Cruz, Sanders top picks in Tuesday's Utah caucuses, poll says
Source: Deseret News
SALT LAKE CITY Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is the top pick of Utahns in Tuesday's GOP presidential preference caucus election and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is their choice in the Democratic caucus vote, according to a new Deseret News/KSL poll.
Cruz also leads GOP frontrunner Donald Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich among Republicans who said they're likely to participate in the caucus, as does Sanders over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton among a similar group of Democrats.... All of the candidates except Clinton have made campaign stops in Utah over the past several days and both the candidates and political action committees are blanketing Utah airwaves with well over $1 million in television and radio commercials.... Sanders, who has the support of 52 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers in the poll to 44 percent for Clinton, appeals to Utah voters because he's seen as "authentic. He is true to himself and we like that," Love said.
Read more: http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865650529/Cruz-Sanders-top-picks-in-Tuesdays-Utah-caucuses-poll-says.html
This polling corresponds to the projection at PredictWise, which has Sanders as the favorite in the following upcoming races:
Utah - 83% chance of Sanders win
Idaho - 85% chance of Sanders win
Alaska - 84% chance of Sanders win
Hawaii - 53% chance of Sanderswin
Washington - 87% chance of Sanders win
book_worm
(15,951 posts)That's pretty close though--52-44--Obama beat her 57-39 in 2008 in the state. The delegates will be pretty close with maybe Bernie getting two more delegates. It's a caucus state and an open caucus state and those favor Bernie.
George II
(67,782 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)"Bing" forecasts a clean sweep for Hillary "Western Tuesday"!
3 for 3 for Hillary!
70% in both Arizona and Idaho, 52% in Utah!
MisterFred
(525 posts)If Clinton wins Utah, I'll eat my hat (or wonder about voter fraud). There's just no way. It's a perfect storm of (mostly irrational) Hillary-hate and appeal of Sanders' message to the state's liberals/independents. Plus, Trump can't pull independents who might vote for Sanders as effectively as in other states. AND Kasich can't pull independents who might vote for Sanders as effectively as in other states because Trump isn't winning here.
New Earth
(9,745 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)That will earn him 3 more delegates than Clinton which won't even make a dent in his 325 delegate deficit so far.
And you listed five of the states voting on 3/22 and 3/26, curiously skipping over the second biggest state of Arizona, where Clinton has a commanding lead.
Of the six states voting in the next five days, Clinton will come out with more total delegates and Sanders falling further behind with 275 more delegates accounted for.
The lead is widening as we get closer to the finish line - not the way to win a race.
MisterFred
(525 posts)The last big hope for the Sanders campaign is to win by BIG margins in New York. Unlikely, but that's the idea.
George II
(67,782 posts)....by a margin of about 58% to 42% for Clinton.
For each state that he doesn't win with at least 58%, that number goes up.
In each of the six states voting tomorrow and Saturday, he isn't even close to that number, but Clinton is running about 2-1 in Arizona, the second biggest state voting.
imagine2015
(2,054 posts)Just elected (pledged) delegates, not super delegates who can vote for whomever they wish.
George II
(67,782 posts)...of pledged delegates, and then about 360 superdelegates (she already has more than 450)
imagine2015
(2,054 posts)And she starting to have funding problems.
That's why $34,000 a plate fund raisers for the rich are being organized at this late date.
George II
(67,782 posts)...she has never held a "$34,000 a plate fund raiser" - it's illegal.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)No democrat is going to win that state in the general election against ANY republican and that means Trump to
MisterFred
(525 posts)I remember when she talked about how meaningless her South Carolina win was...
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Dems in Presidential elections have won SC in the past
MisterFred
(525 posts)Oh, yes, SC went dem in one election 40 years ago when Utah went R. That's SOOO much more important to today's world than the one election where Utah went dem and SC went R 52 years ago.
Seriously, are you arguing just for the sake of arguing? I did have a good laugh at the 'evidence' that you use to get me to believe SC is so much more liberal than Utah.
Land Shark
(6,346 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)It was front loaded for her. They had no idea who could possibly come out and be a better candidate.
Thanks for running Bernie. You're going to be the next president.