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kentuck

(112,411 posts)
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:24 PM Jul 2012

Can the President still say that the mandate is not a "tax"??

After the Supreme Court decision, where the Chief Justice made the winning argument for the Administration, the President won the case because Chief Justice Roberts said that Congress had the authority to tax and voted to uphold the Healthcare Act.

However, it is a two-edged sword. The President won his battle before the Supreme Court but only on the condition that it is a tax. From that perspective, the Republicans could declare a political victory, since they get to run against Obama's huge "tax increase".

So, was it really a victory for President Obama and the Democrats? The Democrats still do not want to call it a "tax" but if the Chief Justice had not ruled the way he did, the entire bill could have gone under?

At the most, it is a Pyrrhic victory. The Democrats have to accept that it was a tax increase and fight on those grounds, or the Republicans will pummel them with the "big-spending liberal" charge. From this perspective, which Party won the Supreme Court decision?

134 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Can the President still say that the mandate is not a "tax"?? (Original Post) kentuck Jul 2012 OP
How can it be Pyrrhic when the ACA stays in effect? treestar Jul 2012 #1
The Chief Justice ruled that it was constitutional only because... kentuck Jul 2012 #6
Except when this gets out BumRushDaShow Jul 2012 #7
I'm going to find that link and save it to my phone... Volaris Jul 2012 #64
A Pyrrhic victory is one in name only treestar Jul 2012 #18
I think that calling it a "Pyrrhic" victory means that it may have a negative effect razorman Jul 2012 #25
There are many issues to campaign on treestar Jul 2012 #41
You have a point. Of course, both sides will try to "spin" to their best advantage. razorman Jul 2012 #134
"Its positive attributes can be touted." - in today's "liberally-biased media"??? zbdent Jul 2012 #34
No argument from me on the media carrying water for Rs treestar Jul 2012 #42
Well Dems really need to start touting loudly and often. n/t Beartracks Jul 2012 #76
If I don't get health insurance and pay the tax what do I get? You just stated: kelly1mm Jul 2012 #39
A health insurance policy? treestar Jul 2012 #72
No, I don't get a health insurance policy by paying the tax. By definition you only pay the tax if kelly1mm Jul 2012 #74
Then get the insurance policy treestar Jul 2012 #109
This is the first I've heard of the catastrophic loss coverage. drm604 Jul 2012 #106
that is what insurance policies are for! treestar Jul 2012 #110
I understand what insurance policies are for. I'm not stupid. drm604 Jul 2012 #111
The only people who will pay the penalty are treestar Jul 2012 #114
I understand that. drm604 Jul 2012 #116
No, paying the penalty would mean no coverage treestar Jul 2012 #124
It's a tax on a behavior? girl gone mad Jul 2012 #62
Well, that's what the Court said treestar Jul 2012 #71
If you can't afford it, government subsidies are available. drm604 Jul 2012 #104
One Justice says it is a tax Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #2
Explain tax break for 99 percent Broderick Jul 2012 #3
Actually, it's projected to be 98% Wounded Bear Jul 2012 #9
That seems like an unrealistic projection. girl gone mad Jul 2012 #63
The tax/penalty will only be on 1 or 2 percent of the population. Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #16
Well that might go higher as people drop coverages. Broderick Jul 2012 #30
Have you tried the Wa Po calculator? Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #40
thanks for the link Broderick Jul 2012 #125
How can they possibly project those percentages? B2G Jul 2012 #46
That is the rate in MA where they have a similar system. Motown_Johnny Jul 2012 #55
Good points. kentuck Jul 2012 #8
I don't think he can, and along those lines hughee99 Jul 2012 #4
The decision says it is not a penalty treestar Jul 2012 #45
The President won the battle for legislation he tacked his presidency on, but Roberts gave... Poll_Blind Jul 2012 #5
"There's a certain type of diabolic brilliance..." kentuck Jul 2012 #12
Some legal scholars suggest Roberts produced an essentially conservative opinion with a... Poll_Blind Jul 2012 #17
Thanks PB! kentuck Jul 2012 #28
It is a penalty affecting a small number of people who could afford to buy health insurance but Skidmore Jul 2012 #10
The IRS does not administer DMV fines. David__77 Jul 2012 #105
This tax is going to impact the middle class the most B2G Jul 2012 #11
Bullshit. Warren Stupidity Jul 2012 #58
Bull. The middle class can afford insurance Arkana Jul 2012 #117
The Mandate isn't a tax. The Penalty is. If you follow the law, you incur no tax. MjolnirTime Jul 2012 #13
Good description n/t ChazII Jul 2012 #68
Because one out of the nine Justices says it's a tax, Nye Bevan Jul 2012 #14
Because he wrote the majority opinion... kentuck Jul 2012 #15
That was still only his opinion. Nye Bevan Jul 2012 #19
So the President can say that it is only CJ Roberts' decision? kentuck Jul 2012 #22
Yep. Five Justices said ACA was fine, Nye Bevan Jul 2012 #33
But it ProSense Jul 2012 #21
Interesting that Roberts may be too clever by half... kentuck Jul 2012 #24
Democrats ProSense Jul 2012 #27
I would agree but still... kentuck Jul 2012 #29
To add... rufus dog Jul 2012 #32
The Chief Justice based his decision on the White House's own arguments. girl gone mad Jul 2012 #65
The Solicitor General argued before the SCOTUS that it was a tax zoechen Jul 2012 #20
Thanks for the clarification... kentuck Jul 2012 #26
The spin will be interesting 4th law of robotics Jul 2012 #23
Again, while five Justices said it was constitutional, only one said it was a tax. Nye Bevan Jul 2012 #37
"A rose by any other name would smell as sweet." A tax by any other name would smell as... Tierra_y_Libertad Jul 2012 #31
I think Dems best response is - "Huge tax increase"? Fearmongering hyperbole. Check the facts... pinto Jul 2012 #35
It is a tax and your health insurance premiums are now taxes. dkf Jul 2012 #36
Insurance premiums are NOT taxes B2G Jul 2012 #44
We didn't choose. The government forced us to buy it. dkf Jul 2012 #53
Got it...and I agree B2G Jul 2012 #54
+1 Poll_Blind Jul 2012 #59
You aren't forced to buy anything. Warren Stupidity Jul 2012 #60
He can, he is and he will. lonestarnot Jul 2012 #38
Whatever they call it, 40 millon uninsured will now be covered still_one Jul 2012 #43
It's all about informing people about how they will save $ flamingdem Jul 2012 #50
17 million were supposed to be covered under expansion of Medicaid. dkf Jul 2012 #56
Ask Romney. nt BootinUp Jul 2012 #47
I stand by Justice Ginsburg ashling Jul 2012 #48
To your final question .... The people who now get coverage won. JoePhilly Jul 2012 #49
Why are you looking gift horse in the mouth. pennylane100 Jul 2012 #51
Simply stated. kentuck Jul 2012 #52
I support fair taxation. Warren Stupidity Jul 2012 #57
No. I think taxes are necessary for the society that we want. kentuck Jul 2012 #61
You are a brave person; your op is spot on (if it looks like a tax, quacks like a tax, and walks sad sally Jul 2012 #70
This is a very regressive tax. girl gone mad Jul 2012 #67
why is it regressive? Warren Stupidity Jul 2012 #69
It's regressive in that a .001% upper income will pay the same as a 10% upper income.. Fumesucker Jul 2012 #77
They say that anyway, truth be damned. PotatoChip Jul 2012 #66
It's like a cigarette tax Life Long Dem Jul 2012 #73
And the Repubs are now saying... kentuck Jul 2012 #75
why are you ignoring the interpretations of the other affirming Justices bigtree Jul 2012 #80
Yes it's a tax. So what? bluestateguy Jul 2012 #78
Absolutely right. kentuck Jul 2012 #85
A sovereign currency government does not need to increase taxes to spend. girl gone mad Jul 2012 #100
why can't he refer to more than just the one Justice who claims it's a tax? bigtree Jul 2012 #79
But then, it would have failed and you would have something else to complain about. kentuck Jul 2012 #81
I don't understand why is this such a problem to understand. zoechen Jul 2012 #83
It was not just "one Justice". former9thward Jul 2012 #82
Must have been a very persuasive argument? kentuck Jul 2012 #84
It is about one word zoechen Jul 2012 #87
he says that IF they view it as a tax, they have an obligation to leave the law alone bigtree Jul 2012 #88
So I don't understand what you point is zoechen Jul 2012 #89
so the Justices that didn't recognize the tax argument were just swiss cheese? bigtree Jul 2012 #90
The fact of the matter is zoechen Jul 2012 #92
I think you are right. kentuck Jul 2012 #94
that doesn't make the tax element some overriding part of the mandate bigtree Jul 2012 #98
It says it (taxation) was the "heart" of his argument. former9thward Jul 2012 #118
it affects about2% of the population, mostly affluent folks opting out bigtree Jul 2012 #121
So Obama's lawyer lied to the court. former9thward Jul 2012 #122
no, that's just a distortion of what was said and the facts of the law bigtree Jul 2012 #128
social security and medicare are mandated taxes madrchsod Jul 2012 #86
There's a difference between a tax, and a penalty imposed under the authority to tax markpkessinger Jul 2012 #91
The administrations own Council General argued zoechen Jul 2012 #93
If they had not made that argument... kentuck Jul 2012 #95
That's what I'm saying zoechen Jul 2012 #96
What is at issue now is not what the Solicitor argued, but what the Court actually held n/t markpkessinger Jul 2012 #97
Ok zoechen Jul 2012 #99
In other words, would it have been better to have the entire bill declared unconstitutional? kentuck Jul 2012 #101
I agree zoechen Jul 2012 #102
The Solicitor made two parallel arguments . . . markpkessinger Jul 2012 #107
Right, I have already commented on this before zoechen Jul 2012 #108
Well, it is a "tax" by all reasonable measures... David__77 Jul 2012 #103
It's a penalty paid as a tax.... soccer1 Jul 2012 #115
No, it's not a tax, it's a .... soccer1 Jul 2012 #130
the supreme court confirmed that he can call it whatever he wants. unblock Jul 2012 #112
Nnnnnnope cherokeeprogressive Jul 2012 #113
No. n/t lumberjack_jeff Jul 2012 #119
Romney agrees with the President... kentuck Jul 2012 #120
yes. it is a penalty. spanone Jul 2012 #123
Pyrrhic? Not in the slightest. It ENERGIZED Obama, if anything. MADem Jul 2012 #126
It is not a tax; it is a penalty to be paid only by free-riders. NYC_SKP Jul 2012 #127
tell em bigtree Jul 2012 #129
I don't understand by people want to echo the current RW talk radio rant about "new taxes"... NYC_SKP Jul 2012 #133
"penalty to be paid only by free-riders" girl gone mad Jul 2012 #131
Hey, why don't you just take it up with Nancy Pelosi, who used the term last week? NYC_SKP Jul 2012 #132

