McCarthy: 'I would bet my house' GOP takes back lower chamber in 2022

[TomCADem]

Source: The Hill

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said that he would "bet my house" that Republicans win the back majority in the House in 2022.

During an appearance at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), McCarthy was asked by American Conservative Union Chair Matt Schlapp about what the minority leader thought the likelihood is of Republicans taking back the lower chamber in the next midterm cycle.

"We're going to get the majority back. We're five seats away," McCarthy exclaimed. "I would bet my house" on it, he continued.

Democrats won back control of the House in the so-called "blue wave" in the 2018 midterms, and won the House, Senate and White House in the 2020 elections.

Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/mccarthy-i-would-bet-my-house-gop-takes-back-lower-chamber-in-2022/ar-BB1e4ZIV?li=BB141NW3

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Even though Republicans are doing everything they can to undercut a popular COVID-19 relief bill, I think Republicans do have an advantage in that they can simply default to racism and scapegoat women and minorities while also rolling back voting access in time for 2022.

For example, watch in Texas as Republicans whose anti-regulatory views proved disastrous, are being aided by Fox News, Newsmax, and OANN who are blaming AOC, a minority woman for windmills and the Green New Deal even though it has not been adopted for the blackouts. Heck, even Ted Cruz is able to avoid responsibility by blaming his daughter, a latina female, for his trip to Cancun.

[jorgevlorgan]

1. I don't think it will be so easy.

Even with gerrymandering, democrats gained seats in 2012 -albeit the presidential election helped them. But things will not be close to as gerrymandered now as they were, and Democrats have the advantage of being able to take credit for any recovery that occurs between now and the next election.

[Thekaspervote]

4. Happy to see someone else feels the same! Keep the house blue in '22! Pass it on!!

[jorgevlorgan]

14. They are definitely on the right track!

Pass as many bills that directly help people or fight like hell trying.

[Fiendish Thingy]

16. Current gerrymandering and voter suppression laws currently in the pipeline point Dems losing

Their majority.

Many have said that, just on gerrymandering alone, Dems will lose 6 seats.

Now, if Joe Manchin would agree to kill the filibuster, then the For The People voting rights would pass and negate all state based shenanigans.

But, if Manchin continues his sabotaging obstructionism, it looks like McCarthy could safely bet his house on the outcome of the 2022 elections.

[jorgevlorgan]

20. Even with gerrymandering and shenanigans, we aren't going down without a fight.

I imagine we will have one of the largest field operations in collaboration with social justice orgs larger than anything we've seen. Everybody knows what is at stake if these modern day nazis have any level of control again, and we will fight like hell to stop it.

[Elessar Zappa]

29. I don't believe that.

GOP may have a slight advantage but I think 2022 will be decided by how well the pandemic is handled. If Biden keeps up the good work, I think we’re in a good spot. It’s up to us to vote, donate, hit the phones,etc. We don’t have to cede the election to the GOP.

[Fiendish Thingy]

36. As I said, Gerrymandering alone will flip 6 seats and control of house before a single vote is cast

That’s not just my opinion, that’s the position of numerous liberal political experts.

Voter suppression laws will thwart much of Dems organizing efforts in close contests.

The only way to block that is to pass the For The People voting rights act, and the only way to pass that bill is for Manchin and Sinema to support killing the filibuster.

Success on COVID and the economy are prerequisites for Dems to keep their majorities, but not enough to guarantee it.

Optimism and traditional campaigning alone isn’t going to work in 2022- hardball politics, even within the Democratic Party, is the only path to victory.

[LymphocyteLover]

56. this is true and too many people don't want to hear it

We HAVE TO BE AT THE TOP OF OUR GAME in 2022, just to maintain the current balance of power.

[Fiendish Thingy]

57. It really has nothing to do with "being at the top of our game", it has to do with wielding power

Dems must wield their hard won power relentlessly and ruthlessly, delivering substantive change for voters, which can only be achieved by killing the filibuster. The primary goal must be the For The People voting rights act (which won’t be passed without killing the filibuster), because that is the only weapon that can stop the GOP from ensuring minority rule for a decade or more.

Anyone who obstructs Dems from wielding their power, even other Dems, must experience swift and severe political consequences. The party and the country cannot afford any Leibermans, Zell Miller, or Max Baucus types- the stakes are too high.

[LymphocyteLover]

59. being at the top of our game is a generic term that fits your legislative fixes

... but we are stuck with Manchin and Sinema and not clear how we can motivate them

[lagomorph777]

74. We have to figure out what is motivating Manchin and Sinema.

They don't seem to be motivated by what their constituents need.
But something is driving them and if we can figure it out, maybe we can do something about it.

