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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 12:44 PM Apr 2017

Ossoff Still Below 50% Threshold

Source: Political Wire



April 13, 2017 By Taegan Goddard

A new RRH poll in Georgia’s 6th congressional district finds Jon Ossoff (D) in the lead in the special election with 39%, followed by Karen Handel (R) at 15%, Bob Gray (R) at 12%, Dan Moody (R) at 11%, and Judson Hill (R) at 10%.

If no candidate gets 50%, there will be a runoff between the top two finishers.

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Read more: https://politicalwire.com/2017/04/13/ossoff-still-50-threshold/



More Than $14 Million Spent on Georgia Ad Blitz

April 13, 2017 By Taegan Goddard

Atlanta Journal Constitution: “Candidates and outside groups have spent nearly $14 million on an unending ad blitz in the race to replace Rep. Tom Price’s suburban Atlanta seat, and that tally that will surely grow in the final days before Tuesday’s nationally-watched vote.”

“An analysis of the advertising obtained by the AJC shows the biggest spender by far is Democrat Jon Ossoff, a former Congressional aide who is eyeing a historic upset in next week’s vote.”

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https://politicalwire.com/2017/04/13/14-million-spent-georgia-ad-blitz/
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Eliot Rosewater

(31,106 posts)
1. Fingers crossed.
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 12:48 PM
Apr 2017

Remarkable to watch races where nearly half of the people voting are voting to end their own lives.


riversedge

(70,090 posts)
2. Remember @ossoff doesn't need 50% of vote, he needs 50% of turnout. ..
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 12:51 PM
Apr 2017

I think this is right. But turnout are the voters--and ossoff does need that 50% turnout.


Christopher Zullo? @ChrisJZullo 42m42 minutes ago

Remember @ossoff doesn't need 50% of vote, he needs 50% of turnout. Get billionaires out of politics #voteyourossoff #ga06 #flipthe6th
0 replies 58 retweets 67 likes



karynnj

(59,498 posts)
5. True, but if you sum the Republicans, they have 48% to his 39%
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 02:01 PM
Apr 2017

In the first election, he would have to be much better at turning out the vote than the Republicans to get his share up to 50% of the votes cast. (Even if all the 13% who are not indicating who they will vote for don't vote, he would get (100/87) *39 = about 45%.

That said, the enthusiasm may be on our side in that first vote - so it could happen. It is probably more likely then than in the second vote where Republicans will not be divided and the better Ossoff does in the first vote the more on guard they will be.

FBaggins

(26,721 posts)
8. What does he think the difference is?
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 02:33 PM
Apr 2017

Is it that some votes are not turnout... or that some turnout is not a vote?

riversedge

(70,090 posts)
3. Is Obama making phone bank calls for the DCCC??.....
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 12:54 PM
Apr 2017



DCCC? Verified account @dccc 2h2 hours ago

📞 Ready to help us elect a Democrat in #GA06? Make calls before Early Voting ends tomorrow! Learn more >> http://dems.me/2o7amy3




mahina

(17,622 posts)
6. But he's way ahead in enthusiastic support. % of people who don't vote means nothing.
Thu Apr 13, 2017, 02:20 PM
Apr 2017

I'm seeing the celebrations happening. Come on Ossoff!!!

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