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Hillary 75%, Bernie 15%, Webb 4%, O'Malley 2% (Original Post) Cali_Democrat Jun 2015 OP
These are great polling numbers Gothmog Jun 2015 #1
I'd like to see a Sanders vs. GOP poll... Agschmid Jun 2015 #2
I would like to see that too... Adrahil Jun 2015 #183
There have been several. okasha Jun 2015 #237
Not all that important this early on, I spent weekend in San Francisco and speaking to Uber randys1 Jun 2015 #3
+1 Go Vols Jun 2015 #21
But he's going to be spending a third or less than what the Rethug spends pnwmom Jun 2015 #51
And the people will be happy to serve our overlords? daleanime Jun 2015 #202
The people will be deceived by the barrage of messages paid for by the overlords. pnwmom Jun 2015 #209
That 'poison pill' has been over used for the last 6 years.... daleanime Jun 2015 #214
I think you're forgetting that even Bernie wouldn't be able to overcome pnwmom Jun 2015 #215
Bernie agrees with you. tazkcmo Jun 2015 #226
exactly, people don't know much about him now... shanti Jun 2015 #60
Problem is you are going to run out of months upaloopa Jun 2015 #78
I heard something like that about a Senator from Illinois a while back... MNBrewer Jun 2015 #90
Out this point in the 07 campaign he was fourteen points behind not sixty!/NT DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #134
So we should just give up now? daleanime Jun 2015 #204
Fantastic. Thanks n/t zentrum Jun 2015 #104
Wow! hrmjustin Jun 2015 #4
Post again after the second debate. Motown_Johnny Jun 2015 #5
Please provide me with a link for a candidate that had a sixty point lead in any primary cycle ... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #8
Then this is all a waste of time. Motown_Johnny Jun 2015 #47
I hope that you can understand how some of us are happy our choice is doing well... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #50
Tell me about LBj in June of 1967 HERVEPA Jun 2015 #56
Show me a link where he was leading his presumptive Democratic challengers by 60% at this point... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #61
No one was running at that point HERVEPA Jun 2015 #65
You brought him up in Cali Democrat's thread. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #69
Your point? HERVEPA Jun 2015 #72
You implied I felt threatened by Senator Sanders' candidacy. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #79
And at that point in time, no matter how great a president he might have been, he was an opportunist HERVEPA Jun 2015 #80
He was reluctant to run... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #94
He actually lost to LBJ in New Hampshire, but McCarthy's strong showing against an incumbent KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #222
Please tell me any other person who has lost a 30 point lead like Hillary did. nt Logical Jun 2015 #181
Well, she has a sixty point lead this time ... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #188
Stupid comparison, the odds you beating pro is 10000 to 1 Logical Jun 2015 #192
I am as confident that I can really drop Wlad as you are really confident Bernie can beat Hillary. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #194
Please post some more list of movie stars that support Hillary, that's always entertaining Logical Jun 2015 #195
Please insult people from the anoymity of your computer. That's always so endearing. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #196
No, I was serious, I like the celebrity endorsement posts you make! Nt Logical Jun 2015 #198
No. I was serious... I like to watch people insult people from the anonymity of their computer... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #199
I wish you weren't so insulting, nt Logical Jun 2015 #203
"When in Rome , do like the Romans." DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #206
Was I patronizing you or insulting you, I wish you would make up your mind . Nt Logical Jun 2015 #207
It is Logical to assert one can do both.Nt DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #210
The more interesting endorsements okasha Jun 2015 #236
No kidding. 99Forever Jun 2015 #25
She had a 14 point lead in a WSJ-NBC poll at this time in 07 DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #38
people are a lot more pissed this time restorefreedom Jun 2015 #62
i don't even have a check book and I support Hillary DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #64
What "mojo"? The poll is 75% to 15%. George II Jun 2015 #68
he is drawing huge crowds restorefreedom Jun 2015 #74
He will move up to sixteen percent?/NT DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #82
i'd aim a little higher n/t restorefreedom Jun 2015 #91
He will move up to 66 percent. RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #100
There isn't a pay wall. It's NBC News./NT DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #113
Well, the ORIGINAL OP was from WSJ RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #154
You are welcome, sir, but I didn't start this thread. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #156
If he moves up 66%... OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #141
Howard Dean drew huge crowds... brooklynite Jun 2015 #168