treestar

(82,383 posts)
1. How can it be Pyrrhic when the ACA stays in effect?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:26 PM
Jul 2012

President Obama and staff are smart enough to answer this question. It is not a "tax increase" for one thing. It's a tax on a behavior. And you get something specific in return for the tax. As such, that can be identified moreso than in general what we get in return for our taxes.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
6. The Chief Justice ruled that it was constitutional only because...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:33 PM
Jul 2012

Congress has the authority to tax. Otherwise the entire bill would have gone under if Roberts had voted with the other 4 conservative judges. A Pyrrhic victory carries a heavy cost. In this case, it will be labeled a huge "tax" on the people. In that sense, the Democrats could pay a heavy political price for the "victory".

Volaris

(10,493 posts)
64. I'm going to find that link and save it to my phone...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:50 PM
Jul 2012

And EVERY TIME one of my idiot 'bagger relatives opens their mouth about Obamacare, they are going to be forced to watch the REPUBLICAN candidate for President explain how Mass. (and now America) adopted a Republican solution to an issue near and dear to the hearts of liberals.

This might not be the knife that wins The President re-election, but it IS the knife that causes the R-MNY-BOT (version 2.0) to lose it.

Fuck em.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
18. A Pyrrhic victory is one in name only
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:48 PM
Jul 2012

The ACA remains in effect. Its positive attributes can be touted.

razorman

(1,644 posts)
25. I think that calling it a "Pyrrhic" victory means that it may have a negative effect
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:04 PM
Jul 2012

on the president's chance for reelection. If the Repubs can successfully campaign on the "tax hike" angle, it may help them. Considering the SCOTUS ruling, President Obama cannot claim that the mandate is not a tax, and have the ACA still held constitutional. That fight is over. He now has to figure a way to effectively combat the "tax raiser" label.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
41. There are many issues to campaign on
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:25 PM
Jul 2012

The Obama campaign is capable of positive spin on the health care plan.

Rs would say Obama is raising taxes anyway. They say that every four years.


A Pyrrhic victory (/ˈpɪrɪk/) is a victory with such a devastating cost that it carries the implication that another such victory will ultimately lead to defeat. Someone who wins a "Pyrrhic victory" has been victorious in some way; however, the heavy toll and/or the detrimental consequences negates any sense of achievement or profit. There is, therefore, no reason to celebrate.
Contents [hide]
1 Origin
2 Examples
3 See also
4 References

How anyone can say the law being upheld is a pyrrhic victory is beyond all. So it would have been better to have it knocked down? The average voter sees a "winner" here and that is better than the Rs being able to say there is a tax hike under a Democrat (something they would have said anyway).

razorman

(1,644 posts)
134. You have a point. Of course, both sides will try to "spin" to their best advantage.
Tue Jul 3, 2012, 10:42 PM
Jul 2012

The voting public will have to decide which to believe. I hear the R's talking about a "silver lining" in their defeat on this issue. It has them plenty riled up. It looks like a lot of conservative fence-sitters will now back Romney because of this. Frankly, I do not see much of the same anger or enthusiasm on our side. It has me worried. What the general public believes or doesn't believe is irrelevant, if they don't bother to vote.

zbdent

(35,392 posts)
34. "Its positive attributes can be touted." - in today's "liberally-biased media"???
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:17 PM
Jul 2012

Mitch McConnell & company appear to be the President, not Obama. They get daily press conferences when they want to attack Obama or whichever Dem makes a minor faux pas, all the while ignoring Romney's "I like to fire people" statement.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
42. No argument from me on the media carrying water for Rs
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:26 PM
Jul 2012

Yet it is still possible to win. They did it in 2008.

People are already feeling effects of the benefit of the ACA.

kelly1mm

(5,020 posts)
39. If I don't get health insurance and pay the tax what do I get? You just stated:
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:23 PM
Jul 2012

"And you get something specific in return for the tax." What exactly do I get?

treestar

(82,383 posts)
72. A health insurance policy?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 05:38 PM
Jul 2012

That will cover catastrophic losses. Look, we can understand rabid hatred of insurance companies in general. But they don't deny every single claim. If they do, they at least have some reason.