[LymphocyteLover]

75. yes, but it's probably just as simple as being more sympathetic to corporate interests

than to working people on the wage issue, sadly

[lagomorph777]

76. Entirely likely - but why the $ympathy to corporate intere$t$?

There's a layer beneath that visible surface. Can we do something at that layer?

If they think corporate $ are keeping their careers afloat, help them steer a better course to political survival (i.e. cash with strings that require good behavior). Or maybe help their corporate patrons find new, morally-sound revenue streams (e.g. use former coal assets - real estate, people - with subsidies, and transition to being stable, renewable energy companies).

[LymphocyteLover]

78. good thoughts... I don't know who would be able to push those changes

The Biden administration?

[Cinnamonspice]

65. Agreed.

My state didn't see any of that flip for 2020. I want some of them to be flipped to Demo for 2022.

[LymphocyteLover]

68. which state?

[Cinnamonspice]

72. NC.

While the news was watching certain other states closely such as PA and GA, NC was obviously going to Trump early in the game.

Even though NC allowed voters to get their mail in ballots up to nine days after election day (if postmarked), Trump didn't feel a need to sue NC like he did those other states. I wonder why. Sigh.

We got to keep our Democratic governor and people started crying fraud over that.

[Deminpenn]

22. 2022 won't be 2020

because Trump won't be on the ballot and be drawing out his cultists to vote. Look at GA. R turnout was down and that was a mere two months after the Nov election and with Rs knowing control of the Senate depended on which candidates won.

[jorgevlorgan]

26. Voter suppression and gerrymandering will be the ONLY thing going

Last edited Sat Feb 27, 2021, 11:03 PM - Edit history (1)

for them. And the non presidential year election. Besides that, we have almost all the advantages. It also doesn't help them that hey have turned themselv les in to the trump cult party. I'm not saying we will keep the house and senate, but I'm sure as hell not going down without a fight.

[Thekaspervote]

2. This is a different cycle. Yes the party holding the WH many times loses the house at midterms

But I’m not betting on it.

The DNC now led by Jamie Harrison has some great plans, Biden will remain popular and democrats are still suffering PTSD from the last 4 years and are fearful of any qgop control.

Giving monthly to the DNC...keep the house blue in ‘22!! PASS IT ON!!!

[NYC Liberal]

33. Republicans gained seats in 2002, after 9/11.

I see 2022 as having a similar outcome for us if COVID continues to be handled competently (and I see no reason it won’t be).

[Elessar Zappa]

3. I think 2022 will

largely be a referendum on the pandemic. If Biden handles it well, which I expect he will, we will be in a good place. The cultists won’t vote for us of course but I expect we’ll do well with independents.

[Thekaspervote]

5. ☝️☝️☝️☝️

[Deminpenn]

23. The cultists aren't going to vote

that's the thing. If Trump isn't on the ballot, they'll stay home.

[Bucky]

53. I very seriously doubt that. Republicans are so much better at controlling the conversation

It's our greatest weakness as a party. We should absolutely make it a referendum on the pandemic, but history so harshly leans against that happening, it's foolish to think it won't go like that.

I don't see the Republicans abandoning the cultists. This is why they're clinging to Trump still. They lost the election, true--thank God--but look at the circumstances. They gained seats in the House--they're down just 10-11 seats now. They lost the Senate only because a critical sliver of Georgians against all sanity fucking boycotted (!!) the election. I wouldn't count on them being such friggin' morons again. Donald Trump actually increased his share of the popular vote (from 46.1% to 48.9%, the biggest jump in GOP voter share since 1984).

And now they're in the position to do what Republicans do best: whine, bitch, obstruct, lie, complain, theorize conspiracies (wait for the "Biden Murder List" to show up in the near future) and generally throw temper tantrums all over their (three instead of one) batshit "news" networks about communism (aka, reasonable healthcare policies), socialism (aka, environmental protections), and big Hollywood. And of course they'll rediscover abortions and budget deficits, as they do whenever they're out of office.

Of course Republicans are absolute shit at running the government. Maybe there's hope in that the voters got hip to it after 4 years instead of 8 this time. But history suggests that for the 3rd time in 3 presidencies, the Democrats will lose Congress at the first midterm available. I don't see how we're gonna get magically disciplined enough to change that.

[JohnnyRingo]

6. Unless we cheat!

hahaha
...and everybody will know it.
especially us.

Is he new here?

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

7. Will Trump let him stay at Mierda A Lago when he loses?

[UGADawg]

8. Nothing like BLM to turn out Republicans, I support BLM but........

BLM and peaceful protests cost Dems seats in 2020.