Zig Zigler? OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #180
So did Ron Paul.... Adrahil Jun 2015 #223
What makes you people think that folk don't know who BS is? He's been in Washington for.... Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #234
people who follow politics know him restorefreedom Jun 2015 #238
If they don't "follow politics", why the hell would they "get to know him"? If they don't attend... Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #239
as the campaign season rolls on, restorefreedom Jun 2015 #241
Well, I guess it's true what they say about "hope". Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #243
no matter what we say, restorefreedom Jun 2015 #244
Indeed it will. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #246
Pissed at what? OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #77
are you kidding? restorefreedom Jun 2015 #85
Did I use a smiley? OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #98
According to the poll 92% of Democrats say they could vote for HRC... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #112
i think it is too early to start popping the corks restorefreedom Jun 2015 #120
She had a roughly 14% lead at this time in 07 DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #130
it is too early for the math to matter restorefreedom Jun 2015 #139
Yeah, people have known HRC for forty years and like her. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #142
Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2015 #229
Welcome to DU. I hope you enjoy your stay DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #230
It's like flypaper. OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #133
i think you are underestimating the immense power differential restorefreedom Jun 2015 #117
No I'm not. OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #145
Let's see Hillary has 75% and not a one of upaloopa Jun 2015 #101
hillary is a hawkish, corporate centrist who represents the 1% restorefreedom Jun 2015 #123
The 1% are backing Republicans okasha Jun 2015 #240
he has a lot going for him and he is resonating with many restorefreedom Jun 2015 #242
theethinks wrong. okasha Jun 2015 #250
then i guess you all can enjoy the ride n/t restorefreedom Jun 2015 #253
Then what are you worried about? tabasco Jun 2015 #121
i would say yes. restorefreedom Jun 2015 #125
I can't remember any candidate ever being as popular as Hillary 6chars Jun 2015 #251
Then you either are very young or have a very short memory. 99Forever Jun 2015 #255
short memory, actually 6chars Jun 2015 #256
Bullshit. 99Forever Jun 2015 #257
Sanders needs the Kucinich debate surge Renew Deal Jun 2015 #36
He needs to start talking about UFO sightings/NT DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #40
Ubiquitous Financial Obscenities? Motown_Johnny Jun 2015 #84
I think that's called feeling the yearn BeyondGeography Jun 2015 #45
Did you like my SVG reference?/NT DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #48
Mucho n/t BeyondGeography Jun 2015 #59
I was going to say Derek Fisher but he's from Detroit... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #63
We used to have Frazier, Reed and affordable apartments BeyondGeography Jun 2015 #136
I am originally from NYC so I was a NYK fan as a kid and a bit after, even when I moved. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #140
Things of beauty they were my friend BeyondGeography Jun 2015 #147
Ahhhh, Red Holzman and Reed at the pivot... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #151
They aren't meaningless unless you expect them to predict the winner 18 months from now ToxMarz Jun 2015 #75
There won't be any 'debates'...bank on it! eom Purveyor Jun 2015 #182
Perhaps... but plenty of Bernie supporters tout polls when it fits their narrative. Adrahil Jun 2015 #189
Excellent polling numbers for Hillary. leftofcool Jun 2015 #6
I predicted that would happen. It's nice to be right. Still can't figure why O'Malley's behind Webb. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #9
I can't either. leftofcool Jun 2015 #20
O'Malley would definitely be my 2nd choice. Nothing against Webb. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #27
Mine too! leftofcool Jun 2015 #29
Mine too. I like OMalley misterhighwasted Jun 2015 #155
Didn't know much about him, but thanks to DU, I'm liking what I'm hearing. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #172
At this point, bvar22 Jun 2015 #42
You guys keep saying that like it actually means something to the rest of us. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #44
Like Hillary is dealing with Iowa and New Hampshire? bvar22 Jun 2015 #106
I never had you pegged as a fan of the Washington Free Beacon... SidDithers Jun 2015 #166
You didn't? OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #173
First of all there is no evidence of a Sanders surge in IA, ergo: DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #217
Thanks for that bit of information. "Free Beacon"? Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #233
"Free Beacon"? A blog? Who cares what happens in IA & NH? Two of the whitest states in the nation. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #170