You don't have car insurance either, right, since you get "nothing" in return for it.

kelly1mm

(5,020 posts)
74. No, I don't get a health insurance policy by paying the tax. By definition you only pay the tax if
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 06:48 PM
Jul 2012

don't have a health insurance policy. Not having a health insurance policy and thus paying the tax does not get you anything health insurance wise (or any other benefit). The tax goes to general revenue.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
109. Then get the insurance policy
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 02:24 AM
Jul 2012

The government is friggin' going to subsidize it if your income is low enough.

the tax is for people so stubborn they won't buy health insurance even though they can afford it. The idiots who think they are young and/or healthy and therefore can risk it. Then we pay for them when they go to the ER.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
110. that is what insurance policies are for!
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 02:25 AM
Jul 2012

expenses we can't handle in the course of things. That is why we buy them.

drm604

(16,230 posts)
111. I understand what insurance policies are for. I'm not stupid.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:45 AM
Jul 2012

Look at the entire context of this subthread.

kelly1mm stated:

If I don't get health insurance and pay the tax what do I get? You just stated:

"And you get something specific in return for the tax." What exactly do I get?


Your reply to her query was:
A health insurance policy?

That will cover catastrophic losses.
So it appears that you are saying that people who decline the policy and pay the penalty will receive catastrophic coverage in return for paying that penalty. I'm asking you where you got that information since I have not heard that before.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
114. The only people who will pay the penalty are
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 10:10 AM
Jul 2012

1. People rich enough to pay medical expenses out of pocket
2. People who can afford insurance but stubbornly insist they don't want to be "forced" to be covered
3. People who are so dumb they see no value in an insurance policy, (until they end up with a huge hospital bill, for which they blame "the insurance companies" the "health care corporations" and "the CEOs.&quot

drm604

(16,230 posts)
116. I understand that.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:44 PM
Jul 2012

But where did you get the part about them receiving catastrophic coverage in exchange for paying the penalty, or did I misunderstand your post?

treestar

(82,383 posts)
124. No, paying the penalty would mean no coverage
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 05:36 PM
Jul 2012

Paying for the coverage, with or without subsidy depending on income, would mean you'd have coverage for catastrophes (unexpected illnesses or accidents for which you would incur huge medical bills beyond your income).

The ACA is to make sure you are insured against those kinds of expenses. If you can't afford it, the government helps you. Why that has to be looked on as forcing you to do something awful and unfair is beyond astonishing, and that is what so many posters keep doing. So they will pay the penalty and the rest of us will continue to pay indirectly for their ER visits when things get bad. All because they were too stubborn to take a benefit. Just because they hate insurance companies so much.

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
62. It's a tax on a behavior?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:37 PM
Jul 2012

Woohoo.. a winning political argument if ever there was one. Misbehaving by not purchasing unaffordable insurance? There's a tax for that!

"And you get something specific in return for the tax."

No, you get nothing if you pay the tax. You get to help pay for hospital claims insurers deny, something which used to be covered primarily by Medicare and Medicaid. One less obligation for the elites to have to worry about. Oh joy.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
71. Well, that's what the Court said
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 05:35 PM
Jul 2012

It likened it to mortgage deductions or credits for education. The tax system is used to encourage a certain behavior. That is permissible under the constitution, as a valid exercise of the taxing power.



None of this is to say that the payment is not intended to affect individual conduct. Although the payment willraise considerable revenue, it is plainly designed to expand health insurance coverage. But taxes that seek to influence conduct are nothing new. Some of our earliest federal taxes sought to deter the purchase of imported manufactured goods in order to foster the growth of domestic industry. See W. Brownlee, Federal Taxation in America 22 (2d ed. 2004); cf. 2 J. Story, Commentaries onthe Constitution of the United States §962, p. 434 (1833) (“the taxing power is often, very often, applied for otherpurposes, than revenue”). Today, federal and state taxes can compose more than half the retail price of cigarettes, not just to raise more money, but to encourage people to quit smoking. And we have upheld such obviously regulatory measures as taxes on selling marijuana and sawed-off shotguns. See United States v. Sanchez, 340 U. S. 42, 44– 45 (1950); Sonzinsky v. United States, 300 U. S. 506, 513 (1937). Indeed, “[e]very tax is in some measure regulatory. To some extent it interposes an economic impediment to the activity taxed as compared with others not taxed.” Sonzinsky, supra, at 513. That §5000A seeks to shape decisions about whether to buy health insurance does not mean that it cannot be a valid exercise of the taxing power.


Opinion of ROBERTS, C. J.
Cite as: 567 U. S. ____ (2012) 37
Opinion of the Court

Congress’s use of the Taxing Clause to encourage buying something is, by contrast, not new. Tax incentives already promote,for example, purchasing homes and professional educations. See 26 U. S. C. §§163(h), 25A. Sustaining the mandate as a tax depends only on whether Congress has properly exercised its taxing power to encourage purchasing health insurance, not whether it can. Upholding theindividual mandate under the Taxing Clause thus does not recognize any new federal power. It determines that Congress has used an existing one.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
2. One Justice says it is a tax
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:27 PM
Jul 2012

four others upheld the law under the commerce clause and the other four voted to overturn the law.



So he can still debate the issue with things like "If this is a tax, then it comes with an automatic tax break for 99% of Americans".


On the other hand, he can no longer "absolutely reject" the idea.



*Edit* I said 99% and it could be more like 98%. Time will tell so for now I will concede the point.

Wounded Bear

(60,175 posts)
9. Actually, it's projected to be 98%
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:36 PM
Jul 2012


Current projections say that only 2% of the population will be hit by the penalty "tax".

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
63. That seems like an unrealistic projection.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:43 PM
Jul 2012

2% might be possible if you only consider a very narrow window in time. Over months and years, however, a far greater percentage of people will be hit with the tax as they change employers, become unemployed, or are forced to drop insurance due to some other unforeseen circumstance.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
16. The tax/penalty will only be on 1 or 2 percent of the population.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:47 PM
Jul 2012

That is what the argument is about.


Most of the law is about things like forcing the insurance companies to pay out at least 80% of revenue on health care procedures. This helps pay for some of the increased care.


Yes the expansion of Medicaid will cost some tax dollars but that is more of a redirection of funds other than a new expenditure. People who are already paying for health insurance have increased premiums because of the uninsured using the Emergency Room and never paying the bill. Admittedly this now comes out of tax dollars instead of going through private insurance so it could be represented as a tax increase. Over all this should decrease those costs because the private companies are still skimming a percentage of that as a profit while the Government will have lower overhead (as Medicare and Medicaid already have).



I would rather see that tax/penalty go towards a public option so that these people would still have some form of insurance. The conservatives don't like that because so many people would opt for the government care that it would hurt their insurance company donors.


Yes, this is a tax in the same way that a tomato is a fruit. It is, but it still kinda isn't.

Broderick

(4,578 posts)
30. Well that might go higher as people drop coverages.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:08 PM
Jul 2012

I offer health insurance to my employees. Even reasonably paid folks opt out because they can't afford it. Will be trying to explain how the law will benefit them.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
40. Have you tried the Wa Po calculator?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:25 PM
Jul 2012
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/what-health-bill-means-for-you/?hpid=z2


I would suggest estimating the adjusted income for some of your employees and plug it in. Then compare that to what they are paying now.

You may be surprised.
 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
46. How can they possibly project those percentages?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:28 PM
Jul 2012

With 50 million unisured, do you really think 99% of them will choose to purchase insurance?

And if they do, what happens when you dump that many people into healthcare system at the same time?

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
55. That is the rate in MA where they have a similar system.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 02:21 PM
Jul 2012

And it isn't all into one system at the same time. Medicaid will take a lot of them.


We are just talking about insurance here, they are not all showing up at the same doctor's office on the same day.