[BradAllison]

9. You mean scare tactics and lies about BLM

[Elessar Zappa]

13. BLM's not going away nor should it.

Fuck racists.

[demosincebirth]

19. Totally agree.

[WHITT]

10. The Dems Weren't About To Campaign Out In A Roaring Pandemic

The Repubs didn't give a damn how many of their supporters died, as long as they voted first. Assuming no pandemic in '22 midterms, I'd take that bet.

[JusticeForAll]

11. Just like a Republican to bet something he does not have

He lost his House in 2018 😊

[msongs]

12. repubs will gerrymander like crazy to make this happen nt

[Evolve Dammit]

15. GOP working very fast to supress the vote in many states. It's who they are. Anti-democracy.

[Turbineguy]

17. He could be right.

There are a lot of Americans who hate America. It would be nice if trump was convicted of a few crimes and these new state level voter suppression laws are declared unconstitutional.

[Mr.Bill]

18. Well, if he's willing to bet his house,

it must be rigged then.

Although I've never seen his house.

[twodogsbarking]

45. He lives in a van down by the river.

He bought it from Matt Foley.

[Scruffy1]

21. They can't win without the Dumpster Fire crowd.

I think the only reason they could pick up some seats in 2020 was they got the vote of the crazies. If the former occupier isn't on the ballot most will be a no show. That is why they are still kissing his rear. I do believe that the twice impeached brought out a lot of people to the polls who normally don't vote. It wasn't about policy because he had none except being an asshole. So I call it the pendejo vote. As he fades away in Mar A Logo or in jail his voters will go back to their usual life of inanity, stupidity and banality. Besides they already picked of the easy ones. I also think the latest Texas train wreck might open up some seats. I was safe and warm here in El Paso because we are not part of ERCOT but I think a whole lot of people in the rest of Texas are very angry and just might finally see the deregulation. Abbot is not popular and has less charm than a snake and of course Paxton is five alarm fire. Time will tell.

[Deminpenn]

25. Agree

nt

[bucolic_frolic]

24. 'Qarthy is discounting the popularity of the Biden agenda

and the skillsets of Jaime Harrison and Stacey Abrams.

If we fight like 2018 we will hold our own. So let's do it!

[Cryptoad]

27. the party of Cop Killers,,,,,???????

yea thats what America wants

[PSPS]

28. While speaking at CPAC to a crazy mob who wants to hear it. "Don't forget your wallets, suckers!!1!"

[Bengus81]

50. Yep...Cancun Cruz there joking about his "vacation" had em howling with laughter.....

How about those who died and those who's homes are destroyed? Eh...fuck em!

[turbinetree]

30. Since you voted to to say the election was hoax, and a police officer died

maybe said police officer family should take you to court to being an accessory along with all of 147 of you and your party, because you are not above the law when it comes to incitement to do harm and if they do maybe you will have to use your house for Collateral ............

[Obvious85]

31. He bet Democracy that the Trump Rioters would take the House

HE LOST

[DanieRains]

32. I Will Take That Bet Asshole

Democrats figured out of they vote, they win.

Millions will be voting to send the traitor party down the road.

Notice there are no news stories about people leaving the Democratic Party?

[Cinnamonspice]

66. It looks like the only walking away happened to the Republican Party.

Independents seem to want to vote Democrat lately. Some left the Republican Party after the fiasco called January 6th. The GOP itself might split.

Republicans need to get their head out Trump's ass.

[Joinfortmill]

34. No, no, and no.

[Polybius]

35. The odds are certainly in his favor

But with hard work and the Republicans sinking themselves, we can overcome those odds.

[Bengus81]

51. That's what many said about Trump when he used the USPS to try and rig the election

Oh man...no way we can win the Presidency NOW.

BS...didn't work for that POS and his partner in CRIME DeJoy.

[Polybius]

52. This is different, that was speculation based on opinions

Mine is based on past facts. The President‘a Party almost always loses seats during Midterm elections. Especially in the first term.

Of course, the key word is almost. There’s a chance we pick up.

[Dopers_Greed]

37. I will probably get modded for this

But I think he's right.

The GOP's advantage is just too baked in due to gerrymandering.

And we'll probably have people who demand the Dems run on socialism in places like Ohio, Georgia, and Arizona.

[JonLP24]

48. Somehow Democrats can't use the alt right & right wing militias to their advantage

Last edited Sun Feb 28, 2021, 11:31 AM - Edit history (1)

If a Democrat incited an insurrection it would be the end of the Democratic Party. If a Democrat colluded with Russia it would be the end of the Democratic Party.

