It Might Not Be So Easy to Rally Around Rubio

[flamingdem]

http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/it-might-not-be-so-easy-to-rally-around-rubio

Marco Rubio’s third-place finish in the Iowa caucuses was a sign of hope for moderate Republicans, but the candidate himself is far from moderate.

If you were in the market for a Republican candidate who could actually win in a general election, Marco Rubio’s third-place finish in the Iowa caucuses Monday was a sign of hope. Coming in just behind Ted Cruz and Donald Trump meant he’d done better than expected: he was having a surge, a moment, a comeback. In a Times column headlined, wishfully, “Donald Trump Isn’t Real,” David Brooks banished the pugnacious billionaire to the past tense (“Trump was unabashedly masculine, the lingua franca of pro wrestling”) and said of Ted Cruz, “His is a Tea Party wing in the G.O.P. But its size and geographic reach is limited.” That left Rubio as “the only candidate who can plausibly unify the party.” Writing for National Review Online, David French touted the Florida senator for similar reasons, reminding restive Republicans that “winning a general election means uniting every G.O.P. constituency under one banner, and happily so. Thus, we want a candidate whom establishment voters will want to support, along with populists, Tea Party conservatives, and every other wing of the GOP.” Rubio, to him, was looking like that guy.

From a distance, it’s easy to see why. Rubio is more presentable than Cruz or Trump (or, for that matter, Chris Christie)—more likable, as Cruz keeps reminding people, trying to make it sound like a curse. At times, Rubio can project a soothing, authoritative calm not unlike Ben Carson’s but without the mooniness. He has a legitimately stirring family story: he’s the Spanish-speaking, Cuban-American son of two immigrants who worked, respectively, as a bartender and a hotel maid. (“If I’m our nominee, how is Hillary Clinton going to lecture me about living paycheck to paycheck?” he asked, memorably, at the first debate. “I was raised paycheck to paycheck.”) His wife, Jeanette Dousdebes Rubio, is the daughter of Colombian immigrants, did a stint as a Miami Dolphins cheerleader, and seems to have perfected the art of the blandly convivial interview. At home, in Florida, he and his family attend both a Catholic church and a Baptist one—the faith equivalent of suspenders and a belt. In Iowa this week, Rubio humble-bragged that the pundits had dismissed him because “my hair wasn’t gray enough and my boots were too high.” In other words, Republicans, at least this one, can get their millennial groove on, too.

One thing Rubio is not, however, is moderate, or even close to it. And to the extent that far-right politics are actually off-putting to voters in a general election—to Democrats but also independents and younger voters, who are instinctually liberal on social issues—that poses a bit of a problem for the scenario in which Rubio is the savior of reason and the G.O.P. He ran for his Senate seat in 2010 with Tea Party support. He is firmly opposed to same-sex marriage and to abortion, with no exception for cases of rape or incest or the health of the mother—only for the mother’s life. In an article in National Review, in which Jim Geraghty lays out the case that “Marco Rubio Is Plenty Conservative,” he quotes Rubio in the first Republican debate: “Future generations will look back at this history of our country and call us barbarians for murdering millions of babies who we never gave them a chance to live.”

Rubio has a perfect record from the N.R.A. and a lifetime rating of ninety-eight per cent from the American Conservative Union. He is opposed to raising the minimum wage. As Geraghty notes, he “contends the legislative efforts to fight climate change are economically self-destructive and expresses skepticism that human behavior is driving climate change.”

More dish about Rubio including his drug cartel brother and law:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10027582597

[Volaris]

1. IF it turns out to be the case that Trump and Cruz knife each other to death in SC,

Rubio will be the Golden Boy..because there isnt anyone else for the Establishment to back (Bush is now persona non grata).
But that knife-ing will have to very public, and very damn bloody.

Marco can then clean house on Super Tuesday, but ALL of his ducks will have to be pre-rowed, so to speak. If he can pull it off organizationally, he will absolutley deserve the GOP nomination. If not, theyre getting a brokered convention. Get the popcorn ready.

[flamingdem]

2. Who has a chance at the brokered convention?

jeb?

[Volaris]

3. Not Jeb-- hes done. Other than that, its tough to suss out...

If he does well on Super Tuesday, maybe Rubio with Cruz on the ticket? (although I'm not sure an all-latino ticket would fly with the xenophobes in the party-base..)
Teh Donald can get himself an ambassadorship to somewhere nice, (see: go away) and get some 'expierence' for next time lol.

(on edit) Christie maybe in some capacity--although with him NEVER having been a Legislator in any capacity (his exp is executive-branch ONLY) wrangling anything useful out of Congress would be a pipe dream. The Senate, red or blue, would walk all over him.