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
4. I don't think he can, and along those lines
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:30 PM
Jul 2012

when a government agency imposes a fine on someone for non-compliance, are they really imposing a "tax" now? They may have been given the power to levy fines, but not to tax, which is a power that lies specifically with congress according to the constitution.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
45. The decision says it is not a penalty
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:27 PM
Jul 2012

It is just a tax, meant to affect behavior, like a cigarette tax.

Poll_Blind

(23,864 posts)
5. The President won the battle for legislation he tacked his presidency on, but Roberts gave...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:30 PM
Jul 2012

...the Republican party a great deal of ammunition in an attempt to win the war they wage on Obama. I can only assume that it was the price he extracted in order to switch. It's hard to imagine that Roberts made a decision like this completely on his own. There's a certain type of diabolic brilliance to it which I kind of doubt he's capable of on his own.

I'm not sure a clear cut "winner" or "loser" was revealed, only opportunities that both sides will try to exploit as much as they may before election day.

PB

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
12. "There's a certain type of diabolic brilliance..."
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:40 PM
Jul 2012

Indeed.

I think Roberts weighed this very carefully and came to the conclusion that the ACA mandate was a "tax" and would help the Republicans in the election. The President would get to claim a "victory" but it would be short-lived.

Democrats have been running from the "tax" issue for years so it will be interesting to see how they address it? I have little doubt but that this is the way the Repubs will spin it.

Poll_Blind

(23,864 posts)
17. Some legal scholars suggest Roberts produced an essentially conservative opinion with a...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:47 PM
Jul 2012

...liberal outcome. That's a line from a piece in today's Seattle times. I'm going to pull out a little section of it for ya:

Some legal scholars suggest Roberts produced an essentially conservative opinion with a liberal outcome.

Neal Katyal, the former acting solicitor general who argued the Obama administration's side in the health care cases in several appeals courts, said that Roberts' majority opinion opened the door to potentially important changes in the law that could restrict federal power as it has been understood since the New Deal.

Ilya Somin, a George Mason University law professor, said on the Volokh Conspiracy legal blog that the health care case "gives supporters of limits on federal power some useful ammunition, despite also dealing us a painful defeat."

In addition, Roberts' ruling has helped refocus the public debate over the law and gave Republican opponents ammunition for calling it a big tax increase they would try to repeal.


The whole piece can be read here:
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2018572349_apustherobertscourt.html

PB

Skidmore

(37,364 posts)
10. It is a penalty affecting a small number of people who could afford to buy health insurance but
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:37 PM
Jul 2012

who won't. It is a fine, not unlike those who refuse to purchase car insurance.

David__77

(23,863 posts)
105. The IRS does not administer DMV fines.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:47 AM
Jul 2012

And are you so sure that these people can "afford" to purchase policies? Per a formula?

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
11. This tax is going to impact the middle class the most
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:39 PM
Jul 2012

The wealthy have or will purchase insurance. The poor will get it though Medicaid or have it paid entirely through subsidies.

The middle class will bend over.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
58. Bullshit.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:06 PM
Jul 2012

Most people in any definition of the middle class are working at jobs that come with health insurance as a benefit. They will not be affected at all by the mandate.

Arkana

(24,347 posts)
117. Bull. The middle class can afford insurance
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:46 PM
Jul 2012

and if they can't they can afford to pay the penalty.

 

MjolnirTime

(1,800 posts)
13. The Mandate isn't a tax. The Penalty is. If you follow the law, you incur no tax.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:40 PM
Jul 2012

Obama won again. I thought you'd be used to it by now.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
14. Because one out of the nine Justices says it's a tax,
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:42 PM
Jul 2012

the President has to agree with him? That would be a peculiar theory.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
22. So the President can say that it is only CJ Roberts' decision?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:52 PM
Jul 2012

and he still doesn't think it is a tax, even though, ACA would be dead right now if the Chief Justice did not rule that it was constitutional only because Congress had the authority to tax?

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
33. Yep. Five Justices said ACA was fine,
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:16 PM
Jul 2012

but only one of these five said it was a tax.

Nice quick summary that also happens to be true.

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
21. But it
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:50 PM
Jul 2012

"Because he wrote the majority opinion...and it is in the opinion."

...wasn't the relevant opinion.

One place Roberts Outsmarted Himself is....

...by upholding the ACA under the taxing power, he thereby rendered the holding on the limits of the commerce clause vulnerable to a court with one less conservative justice treating that aspect of the opinion as dicta (dicta are parts of a written SCOTUS decision that are unnecessary to the foundation of the result actually reached, and therefore merely in effect, commentary rather than binding precedent). The conservative wing of the court has used this tactic frequently over the past 30 years to incrementally chip away at decisions off previous more liberal SCOTUS decisions.

This is yet one more reason the 2012 Presidential election is so important, as will be 2016: to strangle Roberts "incremental radicalism" in the crib via SCOTUS appointments.

http://www.dailykos.com/comments/1104692/46626759#c9


There's no way around that

Ginsburg said this in her concurrence. He has a discussion of how it's supposedly not Dicta, it it was in the part of the decision that he wrote for himself alone. It can still be important, though, because Roberts is right in a sense as he said in III.D that the CC analysis is logically prior.

Where it's outclevered, and consistent with being dicta, every concern he had with commerce clause "expansion" and broad federal power (dread broccoli), somehow stopped mattering where the text gave even less room for manoeuver. Congress regulate anything it wants if it imposes penalties for noncompliance, as long as it relates to other commercial regulations. Sounds a lot like the "substantial effects" test and the NP clause.

As constructed, Roberts' relevant opinion will make it extremely easy to sell single payer.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
24. Interesting that Roberts may be too clever by half...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:58 PM
Jul 2012

But still, the Democrats would have to accept that they have the authority to tax and regulate anything it wants and be ready to accept the political consequences. Will these Democrats ever progress to that point?

Also, I would agree that Roberts' opinion would make it a lot easier to sell single payer. The only thing that would hinder that from happening would be the lack of will power by the Democrats.

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
27. Democrats
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:04 PM
Jul 2012

"But still, the Democrats would have to accept that they have the authority to tax and regulate anything it wants and be ready to accept the political consequences. Will these Democrats ever progress to that point?"

...can make the argument Verrilli made and also point out the facts related to Roberts' shift as Schumer did: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002887119

One thing is certain, Republicans are going to try to argue that it's a tax increase, but that puts Mitt in a bind: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002887389

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
29. I would agree but still...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:07 PM
Jul 2012

...the Democrats would need the courage to make the argument. Do you think they have the courage to defend the Verrilli argument? They are very scared of the word "taxes".

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
32. To add...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:16 PM
Jul 2012

the four others in the Majority did not say it was a tax. The four in the minority said it was not a tax. Roberts was the lone Justice to say it was under taxing authority.

Funny, before I bought a house nobody claimed I was being taxed for not buying a home, but as a renter I paid out 12k plus per year as a living expense without and tax break. When I bought a house I actually lowered my living expenses due to a tax break!

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
65. The Chief Justice based his decision on the White House's own arguments.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:53 PM
Jul 2012

The White House argued that it was a tax. It was their lawyer who presented this argument to the Supreme Court.

Read the ruling.

“It is therefore necessary to turn to the Government’s alternative argument: that the mandate may be upheld as within Congress’s power to ‘lay and collect Taxes.’ In pressing its taxing power argument, the Government asks the Court to view the mandate as imposing a tax on those who do not buy that product.

“The reforms also threaten to impose massive new costs on insurers, who are required to accept unhealthy individuals but prohibited from charging them rates necessary to pay for their coverage. This will lead insurers to significantly increase premiums on everyone. The individual mandate was Congress’s solution to these problems. By requiring that individuals purchase health insurance, the mandate prevents cost-shifting by those who would otherwise go without it. In addition, the mandate forces into the insurance risk pool more healthy individuals, whose premiums on average will be higher than their health care expenses.”