"Polls don't matter at this time." OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #176
Only the polls they like seem to "matter at this time". Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #211
Yeah, that's the talking point of Bernie supporters the last day or so. Adrahil Jun 2015 #190
Yet they constantly brag about how big Bernie's crowds are. MoonRiver Jun 2015 #225
Ding! Ding! Ding! It's a canard that's played out at this point. People know BS & yet they've..... Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #232
I even heard Sanders repeat this pathetic meme today. MoonRiver Jun 2015 #247
Exactly. I don't even know where he comes down on national security & foreign affairs, but I bet... Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #249
And that's one very important reason why he is going nowhere. MoonRiver Jun 2015 #254
Yea, keep thinking that if it helps. leftofcool Jun 2015 #46
Me either... Agschmid Jun 2015 #53
The media's having a love affair with BS right now. They'll turn on him, but it's fun right now. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #57
JUst name recognition. n/t bornskeptic Jun 2015 #184
So I've been told. These voters have heard of Elizabeth Warren, but not BS? BS has been loafing... Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #212
Incoming!!!! Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #7
Has Webb announced his candidacy? Evergreen Emerald Jun 2015 #10
He was the first to announce (nt) Recursion Jun 2015 #12
I recall him announcing an "exploratory committee" 11-14 Evergreen Emerald Jun 2015 #37
Huh maybe that's what I'm thinking of Recursion Jun 2015 #39
He is certainly campaigning Evergreen Emerald Jun 2015 #41
Obviously we need a stronger candidate for the general election. Those numbers are worrying. In fact Metric System Jun 2015 #11
Tell me you're not feeling the burn upaloopa Jun 2015 #87
i think O'malley has same type of constituents as Clinton JI7 Jun 2015 #13
What 'type' is that? elleng Jun 2015 #16
the base of the party JI7 Jun 2015 #24
I disagree. I think that Sanders and O'Malley are splitting the economic vote. lumberjack_jeff Jun 2015 #18
And that is to his credit! leftofcool Jun 2015 #23
Credit? Perhaps, if the point of this exercise is something other than getting elected. n/t lumberjack_jeff Jun 2015 #26
I credit and applaud him for speaking about all the issues. leftofcool Jun 2015 #30
O'Malley is my second choice too, but he doesn't have campaigning figured out. n/t lumberjack_jeff Jun 2015 #35
i think because webb has no other competition JI7 Jun 2015 #54
Kick and highly recommended! William769 Jun 2015 #14
I wish I could see the numbers that make up this ENORMOUS lead, but don't want to subscribe. Tarheel_Dem Jun 2015 #15
K & R Thinkingabout Jun 2015 #17
Webb? elleng Jun 2015 #19
All of our candidates are infinitely better than those in the GOP clown car etherealtruth Jun 2015 #22
Wow, Hillary is gaining momentum. JaneyVee Jun 2015 #28
I think the number changed when Biden wasn't included. sufrommich Jun 2015 #34
Yes, because that's reality. MoonRiver Jun 2015 #43
Misleading kcjohn1 Jun 2015 #31
LMAO! leftofcool Jun 2015 #49
Thank you for your concern. MoonRiver Jun 2015 #52
It's underlying, but whatever..........so people don't know Sanders. Are they going to go.... George II Jun 2015 #70
Yeah, WTF! MoonRiver Jun 2015 #73
There is about a year between now and then, so I guess we'll see. Comrade Grumpy Jun 2015 #108
All week long: Feel the bern! Bernie's closing! Bernie's gonna win! wyldwolf Jun 2015 #71
I find your graphic offensive, RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #105
So? wyldwolf Jun 2015 #115
Do you really think that image helps? mythology Jun 2015 #177
Yes. wyldwolf Jun 2015 #179
So if I looked around, I would't find any posts from Sanders supporters... brooklynite Jun 2015 #171
So like my mother used to say RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #221
What I got from it was, if you support someone other than Hillary herding cats Jun 2015 #124
It's actually not an outlier DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #216
Hillary is clearly losing. Get over it fanboys. Renew Deal Jun 2015 #32
FAAAAANTASTIC MoonRiver Jun 2015 #33
HILLARY'S NOT GOING TO LOSE!!!! misterhighwasted Jun 2015 #55
What misterhighwasted said! MoonRiver Jun 2015 #245
I sleep easier at night knowing the Republicans stack up so poorly against the front-runner. Starry Messenger Jun 2015 #58
A key point BeyondGeography Jun 2015 #149
I was just about to post this - saw these polls numbers on Chris Matthews a few minutes ago.... George II Jun 2015 #66
Very interesting sadoldgirl Jun 2015 #67
Uh no. 92% of Dems say they would vote for her leftofcool Jun 2015 #92
Yea about 8 years of the Hillary Clinton administration upaloopa Jun 2015 #96
Why do you ridicule other Democratic candidates? RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #152
Ridicule is the only way to get the blood of 1,000,000+ dead Iraqi civilians off their KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #224
Bernie's numbers show less people are happy about him. Funny how that works. Thinkingabout Jun 2015 #109