I'm in Arizona. Why does Paul Gosar get to be involved in an insurrection and promote white nationalism but I can't support Democratic Socialism in Arizona?

Paul Gosar

Republican congressman Paul Gosar appeared at a white nationalist political conference before attending the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), according to reports.

The Arizona Republican appeared on-stage at the "America First Political Action Conference" (AFPAC) on Friday, following the far-right conference’s founder, Nicholas Fuentes.

Mr Fuentes, an alleged white nationalist, said on Friday that the Capitol riot – in which five people died – was “awesome”, and that "white people are done being bullied".

The AFPAC founder went on to add that if the country "loses its white demographic core, then this is not America anymore”.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/paul-gosar-afpac-cpac-fuenetes-b1808678.html

[lastlib]

38. I was just inspired to write a check to the DCCC!

Thanks for the inspiration, Mr. McCarthy, you traitorous futhermucker!

[C Moon]

39. When a Republican bleeps out like this, that means they are doing something dastardly...

that they just can't keep under their hats.

Republicans get so giddy about breaking laws and getting away with it, that they just giggle at the thought of it.

Always read between the lines when dealing with Republicans. They are snide, underhanded, evil creatures.

I think they're plan for 2022 and 2024, is choking the mail in ballots. They plan on getting rid of Newsom in California, and Cuomo in NY, and electing Republicans. Then they will choke the mail in ballots, and have a better chance at 2022 and 2024.

[quakerboy]

40. Its gonna come down to-- can we accomplish things

Will our elected Democrats try to hide behind technical issues like the filibuster, or will we do things that help the majority of folks. Barring a new disaster of Covid proportions, thats what it will come down too. Are we gonna offer excuses or are we gonna get it done?

[TomCADem]

58. Not really sure there is an issue that is being held back by the filibuster.

Even the $15/hour raise does not have universal support among Senate Democrats, because Joe Manchin is willing to support a raise up to $11/hour, but WV has a lower cost of living, so he sees a higher number as being detrimental to his State.

You have a filibuster problem if we have a proposal with a majority support, but we can't pass it because of the 60 vote threshold.

[quakerboy]

67. As long as theres a fillibuster

Manchin can take cover behind it. His vote doesnt matter because the republicans would just filibuster anyway, so he can say anything he likes

Remove the filibuster.. and he is the vote. It is him. Suddenly he has to actually be that vote that refuses to send checks to americans, refuses to raise the minimum, etc.

[monkeyman1]

41. kevin better buy a damn tent, might be needing it !

[rpannier]

42. How about betting your house seat?

[monkeyman1]

44. good one!

[LittleGirl]

43. We really do need to make sure that doesn't happen nt

[bluestarone]

46. Go ahead and keep voting AGAINST Americans getting federal help and

We'll see what that gets you in 2022!! You're ALL losers!!

[ancianita]

49. "Would" bet his house? We should demand that he sign off on the bet of his house. A signed bet.

That would shut him up.

[Bucky]

54. He'll win that bet unless the voters quit rewarding Republicans for their dishonesty & incompetence

[The Jungle 1]

55. Don't bet a repuke they don't pay up.

Republican Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick still has not paid Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman the money he owes him.
But of course texass has their hand out for some socialist bail out money. Money the people need because repukes have destroyed the state.

[electric_blue68]

60. Hopefully he'll be living in his car for a bit after Nov '22 elections

[trof]

61. OK. I'll take the bet.

Sight unseen.
My house against yours.
I'll pay up.
Will you?

trof

[rwsanders]

62. I say we all chip in a few dollars and publically challenge him.

[Hotler]

69. Make it a fund raiser for a charity. Win Kevin's house, $5.00 a ticket.

Give the money to Planned parenthood.

[CTyankee]

77. Let me know when that happens and I'll be the first to buy a ticket!

I giggle when I think of it. Planned Parenthood, eeek!!!

[FlyingPiggy]

63. I don't think it will be as easy as he thinks it will be.

Many moderate republicans are not going to be on board with their insurrection and continued support of it. Math is not on their side. Even w the gerrymandering.

[Cinnamonspice]

64. Soooo, is he going to give the country a tour of his house?

[mahina]

70. I'd take that bet.

We should be focusing on state legislatures but yeah, buddy, I wouldn't bet the house. So to speak.

[erpowers]

71. I Do Not Think Republicans Will Take Back Congress in 2022

I do not think Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives in 2022. I think Democrats will make a better showing in 2022.

[lagomorph777]

73. Actually, he has bet his House.

A bet which we must ensure he loses.