“Under the Government’s theory, Congress could address the diet problem by ordering everyone to buy vegetables ... That is not the country the Framers of our Constitution envisioned.”

“It is estimated that four million people each year will choose to pay the IRS rather than buy insurance ... We would expect Congress to be troubled by that prospect if such conduct were unlawful. That Congress apparently regards such extensive failure to comply with the mandate as tolerable suggests that Congress did not think it was creating four million outlaws. It suggests instead that the shared responsibility payment merely imposes a tax citizens may lawfully choose to pay in lieu of buying health insurance.”
 

zoechen

(93 posts)
20. The Solicitor General argued before the SCOTUS that it was a tax
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:50 PM
Jul 2012

Here is a partial transcript

<snip>

With Scalia:


JUSTICE SCALIA: The president said it wasn't a tax, didn't he?

GENERAL VERRILLI: Well, Justice Scalia, what the -- two things about that. First, as it seems to me, what matters is what power Congress was exercising. And they were -- and I think it's clear that the -- they were exercising the tax power as well as -­

JUSTICE SCALIA: You're making two arguments. Number one, it's a tax; and number two, even if it isn't a tax, it's within the taxing power. I'm just addressing the first.

GENERAL VERRILLI: What the president said -­

JUSTICE SCALIA: Is it a tax or not a tax? The president didn't think it was.

GENERAL VERRILLI: The president said it wasn't a tax increase because it ought to be understood as an incentive to get people to have insurance. I don't think it's fair to infer from that anything about whether that is an exercise of the tax power or not.

With Kagan:


JUSTICE KAGAN: I suppose, though, General, one question is whether the determined efforts of Congress not to refer to this as a tax make a difference. I mean, you're suggesting we should just look to the practical operation. We shouldn't look at labels. And that seems right, except that here we have a case in which Congress determinedly said, this is not a tax, and the question is why should that be irrelevant?

GENERAL VERRILLI: I don't think that that's a fair characterization of the actions of Congress here, Justice Kagan. On the -- December 23rd, a point of constitutional order was called, too, in fact, with respect to this law. The floor sponsor, Senator Baucus, defended it as an exercise of the taxing power. In his response to the point of order, the Senate voted 60 to 39 on that proposition. The legislative history is replete with members of Congress explaining that this law is constitutional as an exercise of the taxing power. It was attacked as a tax by its opponents. So I don't think this is a situation where you can say that Congress was avoiding any mention of the tax power.

It would be one thing if Congress explicitly disavowed an exercise of the tax power. But given that it hasn't done so, it seems to me that it's -- not only is it fair to read this as an exercise of the tax power, but this Court has got an obligation to construe it as an exercise of the tax power, if it can be upheld on that basis.

<snip>

Read more
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/06/29/12481922-how-verrilli-may-have-won-over-roberts?chromedomain=nbcpolitics






kentuck

(112,411 posts)
26. Thanks for the clarification...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:04 PM
Jul 2012

The decision and its political consequences are starting to come into focus.

 

4th law of robotics

(6,801 posts)
23. The spin will be interesting
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:54 PM
Jul 2012

supporters will have to argue simultaneously that it is constitutional because it is a tax while denying that it is a tax.

I love these kind of issues.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
37. Again, while five Justices said it was constitutional, only one said it was a tax.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:21 PM
Jul 2012

One guy by himself calling it a tax doesn't mean that we have to.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
31. "A rose by any other name would smell as sweet." A tax by any other name would smell as...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:14 PM
Jul 2012

...distasteful to most voters.

pinto

(106,886 posts)
35. I think Dems best response is - "Huge tax increase"? Fearmongering hyperbole. Check the facts...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:19 PM
Jul 2012
How Much Is the Obamacare ‘Tax’?

(FactCheck.org)
Posted on June 28, 2012 , Updated on June 29, 2012

http://factcheck.org/2012/06/how-much-is-the-obamacare-tax/

Good overview of the specifics of the act ~ pinto

(ed to add link, duh)
 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
36. It is a tax and your health insurance premiums are now taxes.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:20 PM
Jul 2012

The government has made itself responsible for the crappy behavior of insurance companies because they are forcing us to use them.

That is the one thing about being forced to buy car insurance...not many have big problems with their car insurance claims. But health care? It's not transparent at all and doing something not quite right, like going to the wrong doctor to stitch your wound, lands up costing thousands (true story btw).

If the goal was to get more people covered, I guess Dems won. If the goal is to provide good health care at a reasonable cost, we are now dependent on private insurers to create that outcome. Good luck to us.

still_one

(95,136 posts)
43. Whatever they call it, 40 millon uninsured will now be covered
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:26 PM
Jul 2012

If it is a premium or a tax it is affordable for most, and for those where it isn't they don't have to pay it

flamingdem

(39,800 posts)
50. It's all about informing people about how they will save $
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:36 PM
Jul 2012

then the "tax" idea will take a back seat. It will be massively popular.

 

dkf

(37,305 posts)
56. 17 million were supposed to be covered under expansion of Medicaid.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 02:54 PM
Jul 2012

They make too much to qualify for traditional Medicaid and make too little so that subsidies still keep it unaffordable.

Thus it is left to the states.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
49. To your final question .... The people who now get coverage won.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:34 PM
Jul 2012

And the Dems helped them get it.

Everything else is noise.

pennylane100

(3,425 posts)
51. Why are you looking gift horse in the mouth.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:38 PM
Jul 2012

Call it anything you want but remember that it is considered a win for Obama and the millions of people that will benefit from it.

I am sure you mean well, but we should not be worrying about possible republican talking points. We need to make sure that we frame the message on our terms and if we can make voters understand, as Joe Biden so eloquently put it, "This is really a big fucking deal" As one thing we have learned since our supreme court VICTORY is the more people know about how it benefits all of us, the more they like it.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
52. Simply stated.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 01:49 PM
Jul 2012

This is really a big fucking deal. Is that all we need to say to sell it?

Personally, since it is a "tax" issue, I would tell the people what they are getting with the legislation and that if it happens to cost more, we will not ask the poor and middle class to pay, but rather those that reaped huge rewards from low tax rates for the last 30 years. Yes, if we need more money to pay for it, we will ask those at the very top to pay more. There. I said it.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
61. No. I think taxes are necessary for the society that we want.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:25 PM
Jul 2012

But I do not think the majority of Democrats in the House or Senate think the same way about taxes as you and I. I think they are scared shitless to even talk about taxes. They are afraid of losing their careers. But that is another issue entirely...

sad sally

(2,627 posts)
70. You are a brave person; your op is spot on (if it looks like a tax, quacks like a tax, and walks
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 04:21 PM
Jul 2012

like a tax, it must be a tax).

Staying with this subject (taxes) but veering a bit from your op, if the President and Democrats bend (which they've been known to do once or twice) and extend the Bush/Obama tax cuts and the FICA holiday for another year or two or ten, the "burden" of the health insurance tax will be less of a blow.

Kicking the can down the road is the best political game all like to play ('member all those children and grandchildren will be much better off - smarter too - they can solve these messy problems much better than today's nincompoops).

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
69. why is it regressive?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 04:08 PM
Jul 2012

You don't pay the tax if you are poor. you only pay it if you have too much income to qualify for subsidized insurance and are not covered and do not chose to purchase insurance. Seems rather not terribly regressive to me.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
77. It's regressive in that a .001% upper income will pay the same as a 10% upper income..
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 08:39 PM
Jul 2012

One is roughly middle class and the other is not remotely so.