That's only in the real world, so it doesn't count. Lil Missy Jun 2015 #76
Sanders leads 90-10 on DU; Clinton leads 75-15 in the real world. Who to believe? brooklynite Jun 2015 #174
That's a tough one. Then when you factor in all the paid operatives on DU, then add Lil Missy Jun 2015 #208
But I keep hearing that DU speaks for real Democrats whatthehey Jun 2015 #227
woomp there it is boston bean Jun 2015 #81
At this point, I'm voting for Bernie Sanders. BlueJazz Jun 2015 #83
The numbers I would expect... Sancho Jun 2015 #86
These are good numbers for both Hillary and Bernie. salib Jun 2015 #88
The idea of Hillary is much more appealing than the actuality... raindaddy Jun 2015 #89
What ever helps you sleep at night. leftofcool Jun 2015 #93
Just the kind of horse race RoccoR5955 Jun 2015 #95
Here's the biggest weakness Bernie has when the attack ads start... Sancho Jun 2015 #97
That's not surprising. I'll add: OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #116
A lot of voters will not vote for an identified "socialist".... Sancho Jun 2015 #128
"Vote for Jeff Johnson the Name You Know" Rafale Jun 2015 #99
How in the world is O'Malley below Web? herding cats Jun 2015 #102
Hillary = Inevitable En Garde Jun 2015 #103
Gosh, if only historical data existed on some machine which could be searched.... PeaceNikki Jun 2015 #122
Alas, nothing from June 2007. En Garde Jun 2015 #220
Look again. There is plenty there from June 2007 PeaceNikki Jun 2015 #231
Hey welcome......but your snark doesn't help Bernie win Sheepshank Jun 2015 #131
What "snark"? You assume wrongly. En Garde Jun 2015 #252
The 2016 Democratic Primary will be much more similar to 2012 tritsofme Jun 2015 #107
Nice, quote a poll behind a paywall hootinholler Jun 2015 #110
Here you go. RandySF Jun 2015 #111
This is looking very very good. DCBob Jun 2015 #114
And the Sanders juggernaut continues! philosslayer Jun 2015 #118
A good day for incremental corporatism! moondust Jun 2015 #119
Even with all the hoopla about Bernie-mentum and "huge" wild crowds.. DCBob Jun 2015 #126
maybe not yet. it is very early n/t restorefreedom Jun 2015 #127
I think most Democrats aren't even going to give him a chance. DCBob Jun 2015 #129
And therein lies the real test underthematrix Jun 2015 #137
i actually don.t think she can beat every gop hopeful restorefreedom Jun 2015 #138
I totally disagree. Her strength against the GOP is one of main reasons... DCBob Jun 2015 #160
i guess time will tell n/t restorefreedom Jun 2015 #161
Got the breakdown? The tabs? Oh Yes Jun 2015 #132
It is just a poll. hrmjustin Jun 2015 #186
Primaries can be tricky for "sure thing" candidates. Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2015 #135
I don't think I realized states didn't always... Agschmid Jun 2015 #144
Those were the primaries before "can't be beat" candidate LBJ dropped out. Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2015 #148
Got it. Agschmid Jun 2015 #150
I'm pretty sure NH was the only primary before LBJ dropped out. bornskeptic Jun 2015 #191
Couple issues with the polling. RichVRichV Jun 2015 #143
I don't agree with part of what you are saying... Agschmid Jun 2015 #153
Not nescessarily. RichVRichV Jun 2015 #162
? Agschmid Jun 2015 #164
Not automatically. RichVRichV Jun 2015 #187
The only way the number of Bernie voters will be higher is if people volunteer for his campaign herding cats Jun 2015 #163
"The media used it to generate some false sense of a major surge by Bernie." brooklynite Jun 2015 #178
Yeah, I admit don't pay too much attention to what people say here. herding cats Jun 2015 #185
Oh I agree completely. RichVRichV Jun 2015 #193
You're mirroring my words in another post here not too very long ago. herding cats Jun 2015 #201
Another issue I have with the polls. RichVRichV Jun 2015 #200
(Dusts off the mothballs) rocktivity Jun 2015 #146
Lets review our excuses... brooklynite Jun 2015 #157
People are also very misinformed, they're buying Hillary's faux populism she's putting on. YOHABLO Jun 2015 #158
The "Voters are too stupid to know how to vote" theme... brooklynite Jun 2015 #167
and usually employed the fringes. wyldwolf Jun 2015 #258
I'll vote secondvariety Jun 2015 #159
I just threw up in my mouth a little bit ybbor Jun 2015 #165
DU rec for shits and giggles... SidDithers Jun 2015 #169
Man that is a helluva a lead. morningfog Jun 2015 #175
Webb aherad of O'Malley? Omaha Steve Jun 2015 #197
Hey, don't be mean! herding cats Jun 2015 #205
When he decides not to run or drop out that's four more points for HRC. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #218
LOL Omaha Steve Jun 2015 #219
Oooooo BURN alcibiades_mystery Jun 2015 #213
Polls are only valid if they validate my bias; otherwise, they're simply flawed/it's-too-early/parti LanternWaste Jun 2015 #228
Bernie hasn't been to California yet sonofspy777 Jun 2015 #235
Or Oklahoma or Texas or Arizona Or the deep South..or Missouri, where Hillary had a fantastic day misterhighwasted Jun 2015 #248
I finally understand why politically engaged people give up and drop out. bunnies Jun 2015 #259
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
183. I would like to see that too...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:17 PM
Jun 2015

