Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:13 PM Jun 2017

Donald Trump's Favorite Poll Shows an Approval Ratings Drop

Source: Newsweek



BY TIM MARCIN ON 6/19/17 AT 11:45 AM

Donald Trump loves championing the Rasmussen Reports poll. Just last week he tweeted out the survey, happily noting that it had pegged his approval rating at 50 percent, which is by no means great but far better than his average in other polls. But it's far less likely the president will promote the polling firm's latest findings, which found his approval rating had fallen 2 percentage points over the weekend.

The latest daily tracking survey from Rasmussen pegged Trump's approval at 48 percent, down from 50 percent Friday. Disapproval of the president rose to 51 percent in the new poll, from 50 percent. The Rasmussen survey samples 1,500 likely voters over a three-day period and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

Rasmussen, which is generally considered to be right-leaning, has found far better results for Trump than most other polling firms. The latest survey from Gallup Sunday, for instance, found the president's approval rating to be nearly 10 points lower than where Rasmussen had it Monday. Gallup pegged Trump's approval rating at 39 percent and his disapproval rating at 55 percent. That's actually a slight improvement on where Trump stood in the Gallup poll earlier in the week, when he dropped to 36 percent approval, just 1 percentage point better than his all-time-low in late March.

The weighted average from data-focused website FiveThirtyEight pegged Trump's support at 37.8 percent Monday, but it had yet to recalculate with the drop in the Rasmussen survey. Trump's disapproval rating was 55.4 percent in the FiveThirtyEight average, which accounts for a poll's quality, sample size and any partisan leanings.

Read more: http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-latest-approval-rating-falls-presidents-favorite-poll-627235

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

Eliot Rosewater

(31,109 posts)
1. America and the world better as hell hope his approval is nowhere near 48, if it is
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:15 PM
Jun 2017

it is a signal to the rest of the world we can no longer be trusted.

Doreen

(11,686 posts)
6. I think that we are already there with who used to be our allies.
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:54 PM
Jun 2017

Merkel made that awfully clear about a month ago and she was speaking for the other leaders of the free world.

broadcaster90210

(333 posts)
2. And yet he is still POTUS and the GOP runs everything
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:15 PM
Jun 2017

Someone let me know when we actually start winning a whole lot of elections that unseats Republicans. Only then will this matter.

Eliot Rosewater

(31,109 posts)
3. Democrats won the prez election 2016 as well as many senate and house
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:16 PM
Jun 2017

races, or would have were it not for unprecedented voter obstruction, gerrymandering and russian interference.

Turbineguy

(37,319 posts)
4. That's why it's better not to cherry-pick polls.
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:19 PM
Jun 2017

He should just make up his own poll. You know, like Saddam Hussein or Kim Jong un would.

DBoon

(22,356 posts)
11. Wouldn't put it past them
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 02:21 PM
Jun 2017

Use a pretentious name for the firm, keep their methodology a closely held secret, and publish results showing DT as immensely popular.

Just make it all up. His base will believe it.

Doreen

(11,686 posts)
7. He will just claim there was a hostile take over by the Democrats for the reason
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 01:58 PM
Jun 2017

they lowered his approval rating.

Dave Starsky

(5,914 posts)
9. Rasmussen must call every gun store in Alabama...
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 02:14 PM
Jun 2017

In order to come up with the "representative random sample" for their polls. That can't be an easy task.

Maybe they could get even better results, even more efficiently, if they just targeted the list of recent domestic violence parolees in Northern Idaho.

gvstn

(2,805 posts)
12. I read/heard over the weekend
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 02:44 PM
Jun 2017

That some college/organization enlisted a group of kids to sign up to be polled by Rasmussen. If by the second poll they tended to lean left they were no longer called after that. Those that leaned right kept getting polled.

Although not scientific it was a legitimate college professor that set up the experiment.

Dave Starsky

(5,914 posts)
13. That's anecdotal, but 100% believable.
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 03:14 PM
Jun 2017

Amazing how you can play a "random" sample when you know what the outcome needs to be ahead of time.

This is just one of many reasons why I never care what the latest "polling data" is.

The upshot is this: People that commission or run these types of polls are only crafting a Valentine to themselves about how loved they are. They remain willfully oblivious to how people honestly feel about them.

That works for you when you're only concerned with real estate deals that screw over a few people or maybe a few dozen or even a couple hundred. You can get away with that. It's nice to know that people "love" you.

But there are MILLIONS, even tens of millions, who are directly affected by what he does or says.

It's going to be hard for him when he finally discovers how much he is hated.

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
14. And easily provable that Obama had better approval numbers eight years ago...
Mon Jun 19, 2017, 04:59 PM
Jun 2017

Dumbass doesn't know 50% is less than 55%, no wonder he went bankrupt so many times.

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Donald Trump's Favorite P...