PotatoChip

(3,186 posts)
66. They say that anyway, truth be damned.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 03:58 PM
Jul 2012

Republicans have been claiming that President Obama is a 'tax and spend' kind of guy since long before he was even elected. Their sheeple believed it then and still do to this day.The President never had the vote of those types to begin with. So what difference does it make now?

 

Life Long Dem

(8,582 posts)
73. It's like a cigarette tax
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 06:34 PM
Jul 2012

You choose to smoke you are taxed. You choose to be a freeloader you are taxed. Which happens to be less than 1% in Taxachusetts.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
75. And the Repubs are now saying...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 08:16 PM
Jul 2012

...that since it was ruled constitutional because of Congress' authority to raise taxes, then it can be voted on in the next Congress and defeated with a simple majority of 51 votes in the Senate by reconciliation. They don't even have to win the Senate - all they need is a couple of Blue Dog Democrats to go along with them - if they can get it up for a vote.

So, this is their plan. If they hold the House, and win the Senate and the WH, they will repeal the entire bill by simple majority. That is their dream. Is it possible?

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
80. why are you ignoring the interpretations of the other affirming Justices
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 08:55 PM
Jul 2012

. . . and giving so much credence to the one who claims it's a tax/ it's just a political ploy from the bench; much like Scalia's politicking in his summary. They can all shove it. This President has nothing to be defensive about regarding taxes. Why should republicans be able to speak down to Democrats and others about what constitutes a tax; or how the tax code affects average Americans? All they want is a higher break for their rich brethren in loot.

Seems to me that you defeat your own political reasoning by beginning your premise with a right-wing Justice's manipulative summary and projecting the republicans' argument forward for them.

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)
78. Yes it's a tax. So what?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 08:43 PM
Jul 2012

There are also taxes in that bill on tanning bed salon visits, medical equipment makers and high income taxpayers under Medicare.

It takes taxes to run a government. Deal with it.

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
100. A sovereign currency government does not need to increase taxes to spend.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:19 AM
Jul 2012

In our modern money system, federal taxation is primarily the means by which the federal government controls inflation.

Considering that we are in an economic era defined by debt-deflation, the federal government probably shouldn't be raising taxes on the middle class and working poor. Worse, I think it's foolish to promote policies which push more money into the FIRE sector since finance and insurance are strangling the productive economy.

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
79. why can't he refer to more than just the one Justice who claims it's a tax?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 08:47 PM
Jul 2012

. . . can't he just as credibly align his view with the others who based their affirmative vote on the Commerce clause, for instance? Of course, he can.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
81. But then, it would have failed and you would have something else to complain about.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 09:03 PM
Jul 2012

That was the rationale for the 5th and deciding vote.

With that said, I appreciate your argument because we are going to need it.
 

zoechen

(93 posts)
83. I don't understand why is this such a problem to understand.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 09:51 PM
Jul 2012

Verrilli, the Solicitor General arguing the case on behalf of the administration made the argument that it was a tax.

4 votes were a lead pipe cinch to vote to uphold if Verrilli would have argued that the mandate is constitutional because my cats farts smell like motor oil.

There were also 3 lead pipe cinches in the other direction. In the end there was only one vote in question and as it turned out nearly everyone was wrong, Kennedy went with the minority, Roberts went with the majority citing Verrrilli's and the administrations argument.

Just get over it, the administration claimed before passage that it is not a tax and then when it came down to brass tacks argued that it is a tax.

Own it and move on.

Edited to clarify that this post isn't aimed at Kentuck.

former9thward

(33,201 posts)
82. It was not just "one Justice".
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 09:34 PM
Jul 2012

Obama's OWN lawyer argued it was a tax at the Supreme Court. That was the government's position.

The heart of Verrilli’s argument, that the mandate should be considered justified under the Congress’ taxing power, seemed to center on this point, which he made twice that day -- that the mandate would be administered by the Internal Revenue Service, the agency responsible for taxation.

“With respect to the question of characterization,” Verrilli told Justice Scalia, “the -- this is -- in the Internal Revenue Code, it is administered by the IRS; it is paid on your Form 1040 on April 15th.”

A few minutes later, pressed by Justice Roberts, he reiterated the point. “t is in the Internal Revenue Code,” Verrilli said. “It is collected by the IRS on April 15th.”

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/06/29/12481922-how-verrilli-may-have-won-over-roberts?lite

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
84. Must have been a very persuasive argument?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 10:14 PM
Jul 2012

It persuaded Roberts.

Yes, it takes 5 votes to make a majority. Roberts stated that Congress indeed had the power to tax. The Administration stayed away from the tax issue until the last day. Perhaps it was a necessity or else it would have failed. And what would we be talking about today?

What is the big deal whether or not it is about taxes?
 

zoechen

(93 posts)
87. It is about one word
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 10:39 PM
Jul 2012

Tax.

To many Americans the word is anathema.

Heck, nobody "enjoys" paying taxes but most understand that it is the price one must pay for a functioning democracy.

But this thing is being portrayed as the single biggest tax hike in the history of the republic, I think it's going to be a hard pill to swallow for a great many people.

I also think attempts to spin this as anything other then a tax after the administration argued that it was, before the Supreme Court, is going to go down in flames.

And that, my friends, reminds me of 2010.

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
88. he says that IF they view it as a tax, they have an obligation to leave the law alone
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 10:47 PM
Jul 2012

That wasn't his central and overriding argument, by any means; but a fall back one where he trumps the Justices who can't abide by his other arguments -- like the Commerce clause provisions and authority.

He's being pressed by Scalia here who isn't going to accept his other reasoning. Verrilli's saying that even opponents in Congress acknowledged and highlighted its tax element, and that the Court must recognize the law as within Congress' authority; if ONLY on that basis ALONE.

Verrilli:

to Scalia: "The president said it wasn't a tax increase because it ought to be understood as an incentive to get people to have insurance. I don't think it's fair to infer from that anything about whether that is an exercise of the tax power or not."

to Kagan: "The legislative history is replete with members of Congress explaining that this law is constitutional as an exercise of the taxing power. It was attacked as a tax by its opponents. So I don't think this is a situation where you can say that Congress was avoiding any mention of the tax power."

"It would be one thing if Congress explicitly disavowed an exercise of the tax power. But given that it hasn't done so, it seems to me that it's -- not only is it fair to read this as an exercise of the tax power, but this Court has got an obligation to construe it as an exercise of the tax power, if it can be upheld on that basis."



and more from Scalia:


JUSTICE SCALIA: You're saying that all the discussion we had earlier about how this is one big uniform scheme and the Commerce Clause, blah, blah, blah, it really doesn't matter. This is a tax and the Federal Government could simply have said, without all of the rest of this legislation, could simply have said, everybody who doesn't buy health insurance at a certain age will be taxed so much money, right?

GENERAL VERRILLI: It -- it used its powers together to solve the problem of the market not -­

JUSTICE SCALIA: Yes, but you didn't need that.

GENERAL VERRILLI -- providing affordable coverage -­

JUSTICE SCALIA: You didn't need that. If it's a tax, it's only -- raising money is enough.

GENERAL VERRILLI: It is justifiable under its tax power.

JUSTICE SCALIA: Okay. Extraordinary.
 

zoechen

(93 posts)
89. So I don't understand what you point is
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:07 PM
Jul 2012

<snip>
When the Affordable Care Act reached the Supreme Court, Verrilli insisted that the government's briefs should present two alternative grounds for upholding the law's insurance mandate. The first argument was that the law was valid under Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce. His fallback argument rested on Congress’s power to impose taxes.
<snip>

So if we assume that the commerce clause was his only arguement he would have lost and the mandate would have struck down, that would have prestaged the complete colapse of ACA.