I recall seeing one a couple weeks ago (which showed him losing those match-ups), but I can't seem to find it now.

randys1

(16,286 posts)
3. Not all that important this early on, I spent weekend in San Francisco and speaking to Uber
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:45 PM
Jun 2015

and Taxi drivers and hotel workers, restaurant etc, half or more never heard of Bernie.

BUT

when they hear about him, and they will, this will change.

Yes, I talk politics with everybody I can and I talk about Bernie, have been doing that for a while.

pnwmom

(108,955 posts)
51. But he's going to be spending a third or less than what the Rethug spends
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:25 PM
Jun 2015

since he'll limit himself to Federal campaign funds, and the Rethug won't.

So good luck on getting his true message through their barrage of lies.

daleanime

(17,796 posts)
202. And the people will be happy to serve our overlords?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:59 PM
Jun 2015

This is why we can win, not how we are going to lose.

pnwmom

(108,955 posts)
209. The people will be deceived by the barrage of messages paid for by the overlords.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:13 PM
Jun 2015

Sanders message will be completely swamped. And we'll all wish he'd never chosen to label himself as a "Socialist." In this country, that's the kiss of death for a politician in most of the country; tiny Vermont -- the only state with town halls -- being the happy exception.

daleanime

(17,796 posts)
214. That 'poison pill' has been over used for the last 6 years....
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:48 PM
Jun 2015

and the only ones who believe it are the ones that want to. And no one running in the Democratic Primary was ever going to reach them.

The rest of us are looking forward to the future. The only question for me is "do you think this nation is going in the right direction?"

