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Sun Mar 7, 2021, 04:53 AM

Europe staggers as infectious variants power coronavirus surge

Source: AP by way of MPR News

The virus swept through a nursery school and an adjacent elementary school in the Milan suburb of Bollate with amazing speed. In a matter of just days, 45 children and 14 staff members had tested positive.

Genetic analysis confirmed what officials already suspected: The highly contagious coronavirus variant first identified in England was racing through the community, a densely packed city of nearly 40,000 with a chemical plant and a Pirelli bicycle tire factory a 15-minute drive from the heart of Milan.

"This demonstrates that the virus has a sort of intelligence. ... We can put up all the barriers in the world and imagine that they work, but in the end, it adapts and penetrates them,'' lamented Bollate Mayor Francesco Vassallo.

... Europe recorded 1 million new COVID-19 cases last week, an increase of 9 percent from the previous week and a reversal that ended a six-week decline in new infections, WHO said Thursday.

Read more: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2021/03/06/europe-staggers-as-infectious-variants-power-coronavirus-surge



In Lombardy, ... intensive care wards are again filling up, with more than two-thirds of new positive tests being the UK variant,

The situation is dire in the Czech Republic, ..

etc. etc.

The South Africa variant, now present in 26 European countries, ... the Brazilian variant in 15 European countries

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Coronavirus World Map, New York Times (no paywall on Covid coverage)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html

Daily new cases have increased a bit world-wide since February 19, after steeply falling since January 11.

On the map, one can mouse over a country and see the current daily new cases per 100,000 population, and also the 14-day trendline for the country.

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 05:03 AM

1. Ireland had 300 cases a day on Dec 1, 8600 a day just over 30 days

Later. Yes Christmas had an effect but that was a massive surge which they thought was 30% caused by the British variant but was clearly more.

We're now down to about 500 cases a day and 90% of those cases are the British B117 variant strain.

Sheer numbers of cases means more deaths.

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Response to OnDoutside (Reply #1)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 05:24 AM

2. We are keeping

all the rules, staying within our 5 km limit for exercise (thankfully living in rural west Sligo so wonderful for walking), only going out twice weekly for the shop, and going at the least crowded times, always masked and social distancing. Hoping that the vaccine rollout will pick up. Right now we're in group 5, I think. Could be May before we're called. Hope you are keeping well yourself.

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Response to Granny M (Reply #2)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 08:22 AM

4. That's a fantastic discipline to be keeping !

We live in Cork City, but Cork isn't doing too badly thankfully, especially compared with Dublin and surrounding counties. I mostly take my dog to the local park, but we are all hoping that they increase the 5km to County again, as we are all desperate to get to the beaches !! Our dog especially !!! Before Covid, I would work from home 98% of the time so it wasn't a big jump to 100% ! My wife however, works for a Pharma company and has had to go to work every day even during lockdowns. My aunt got covid in a nursing home but thankfully was asymptomatic. My son will be going back to school supposedly on April 12, but since he's in 2nd year, I think September would be time enough for non-exam years.

I remember back in November that the HSE were saying that vaccine rollout would start in late December but would dip in February and early March, so I haven't been surprised by the supply issues but of course the opposition will always pounce on stuff like that !!! I fully expect things to ramp up significantly by the last week of March or the first week of April. I'm in group 4, and I'm think that it might be May before they get to me, so I suspect group 5 might be a little later than that, though it might depend on your GP.

Stay safe yourselves, hopefully we will be free of this and have a great summer

Have you seen this on geohub ?


https://covid19ireland-geohive.hub.arcgis.com/

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Response to OnDoutside (Reply #4)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 08:31 AM

5. Thanks for that. Bookmarked. nt

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Response to OnDoutside (Reply #4)

Mon Mar 8, 2021, 07:51 AM

15. Thanks for the info.!

My 81 year old sister-in-law is due to be vaccinated on Wednesday.

She lives in Kildare and is very relieved to say the least.

They've been "cocooning" for over a year now and are weary of the situation is my take on it.'

& recommend.

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 05:26 AM

3. Meanwhile life goes on in Las Vegas (Fremont Street Earthcam) - they are on Pacific Time

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 10:36 AM

6. "This demonstrates that the virus has a sort of intelligence"

There is no "intelligence" involved or needed.

Whatever variant manages to lock on to the requisite landing spots on cells in your body and "survives" there long enough to reproduce, then it will be able to continue on for another generation of itself. If the body is unable to knock down enough of it fast enough, then that version has the potential to get out into the wild again through a cough or sneeze or just talking, gets ingested by another "host", latches on there, and away it goes for more generations of itself.

It's just that simple. The least efficient versions will eventually die out and the more dominant new ones will take over IF "hosts" are available for it.

We keep getting to the point where once one version starts to die out (infection rates have finally dropped back down to some low (but non-zero) baseline and plateaus there, and we start seeing reduced community spread, a new variant has usually already formed, but is only present in low amounts. However that is often when the demand to "reopen" hits, ultimately allowing the variant to get out to find and infect brand new hosts, and that will allow it to go hog wild. Wash. Rinse. Repeat.

This is the normal course for most viral organisms. But because those that infect humans tend to be more benign, the body is able to fight them and their impact generally stays at or just below our radar. But COVID-19 and its variants have been very much on the radar for some time now, and its signal to noise ratio is pretty extreme in comparison.

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Response to BumRushDaShow (Reply #6)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 12:15 PM

7. Well, that's like Republican "intelligence" - an ability to reproduce, but not what

we'd call intelligence -- like being able to reach logical conclusions.

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Response to progree (Reply #7)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 04:40 PM

11. I think single-cell organisms

have more "intelligence" then the entirety of the GOP!

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Response to BumRushDaShow (Reply #6)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 12:30 PM

8. Republican leaders need to be quarantined for the stupid

If it wasn't for them, we would have had this thing under control by June of last year. But oh no, "open, open, open" because they had to own the libs.

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Response to NEOBuckeye (Reply #8)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 04:54 PM

12. And every time a state "thows the doors open"

they inevitably get a spike and have to dial it back. We have watched this pattern over and over and over, and not just in Europe, but in Asia too. Their countries have gone through several cycles of lock down/open up/lock down/open up.

But what is sad is that we will see columnists and commentators here in the U.S. write these long glowing articles with headlines along the lines of - "What has (fill in the blank country) done right?? Let's do that here!!111!!!". And then a month later, that (fill in the blank country) is experiencing a spike, and then you might see some passing mention of their "retrench" and some type of draconian lock down, and then they quietly disappear from the news cycle.

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 01:42 PM

9. So are Republicans going to label this the "Eurovirus?"

Don't count on it.

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 02:44 PM

10. Good Luck to the entitled state of Texas

Boo hoo hoo ya'll.

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Response to progree (Original post)

Sun Mar 7, 2021, 05:51 PM

13. Thanks.

Do we assume China's not reporting, or what? My nephew is returning there soon, to study.

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Response to elleng (Reply #13)

Mon Mar 8, 2021, 12:27 AM

14. Sorry, I have no idea what is (or isn't) going on in China with Covid /nt

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