stuckinthebush (Reply #38)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:37 PM

47. No.

 

I work for a utility contractor. We are starting a new job.

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Response to Edweird (Reply #47)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:16 PM

49. Not too bad of a drive

That is if you can avoid rush hour in Bham.

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Response to Stuckinthebush (Reply #49)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:31 PM

50. I don't have to go back to Gadsden until Friday.

 

We have 2 days left there, and then we are focused on Tuscaloosa for around a month... My gas guzzler would cost me an arm and a leg if I had that commute every day

Do you still make that commute?

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:35 AM

29. What a storm for January!

Blew the heavy storm shovel off my porch.
Looks like it is leaving my part of the Bluegrass right now.
Good luck everybody.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:12 AM

35. Bless Fourscore and DU

for the warning to those in the way.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:13 AM

37. Hope you all got thru safely....on left coast here...I'll take earthquakes....peace

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:28 AM

40. Two dead in Alabama

http://news.yahoo.com/2-dead-ala-storms-pound-south-midwest-131933686.html

2 dead in Ala. as storms pound South, Midwest

CLAY, Ala. (AP) Two people were killed in the Birmingham, Ala., area as storms pounded the South and Midwest, prompting tornado warnings in a handful of states early Monday.

At least one of the areas affected by the storms, which were part of a system that stretched from the Great Lakes down to the Gulf of Mexico, was also hit by a line of killer storms that slammed the Southeast last April.

Jefferson County sheriff's spokesman Randy Christian said a 16-year-old boy was killed in Clay and an 82-year-old man died in the community of Oak Grove.

The storm produced a possible tornado that moved across northern Jefferson County around 3:30 a.m., causing damage in Oak Grove, Graysville, Fultondale, Center Point, Clay and Trussville, Christian said. He said several homes were destroyed and numerous injuries were reported.

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Response to redqueen (Reply #40)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 11:44 AM

43. That storm hit at 4 am. Poor people.Possible 4 dead, says news.

Update at 7:50 a.m. ET: A WBMA reporter on the scene says a section of northeast Birmingham "looks like a war zone" with businesses levelled by the storm.

Update at 7:54 a.m. ET: WBMA TV, quoting "credible reports" says at least four people have been killed, three of them in western Jefferson County and one in the Birmingham area. The Birmingham TV station also reports "significant injuries."
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/ondeadline/post/2012/01/report-loss-of-life-major-damage-from-alabama-tornado/1


I live further southwest of the area, but "got to" be up from 2 to 4 am because of the dog, who gets pretty nervous when these storms come rolling in.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #43)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:01 PM

45. Yeah, I figured that number would rise.

Glad your dog woke you up, just in case.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #43)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 03:53 PM

52. What is it about Oak Grove?

It seems to be a tornado magnet.

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Response to ThoughtCriminal (Reply #52)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:01 PM

54. The storms come in a diagonal line, long bands running from SW to NE, across the eastern USA.

then these bands move east, so they hit the same places every time.
Sorta like sweeping your arm at an angle across a table top.
I deliberately chose the town I am in after realizing what the storm track is "normally",
we are south of the worst of the tornado alley and north of the "usual" hurricane hits.

Best laid plans go astray, of course;tornadoes hit this street during Hurricane Ivan in 2004, which landed almost directly on our town.
We still do not have any tall straight trees.

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:21 PM

46. We saw the west edge of this cell when we went out last night. nt

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Response to FourScore (Original post)

Tue Jan 24, 2012, 02:50 AM

55. There were 3 reported tornadoes in Arkansas

All were in the town of Fordyce. Many homes were damaged or destroyed, but no one was hurt.

http://nwahomepage.com/fulltext-news?nxd_id=301662

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