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Wed Aug 5, 2015, 07:26 PM

Nate Silver's Totally Subjective Presidential Odds (Early August Edition)

Nate Silver, Harry Enten, and Katherine Miller of Buzzfeed informally handicap the field.

In summary, nobody likes Trump's chances at all. Bush and Walker are projected as the two favorites (Silver has both Bush and Walker at 28%; Enten has Bush and Walker at 30% [but his numbers add up to 110%]; Miller has Bush at 35% and Walker at 25%). They all have Rubio at third (Silver at 21%; Enten at 25%; Miller at 20%). Silver and Enten have Kasich in 4th (at 6% and 8%, respectively), and Miller projects Cruz, Christie, and Paul at 4th at 5% each. None of them handicap any other candidate above 3%.

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