Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 10:06 AM Mar 2016

Cruz, Sanders top picks in Tuesday's Utah caucuses, poll says

Source: Deseret News

SALT LAKE CITY — Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is the top pick of Utahns in Tuesday's GOP presidential preference caucus election and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is their choice in the Democratic caucus vote, according to a new Deseret News/KSL poll.

Cruz also leads GOP frontrunner Donald Trump and Ohio Gov. John Kasich among Republicans who said they're likely to participate in the caucus, as does Sanders over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton among a similar group of Democrats.... All of the candidates except Clinton have made campaign stops in Utah over the past several days and both the candidates and political action committees are blanketing Utah airwaves with well over $1 million in television and radio commercials.... Sanders, who has the support of 52 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers in the poll to 44 percent for Clinton, appeals to Utah voters because he's seen as "authentic. He is true to himself and we like that," Love said.

Read more: http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865650529/Cruz-Sanders-top-picks-in-Tuesdays-Utah-caucuses-poll-says.html



This polling corresponds to the projection at PredictWise, which has Sanders as the favorite in the following upcoming races:

Utah - 83% chance of Sanders win
Idaho - 85% chance of Sanders win
Alaska - 84% chance of Sanders win
Hawaii - 53% chance of Sanderswin
Washington - 87% chance of Sanders win



18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Cruz, Sanders top picks in Tuesday's Utah caucuses, poll says (Original Post) Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 OP
I always expected Bernie to win Utah book_worm Mar 2016 #1
Are you insinuating that this is NOT "just like 2008"??? George II Mar 2016 #5
People love a winner! yallerdawg Mar 2016 #2
You're being lied to. MisterFred Mar 2016 #7
awesome news! New Earth Mar 2016 #3
Sanders is currently ahead of Clinton by 51-43 in Utah... George II Mar 2016 #4
Yeah, it's really about New York. MisterFred Mar 2016 #8
With the current count of pledged delegates, Sanders has to win ALL remaining states.... George II Mar 2016 #10
What percentage does Hillary need in elected delegates to secure the nomination? imagine2015 Mar 2016 #15
She needs a little more than 40% of the remaining pledged delegates to get a majority.... George II Mar 2016 #16
It's starting to look like Hillary won't have enough elected delegates for the nomination. imagine2015 Mar 2016 #14
Wrong on two counts - she has more than $30M left, Sanders less than $15M. And... George II Mar 2016 #17
Utah is a mostly republican state I don't think Hillary is sweating it there bigdarryl Mar 2016 #6
Yeah, she doesn't care at all about red states. MisterFred Mar 2016 #9
SC isn't exactly a reddest state compared to Utah bigdarryl Mar 2016 #11
WTF is your point. MisterFred Mar 2016 #12
Sanders speaking at 2 major events this afternoon in SLC, Utah Land Shark Mar 2016 #13
This is the part of the race, Hillary was to run in alone. ViseGrip Mar 2016 #18

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
1. I always expected Bernie to win Utah
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 10:15 AM
Mar 2016

That's pretty close though--52-44--Obama beat her 57-39 in 2008 in the state. The delegates will be pretty close with maybe Bernie getting two more delegates. It's a caucus state and an open caucus state and those favor Bernie.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
2. People love a winner!
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 10:36 AM
Mar 2016

"Bing" forecasts a clean sweep for Hillary "Western Tuesday"!

3 for 3 for Hillary!

70% in both Arizona and Idaho, 52% in Utah!

MisterFred

(525 posts)
7. You're being lied to.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:58 AM
Mar 2016

If Clinton wins Utah, I'll eat my hat (or wonder about voter fraud). There's just no way. It's a perfect storm of (mostly irrational) Hillary-hate and appeal of Sanders' message to the state's liberals/independents. Plus, Trump can't pull independents who might vote for Sanders as effectively as in other states. AND Kasich can't pull independents who might vote for Sanders as effectively as in other states because Trump isn't winning here.

George II

(67,782 posts)
4. Sanders is currently ahead of Clinton by 51-43 in Utah...
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:14 AM
Mar 2016

That will earn him 3 more delegates than Clinton which won't even make a dent in his 325 delegate deficit so far.

And you listed five of the states voting on 3/22 and 3/26, curiously skipping over the second biggest state of Arizona, where Clinton has a commanding lead.

Of the six states voting in the next five days, Clinton will come out with more total delegates and Sanders falling further behind with 275 more delegates accounted for.

The lead is widening as we get closer to the finish line - not the way to win a race.

MisterFred

(525 posts)
8. Yeah, it's really about New York.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:59 AM
Mar 2016

The last big hope for the Sanders campaign is to win by BIG margins in New York. Unlikely, but that's the idea.

George II

(67,782 posts)
10. With the current count of pledged delegates, Sanders has to win ALL remaining states....
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 12:04 PM
Mar 2016

....by a margin of about 58% to 42% for Clinton.

For each state that he doesn't win with at least 58%, that number goes up.

In each of the six states voting tomorrow and Saturday, he isn't even close to that number, but Clinton is running about 2-1 in Arizona, the second biggest state voting.

 

imagine2015

(2,054 posts)
15. What percentage does Hillary need in elected delegates to secure the nomination?
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:45 PM
Mar 2016

Just elected (pledged) delegates, not super delegates who can vote for whomever they wish.

George II

(67,782 posts)
16. She needs a little more than 40% of the remaining pledged delegates to get a majority....
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:48 PM
Mar 2016

...of pledged delegates, and then about 360 superdelegates (she already has more than 450)

 

imagine2015

(2,054 posts)
14. It's starting to look like Hillary won't have enough elected delegates for the nomination.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:42 PM
Mar 2016

And she starting to have funding problems.

That's why $34,000 a plate fund raisers for the rich are being organized at this late date.

George II

(67,782 posts)
17. Wrong on two counts - she has more than $30M left, Sanders less than $15M. And...
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:52 PM
Mar 2016

...she has never held a "$34,000 a plate fund raiser" - it's illegal.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
6. Utah is a mostly republican state I don't think Hillary is sweating it there
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:36 AM
Mar 2016

No democrat is going to win that state in the general election against ANY republican and that means Trump to

MisterFred

(525 posts)
9. Yeah, she doesn't care at all about red states.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:59 AM
Mar 2016

I remember when she talked about how meaningless her South Carolina win was...

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
11. SC isn't exactly a reddest state compared to Utah
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 01:09 PM
Mar 2016

Dems in Presidential elections have won SC in the past

MisterFred

(525 posts)
12. WTF is your point.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 01:23 PM
Mar 2016

Oh, yes, SC went dem in one election 40 years ago when Utah went R. That's SOOO much more important to today's world than the one election where Utah went dem and SC went R 52 years ago.

Seriously, are you arguing just for the sake of arguing? I did have a good laugh at the 'evidence' that you use to get me to believe SC is so much more liberal than Utah.

 

ViseGrip

(3,133 posts)
18. This is the part of the race, Hillary was to run in alone.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 12:57 AM
Mar 2016

It was front loaded for her. They had no idea who could possibly come out and be a better candidate.

Thanks for running Bernie. You're going to be the next president.

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Cruz, Sanders top picks i...