So what he did was set up a buffet of options, Roberts found one of the administrations arguements fell within constitutional grounds.

The Congresses right to levy taxes.

Read more
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-scorned-after-oral-arguments-on-healthcare-verrilli-emerges-a-winner-20120628,0,7731384.story

Edit: To correct a poor choice of words.

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
90. so the Justices that didn't recognize the tax argument were just swiss cheese?
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:17 PM
Jul 2012

The tax element was just a base justification and validation of Congress' authority. It doesn't make it an overriding element of the legislation just because some critics harped on it. Good for the lawyer using their overemphasis on the tax point to rope the Court in. There is certainly other justification to let it stand, outside of pointing to their tax authority, but it was a clever and lawyerly tactic to make certain they used EVERYTHING in their defense available.

I think that, outside of these few exchanges, Verelli made his case on other justifications, but, if if took pointing to even the opposition's bleating about the tax element to pass the thing, so be it. It doesn't alter the president's central arguments at all; outside of the weak argument that it's taxing effect would fall on that 2% or so who either opt to pay the fine or failed to obtain coverage for other reasons.

 

zoechen

(93 posts)
92. The fact of the matter is
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:25 PM
Jul 2012

If Verelli had not made an argument to view the mandate as a tax and given that as a choice it would have been struck down 5-4 with Roberts and Kennedy in the majority.

If the sole arguement was the commerce clause the whole thing would have gone down in flames.

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
94. I think you are right.
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:46 PM
Jul 2012

And it has been reported that Roberts switched his opinion late in the game.

However, the Repubs would have to win the Senate and the White House in order to repeal the law. Since it is a tax creation of Congress, it could be repealed by a simple 51-vote majority in a reconciliation vote. However, that is a big "IF"..

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
98. that doesn't make the tax element some overriding part of the mandate
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:05 AM
Jul 2012

Last edited Mon Jul 2, 2012, 02:49 AM - Edit history (1)

. . . not politically or materially; especially when it only applies to the 2% or so who opt out or fail to obtain insurance for other reasons.

I have an insurance lapse fine that I haven't been able to pay the Motor Vehicle Admin.. It's going to be collected, anyway, by garnishing part or all of the money I expect to get back from my tax return. That doesn't make it a tax; it's still a motor vehicle insurance fine.

former9thward

(33,201 posts)
118. It says it (taxation) was the "heart" of his argument.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 01:29 PM
Jul 2012

It was not just some sideshow as you seem to put it.

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
121. it affects about2% of the population, mostly affluent folks opting out
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 05:07 PM
Jul 2012

it is certainly a sideshow.

It's a penalty collected by the IRS, just like they collect other fines. Calling the mandate a tax is just a lie.

former9thward

(33,201 posts)
122. So Obama's lawyer lied to the court.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 05:16 PM
Jul 2012

Quite a charge. Of course coming from an anonymous internet poster one should not be surprised. You say 2%. That is what the boosters are saying now. I doubt that is how it is going to work out. The mandate to buy insurance from a third party for profit company affects 100% (that is more than 2%).

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
128. no, that's just a distortion of what was said and the facts of the law
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:17 PM
Jul 2012

the law does have an element of taxation to it. the lawyer pointed that out. That element gives Congress authority to impose the mandate, but it's still as I described; a fine which is collected through the tax system. It's also not the only thing giving Congress authority as some of the other Justices recognized. How tiresome to have to answer such bullshit over and over . Wallow in it, because you're completely wrong.

markpkessinger

(8,534 posts)
91. There's a difference between a tax, and a penalty imposed under the authority to tax
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:25 PM
Jul 2012

Forbes has an article that points out this critical distinction. Similarly, a penalty imposed on a taxpayer for failing to file taxes is not, of itself, a tax, but the authority to impose that penalty arises directly out of Congress' taxing authority.

 

zoechen

(93 posts)
93. The administrations own Council General argued
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:45 PM
Jul 2012

That it was a tax and they won on the merits of that arguement.

Was it a mistake to make that argument?

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
95. If they had not made that argument...
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:48 PM
Jul 2012

the entire bill would have been declared unconstitutional. It was a card they had to play.

 

zoechen

(93 posts)
96. That's what I'm saying
Sun Jul 1, 2012, 11:53 PM
Jul 2012

It's time to move past this thing and explain to the people why this ACA thing is good.

The more that the issue remains a tax question with 4 months to go to the election is going to be an "albatross on our necks".

Just own it and move on.

 

zoechen

(93 posts)
99. Ok
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:06 AM
Jul 2012

The Solicitor made the argument on behalf of the administration that it is a tax and that is what allowed Roberts to find it as being constitutional.

Again I ask you, was it a mistake to make that arguement?

kentuck

(112,411 posts)
101. In other words, would it have been better to have the entire bill declared unconstitutional?
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:24 AM
Jul 2012

Or to have the mandate called a tax?

I don't think the final decision was as clear-cut a victory for Obama or as clear-cut a defeat for the Repubs. The Repubs have a good chance of winning the Senate since so many seats up for re-election are Democratic. Barack Obama could be the only thing that saves the ACA from being repealed, since they could repeal it with a simple reconciliation vote in the Senate if Romney were the President.
 

zoechen

(93 posts)
102. I agree
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:42 AM
Jul 2012

Frankly I think this is already written to the supreme court records, that can't be changed.

As you note, if the Repubs gain leverage then the whole thing remains in doubt.

Continuing to bicker about wether this is a tax or whatever is a loser.

The administration admitted it was a tax during oral arguments and to continue to try to make it look like something different is not going to pass the smell test.

markpkessinger

(8,534 posts)
107. The Solicitor made two parallel arguments . . .
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 01:21 AM
Jul 2012

The Solicitor argued both that it was a tax AND that even if it were not a tax, it would nevertheless be authorized under Congress' taxing authority. And btw, what "allowed" Justice Roberts to find the law constitutional was the Supreme Court's power of judicial review. Supreme Court justices, when considering issues of Constitutionality, are not bound by the arguments made by the parties.

From the transcript of oral arguments (p.44 ff., emphasis added)

JUSTICE SOTOMAYOR: General, could you turn to the tax clause?

GENERAL VERRILLI: Yes.

JUSTICE SOTOMAYOR: I have to look for a case that involves the issue of whether something denominated by Congress as a penalty was nevertheless treated as a tax, except in those situations where the code itself or the statute itself said treat the penalty as a tax. Do you know of any case where we've done that?

GENERAL VERRILLI: Well, I think I would point the Court to the License Tax Case, where it was -was denominated a fee and nontax, and the Court upheld it as an exercise of the taxing power, in a situation in which the structure of the law was very much the structure of this law, in that there was a separate stand-alone provision that set the predicate and then a separate provision in closing -

JUSTICE SCALIA: But fees, you know, license fees, fees for a hunting license, everybody knows those are taxes. I mean, I don't think there is as much of a difference between a fee and a tax as there is between a penalty and a tax.

GENERAL VERRILLI: And that, and -- and I think in terms of the tax part, I think it's useful to separate this into two questions. One is a question of characterization. Can this be characterized as a tax; and second, is it a constitutional exercise of the power?
With respect to the question of characterization, the -- this is -- in the Internal Revenue Code, it is administered by the IRS, it is paid on your Form 1040 on April 15th, I think -

JUSTICE GINSBURG: But yesterday you told me -- you listed a number of penalties that are enforced through the tax code that are not taxes and they are not penalties related to taxes.

