Mon Aug 10, 2015, 02:51 PM

Trump Up, Bush and Walker Down in First Big Post-Debate Poll

Trump Up, Bush and Walker Down in First Big Post-Debate Poll
by Matt Wilstein | 12:06 pm, August 10th, 2015 POLL
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Screen Shot 2015-08-10 at 10.38.34 AM

If you thought Donald Trump’s boisterous debate performance and subsequent comments about Fox News’ Megyn Kelly might hurt his standing in the polls, you might be very wrong.

In the first major poll to be released since Thursday night’s debate, NBC News and Survey Monkey found Trump holding onto his first place position with 23% of the hypothetical vote. Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, who were each at 10% in the same survey a week earlier, both dropped three points to 7% each, tied for a disappointing fifth place.

Ted Cruz saw the biggest post-debate bump, up seven points to 13%, putting him second to Trump. Carly Fiorina saw a six point bump to reach 8%, her highest position in any national poll to date.

Ben Carson came in third place with 11% in NBC’s poll, while Marco Rubio was tied for fourth place with Fiorina at 8%. However, a margin of error at 3.4% helps put these shifts in a bit more perspective.
http://www.mediaite.com/online/trump-up-bush-and-walker-down-in-first-big-post-debate-poll/

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8 replies	Author	Time	Post
Trump Up, Bush and Walker Down in First Big Post-Debate Poll (Original post)	Liberal_in_LA	Aug 2015	OP
unstoppable	flamingdem	Aug 2015	#1
survey monkey is just an online poll, not scientific	Motown_Johnny	Aug 2015	#2
Beautiful!	GitRDun	Aug 2015	#3
3 of the top 5 are non-politicians	davidn3600	Aug 2015	#4
Excellent analysis. I agree. nt	stevenleser	Aug 2015	#7
These polls are less than meaningless	oberliner	Aug 2015	#5
the stupid in america is growing day by day	spanone	Aug 2015	#6
People thought Carson and Cruz did well?	underpants	Aug 2015	#8

Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 02:53 PM

flamingdem (38,543 posts)

1. unstoppable

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 02:54 PM

Motown_Johnny (22,308 posts)

2. survey monkey is just an online poll, not scientific

Reuters has a better poll (although some numbers are very similar).

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/10/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0QF1WL20150810

^snip^

Donald Trump continued to defy the laws of political gravity on Monday as a Reuters/Ipsos poll found the real estate mogul holding onto a wide lead among Republicans in the U.S. presidential race despite an acerbic debate and a feud with a female television anchor that have bolstered charges of sexism.

Trump led the party's 17-strong 2016 presidential field with the backing of 24 percent of Republican voters, unchanged from before Thursday's televised debate.

His closest rival, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, trails at 12 percent, down from 17 percent before the debate. No other candidate earned more than 8 percent in the online poll, conducted between the end of the debate and Sunday.

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 02:56 PM

GitRDun (1,845 posts)

3. Beautiful!

Their "id" is winning. Does he still have to stay on the entertainment page?

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 03:00 PM

davidn3600 (6,342 posts)

4. 3 of the top 5 are non-politicians

Trump, Carson, and Fiorina are non-politicians. When you add their numbers together, that's nearly half the party.

It only confirms the GOP is in a civil war between the base and the party establishment. A large segment of their base do not want a career politician supported by the establishment (Jeb, Walker, Christie, etc).

If Trump implodes, Cruz will probably have the inside track. But either Carson or Fiorina will also benefit.

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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #4)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 03:22 PM

stevenleser (32,886 posts)