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mzmolly

(51,685 posts)
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 12:46 PM Sep 2020

Trump has slipped among key groups that backed him in 2016

Source: Los Angeles Times

WASHINGTON — President Trump’s support has eroded among key groups of voters who backed him in 2016 — a major reason why he continues to trail former Vice President Joe Biden and a prime motivator for the president’s reelection strategy of emphasizing violent disorder in the nation’s cities.
Trump’s decline among parts of his 2016 base is a chief finding so far from the USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll, which tracked voter preferences daily four years ago and is doing so again this year. Overall, Trump has lost support from about 9% of voters who backed him in 2016, the poll finds.

The poll shows no major shift in the race during the last two weeks, belying much speculation that the back-to-back national political conventions and violence in Portland, Ore., and Kenosha, Wis., might have changed what has been an unusually stable contest.

During the Democratic convention, Biden gained 2 percentage points and Trump lost 2 points; Trump then regained some of that ground during his convention, a week-by-week comparison of the poll’s tracking shows.

Read more: https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-09-01/trump-slipped-among-key-groups-backed-him-2016

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trump has slipped among key groups that backed him in 2016 (Original Post) mzmolly Sep 2020 OP
Military, white suburban women, Religious, Republicans in general and then I see people on here LizBeth Sep 2020 #1
Key groups? So the oligarchs have dumped him? Midnight Writer Sep 2020 #2
The 'oligarches' are factors to be reckoned with empedocles Sep 2020 #3
Good point! mzmolly Sep 2020 #7
I have read that Mercer is "distancing" and that he's got Sheldon Adelson mad at him. Midnight Writer Sep 2020 #9
It would be sweet if Russia stopped backing him IronLionZion Sep 2020 #4
Yeah, that would be awesome.......but not as awesome AZ8theist Sep 2020 #5
That would mzmolly Sep 2020 #6
I'd love to know who the 4% are... regnaD kciN Sep 2020 #8
That is strange, mzmolly Sep 2020 #12
Mahalo, mzmolly.. what are the "key groups".. ? TY! Cha Sep 2020 #10
Hi Cha! mzmolly Sep 2020 #11
Thank you.. I was stopped at the paywall.. I really appreciate Cha Sep 2020 #13
You're most welcome mzmolly Sep 2020 #14

LizBeth

(10,857 posts)
1. Military, white suburban women, Religious, Republicans in general and then I see people on here
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 12:51 PM
Sep 2020

argue how Trump is beating Biden or an outlier post has validity, or Moore is right.

All these groups have people actively working against him, differing from 2016. Not to mention Democrats that just could not handle a woman president.

AZ8theist

(6,537 posts)
5. Yeah, that would be awesome.......but not as awesome
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 03:47 PM
Sep 2020

as Russia dumping the kompromat they have on him. Now THAT would be a party!!!!

(and you have to have the IQ of a doorknob to think Russia DOESN'T have shit on the Shithead...)

mzmolly

(51,685 posts)
11. Hi Cha!
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:13 PM
Sep 2020


According to the LA Times

Several groups have moved away from Trump:

Among people of color who cast ballots for Trump in 2016, nearly 1-in-5 now say they back Biden, the poll found. Among Latinos, about 1 in 4 say they will vote for Trump this year, down from more than 3 in 10 last time.

Among voters who live in rural areas — Trump’s stronghold — his vote among men has remained stable but has slipped by around 10 points among women.

Trump still has a large advantage among white voters without college degrees — his core group of supporters — but his lead has shrunk. In 2016, the poll found Trump leading among that group by roughly 40 percentage points. Now it’s about 25 points.

Among whites with college degrees, meanwhile, Biden has established a significant lead. In 2016, the poll found Trump and Clinton virtually even among whites with college degrees. This year, Biden leads, 54% to 41%.

Many of those college-educated voters live in suburban areas, where voters turned heavily against the Republicans in the 2018 midterm elections. The poll shows that happening again.


If this holds true, it looks like we have a diverse coalition in favor of defeating Trump.

Cha

(305,642 posts)
13. Thank you.. I was stopped at the paywall.. I really appreciate
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:23 PM
Sep 2020

the more information!

Too bad about the "rural men".

Yay Suburbia!





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