GENERAL VERRILLI: They may still be exercise of the tax -- exercises of the taxing power, Justice Ginsburg, as -- as this is, and I think there isn't a case in which the Court has, to my mind, suggested anything that bears this many indicia of a tax can't be considered as an exercise of the taxing power. In fact, it seems to me the License Tax Cases point you in the opposite direction. And beyond that your -the -- it seems to me the right way to think about this question is whether it is capable of being understood as an exercise of the tax.


JUSTICE SCALIA: The President said it wasn't a tax, didn't he?

GENERAL VERRILLI: Well, Justice Scalia, what the -- two things about that, first, as it seems to me, what matters is what power Congress was exercising. And they were -- and I think it's clear that -- that the -- the -- they were exercising the tax power as well as -

JUSTICE SCALIA: You're making two arguments. Number one, it's a tax; and number two, even if it isn't a tax, it's within the taxing power. I'm just addressing the first.

GENERAL VERRILLI: If the President said -

JUSTICE MSCALIA: Is it a tax or not a tax? The President didn't think it was.

GENERAL VERRILLI: The President said it wasn't a tax increase because it ought to be understood as an incentive to get people to have insurance. I don't think it's fair to infer from that anything about whether that is an exercise of the tax power or not.


JUSTICE GINSBURG: A tax is to raise revenue, tax is a revenue-raising device, and the purpose of this exaction is to get people into the health care risk -- risk pool before they need medical care, and so it will be successful. If it doesn't raise any revenue, if it gets people to buy the insurance, that's -- that's what this penalty is -- this penalty is designed to affect conduct.
The conduct is buy health protection, buy health insurance before you have a need for medical care. That's what the penalty is designed to do, not to raise revenue.

GENERAL VERRILLI: That -- that is true, Justice Ginsburg. This is also true of the marijuana tax that was withheld in Sanchez. That's commonly true of penalties under the Code. They do -- if they raise revenue, they are exercises of the taxing power, but their purpose is not to raise revenue. Their purpose is to discourage behavior. I mean, the -- the mortgage deduction works that way. When the mortgage deduction is -- it's clearly an exercise of the taxing power. When it's successful it raises less revenue for the Federal Government. It's still an exercise of the taxing power. So, I don't -

JUSTICE KAGAN: I suppose, though, General, one question is whether the determined efforts of Congress not to refer to this as a tax make a difference. I mean, you're suggesting we should just look to the practical operation. We shouldn't look at labels. And that seems right, except that here we have a case in which Congress determinedly said this is not a tax, and the question is why should that be irrelevant?

GENERAL VERRILLI: I don't think that that's a fair characterization of the actions of Congress here, Justice Kagan. On the -- December 23rd, a point of constitutional order was called to, in fact, with respect to this law. The floor sponsor, Senator Baucus, defended it as an exercise of the taxing power. In his response to the point of order, the Senate voted 60 to39 on that proposition.
The legislative history is replete with members of Congress explaining that this law is constitutional as an exercise of the taxing power. It was attacked as a tax by its opponents. So I don't think this is a situation where you can say that Congress was avoiding any mention of the tax power. It would be one thing if Congress explicitly disavowed an exercise of the tax power. But given that it hasn't done so, it seems to me that it's -- not only is it fair to read this as an exercise of the tax power, but this Court has got an obligation to construe it as an exercise of the tax power, if it can be upheld on that basis.
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Why didn't Congress call it a tax, then?

GENERAL VERRILLI: Well -

CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: You're telling me they thought of it as a tax, they defended it on the tax power. Why didn't they say it was a tax?

GENERAL VERRILLI: They might have thought, Your Honor, that calling it a penalty as they did would make it more effective in accomplishing its objective. But it is -- in the Internal Revenue Code it is collected by the IRS on April 15th. I don't think this is a situation in which you can say -

CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Well, that's the reason. They thought it might be more effective if they called it a penalty.




 

zoechen

(93 posts)
108. Right, I have already commented on this before
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 02:08 AM
Jul 2012

For the most part anyway.

The Solicitor General made three arguments, the last of which was the idea of this being upheld on the basis of congresses power of leving taxes.

You cannot escape the fact that it was the presidents representative in this proceeding that asserted that Congresses power of taxation is what won the day.

Be my guest and argue what you will, you can't spin what happened.

It's on paper.

David__77

(23,863 posts)
103. Well, it is a "tax" by all reasonable measures...
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 12:45 AM
Jul 2012

It is something that must be paid to the government via the IRS. Sorry, but any reasonable person is going to consider that to be a tax. Defensively pretending it to be something else is silly and counterproductive.

soccer1

(343 posts)
115. It's a penalty paid as a tax....
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 10:15 AM
Jul 2012

But it's not a tax increase for all American people to pay for those who don't buy insurance. The "tax" is a method for collecting the penalty imposed on those who won't purchase health insurance.

soccer1

(343 posts)
130. No, it's not a tax, it's a ....
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:34 PM
Jul 2012

penalty and the government can use it's taxing power to collect the penalty. If a person does not file an income tax return they would face a penalty. When the penalty is collected by the IRS it is not called a tax...it's called a penalty. The IRS is the "collection agency" for the federal govt. I'm a reasonable person and I don't see the penalty as any kind of tax.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
126. Pyrrhic? Not in the slightest. It ENERGIZED Obama, if anything.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 06:58 PM
Jul 2012

And why would the Dems have to "accept it was a tax increase" when RMoney's OWN PEOPLE are saying it isn't?

I think it would be helpful if you go back to 2007 and start looking at ALL the footage of RMoney signing the healthcare bill and holding press availabilities and touting what he did in Massachusetts. Pay very close attention to all his talk about "free riders" and "personal responsibility" and so forth...

Your effort to snatch defeat from the jaws of a very fine and unanticipated victory won't fly.

Go do some Youtubing, you'll see.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
127. It is not a tax; it is a penalty to be paid only by free-riders.
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:11 PM
Jul 2012

It stands constitutional muster as analogous to a tax only in that it's collected by congressional legislation, but it's not a tax.

If you are eligible for support, you don't pay it, and if you opt into a health plan, you don't pay it.

You only pay it if you shirk your responsibility to play by the rules.

It was a victory, not even a pyrric one.

bigtree

(89,159 posts)
129. tell em
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:19 PM
Jul 2012

then walk away. It's a foolish game played here by folks using a conservative argument, complete with all of the distortions and bullshit. I'm done. i couldn't care less now if they understand.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
133. I don't understand by people want to echo the current RW talk radio rant about "new taxes"...
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:54 PM
Jul 2012

...when it is a penalty, a consequence, only to be applied to people with wealth and/or income who CHOOSE not to participate.

girl gone mad

(20,634 posts)
131. "penalty to be paid only by free-riders"
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:35 PM
Jul 2012

Right, all of those evil "free-riders" who can't afford insurance but pay their own medical costs.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
132. Hey, why don't you just take it up with Nancy Pelosi, who used the term last week?
Mon Jul 2, 2012, 07:52 PM
Jul 2012


From NPR:

CORNISH: For months, Democrats had expressly argued that the penalty charge under the new law was not a tax and it seems as though the court has described it as a tax, so what do you consider this?

PELOSI: What I call this is the free rider provision.

Call it what you will, but the fact is that some people who will not, even though they're younger and healthier and have some resources, decide they're invincible and they're not going to pay into a system.

So, when they get sick, then they think they can just dip into it and that makes it more expensive for other people. And so, in order to eliminate the free rider piece of this, there's a penalty to be paid if you don't want to participate. Call it what you will. What it does is lower cost for the American people and it's a fair way to go.

http://www.npr.org/2012/06/28/155936587/rep-pelosi-ted-kennedy-can-rest-in-peace#

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/06/28/Pelosi-Trashes-the-Uninsured-Free-Riders
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