(Hill-HarrisX) Exclusive poll: Biden up in Mich., Pa., tied with Trump in Fla.
Source: The Hill
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, but the two candidates are tied in Florida with just more than two weeks to go before Election Day.
A new Hill-HarrisX poll finds Biden opening up a double-digit lead in Michigan, which Trump won narrowly in 2016. The race is closer in Pennsylvania, where Biden has a 5-point advantage among likely voters. The perennial swing state of Florida, a must-win for Trump, is a pure toss-up heading into the home stretch.
Trump is dragged down by his handling of the coronavirus, which is the top issue on the minds of voters in all three battleground states. The economy remains the presidents best issue, although a majority of voters in these states believe the economy is headed in the wrong direction.
Trumps backers are passionate a strong majority are casting ballots in favor of him, while many Biden voters say theyre casting ballots against Trump.
Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/521427-exclusive-poll-biden-up-in-mich-pa-and-tied-with-trump-in-fla
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)SKKY
(11,797 posts)...it seems like all the lower rated pollsters have this either tied, or 4-5 for Biden. But, the A or A+ all have it somewhere between 9 - 11 for Biden. After 2016, I really don't know who to believe. The Cook Political report changed their Senate forecast from +2 for the Dems to +7, so now I'm super extra psychotic between the hope and the anxiety we all still feel from the last time a Dem was a "sure thing".
bucolic_frolic
(43,064 posts)2016 was decided by 3 things: the Comey release which he was prodded into, distortion of issues by Russian 'both sides are the same' in social media, and Trump's ground game in small towns and cities. Trump spent an incredible amount of time in central PA, MI, WI. Someone on the HRC campaign should have pondered - WHAT is he doing there? He was agitating, activating ethnic enclaves, registering voters. It must have been a big deal for a billionaire presidential candidate to come to town. He's trying the same playbook, but issue distortion is not working, October Surprise remains to be seen and will be blunted by 25 million votes already cast. His new registrations are beating ours, but we registered a bundle in 2018.
TheRickles
(2,047 posts)Tommymac
(7,263 posts)From their Website today re the Senate:
https://cookpolitical.com/ratings
Currently, the most likely outcome is a Democratic gain of between two and six seats.