If your answer is yes, then Hillary is definitely your choice. If your answer is no, then you have to look else where.

But I'm just boring you, so have a great night.

pnwmom

(108,955 posts)
215. I think you're forgetting that even Bernie wouldn't be able to overcome
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:56 PM
Jun 2015

the current Congress. Without a very different Congress he won't get anywhere.

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
226. Bernie agrees with you.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:51 AM
Jun 2015

It's part of his message and he's very clear about it. As he says, the campaign isn't about him, it's about us.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
8. Please provide me with a link for a candidate that had a sixty point lead in any primary cycle ...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:50 PM
Jun 2015

Please provide me with a link for a candidate that had a sixty point lead at this point in any primary cycle and lost?


Thank you in advance....



Respectfully if you were honest with yourself you would concede that Bernie Sanders winning the 2016 Democratic primary is as likely as Stan Van Gundy hoisting the 2016 Larry O'Brien trophy.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
47. Then this is all a waste of time.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:21 PM
Jun 2015

Why bother even posting?

I will support Hillary if she wins. I just hope Bernie does.

To soon to know.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
50. I hope that you can understand how some of us are happy our choice is doing well...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:24 PM
Jun 2015

I hope that you can understand how some of us are happy our choice is doing well and I hope you are happy with your choice.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
61. Show me a link where he was leading his presumptive Democratic challengers by 60% at this point...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:33 PM
Jun 2015

I know there is no way he was leading Bobby Kennedy by such a large margin

 

HERVEPA

(6,107 posts)
65. No one was running at that point
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:42 PM
Jun 2015

Kennedy, the opportunist, only joined in after McCarthy's strong showing. There were no challengers. He was a total lock for the nomination at that point.
If you think Bernie has no chance, why do you keep having to bring it up constantly? He's no threat, right?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
79. You implied I felt threatened by Senator Sanders' candidacy.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:59 PM
Jun 2015

I was merely responding to a post in a thread touting HRC's huge lead...



BTW, RFK wasn't an opportunist , he was a martyr like his brother.

 

HERVEPA

(6,107 posts)
80. And at that point in time, no matter how great a president he might have been, he was an opportunist
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:02 PM
Jun 2015

I don't know how old you are, but living back then it was clear he was not going to attempt the run until Gene embarrassed LBJ.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
94. He was reluctant to run...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:15 PM
Jun 2015

He was reluctant to run...If my brother got a bullet in his head at his job I would be loathe to want it too...

Bobby Kennedy was the rarest of men...He was sui generis...He married toughness to empathy...If all a person has is toughness he's likely to be a bully...If all a person has is empathy he's likely to be a patsy...If you have both you can do great things...

When I was six years old I shook the great man's hand when he was running for the U S Senate in 1964 when my mom took me to the front of a rope line when he was campaigning in Forest Hills, Queens.


I still have a letter from him that i Received when I was ten years old where he wrote that politically interested young people were our nation's best hope for the future...When he was shot I remember walking around with a transistor radio to see if he would live. When he died I was crushed.


When I was a junior high student my idols were the martyred Kennedy brothers, Dr. King, and Muhammad Ali and they still are today.

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
222. He actually lost to LBJ in New Hampshire, but McCarthy's strong showing against an incumbent
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:04 AM
Jun 2015

president embarassed LBJ and emboldened RFK, b/c it showed that LBJ was not invulnerable.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
188. Well, she has a sixty point lead this time ...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:33 PM
Jun 2015

I have a better chance of defeating Wladimir Klitschko for the WBA, IBF, WBO, IBO and The Ring heavyweight titles than Bernie Sanders has of being the Democratic nominee for president.








DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
194. I am as confident that I can really drop Wlad as you are really confident Bernie can beat Hillary.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:44 PM
Jun 2015

I am as really confident that I can really drop Wlad as you are really [ confident Bernie can beat Hillary.


Stick and run, stick and run, he wouldn't know what hit him..."I'm so mean I make medicine sick."

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
199. No. I was serious... I like to watch people insult people from the anonymity of their computer...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:51 PM
Jun 2015

No. I was serious... I like to watch people insult and patronize people from the anonymity of their computer... They are probably compensating for the pusillanimity they exhibit in real life.




DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
206. "When in Rome , do like the Romans."
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:03 PM
Jun 2015

Oh. you forgot the part about patronizing me for posting celebrity endorsements.




okasha

(11,573 posts)
236. The more interesting endorsements
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 04:00 PM
Jun 2015

are the 100+ sitting and former Democratic governors, Senators and Representatives who have endorsed Hillary.

Sanders' total to date: 0.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
25. No kidding.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:01 PM
Jun 2015

Ms Inevitable had a substantial lead in '07.

How'd that work out for her?

We are a movement and we won't be denied.

Join our Political Revolution, end the corruption of our government by .01% and their bought and paid for stooges.

SANDERS 2016

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
62. people are a lot more pissed this time
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:33 PM
Jun 2015

the 99.99 % is sick of being crushed under the boot of the 0.01%. she represents them. bernie represents us.


he has the mojo on. it's not a movement this time, it's a revolution.


sanders 2016

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
74. he is drawing huge crowds
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:50 PM
Jun 2015

and he doesn.t have name recognition yet. what do you think will happen when people know who he is?

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
100. He will move up to 66 percent.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:19 PM
Jun 2015

Last edited Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:16 PM - Edit history (1)

And no I don't have a link. Well I suppose that I could put up a link behind a pay wall as the OP did, so that I have to pay to see it.
But I shall not.
Instead I shall say that it is my gut feeling. And in the US I am "entitled to my opinion."

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
168. Howard Dean drew huge crowds...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:55 PM
Jun 2015

...someone else drew huge crowds as well, but I got into trouble when I mentioned him...

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
223. So did Ron Paul....
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:11 AM
Jun 2015

What matters at the end of the day is votes. Ron Paul had very enthusiastic supporters, but not enough of them. Bernie will probably suffer the same fate.

I could be wrong, but I just dont see this mojo.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
234. What makes you people think that folk don't know who BS is? He's been in Washington for....
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 01:06 PM
Jun 2015

decades. Stop saying that. You can't draw "huge crowds" if people don't know who you are. Buy a new argument already. I posit that people actually do know who BS is, which is why Hillary's lead has exploded.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
238. people who follow politics know him
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 04:39 PM
Jun 2015

as do people in vt. but the average to low info voter is not likely to know much about him or even that he is a senator. as he gets on the debate stage and out at rallies his message will reach many more people who don.t follow politics.


edit for spelling

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
239. If they don't "follow politics", why the hell would they "get to know him"? If they don't attend...
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 04:45 PM
Jun 2015

rallies, listen to talk radio, or watch political news, what are the chances these folks can't wait to get BS on a debate stage? Really? You haven't helped your argument.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
241. as the campaign season rolls on,
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:08 PM
Jun 2015

more people will want to get informed. right now he is enjoying a very energized base. but as things get closer and more people read up, they will be drawn to the message.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
77. Pissed at what?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:55 PM
Jun 2015

A steadily improving economy? Unemployment halved? Most troops home from the Mideast? The ACA? Thriving automakers? Gay marriage likely to become codified federally?

2008 was pissed. That's why, thank dog, we have Obama.

2016 will be expectations that the Obama legacy will continue. It will absolutely not be about dramatic changes.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
85. are you kidding?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:08 PM
Jun 2015

wealth and income inequality have become obscene. People working 60 to 70 hours a week just to survive. The TPP is going to make that even worse. Even though the ACA is in effect, a lot of people aren't getting the benefit of it because they're in states with Republican asshole governors who don't want to accept the medicare funding.The environment is going to sh*t and the problems associated with the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer are growing every day.

Bernie speak to that. He represents the people. Hillary is a corporate centrist and represents the interests of the 1%. People are going to figure that out in a big big way.

and many progressives don't want the "Obama legacy" to continue. The legacy of what, more crappy trade deals to lower the standard of living in this country, more drone action killing people in foreign countries, more degradation of our rights,and rolling over for the Republicans every time they pull one of their stunts. Obama has been a nearly complete disappointment to me. And to a lot of others. And Bernie is tapping into that rage. Hillary is not.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
98. Did I use a smiley?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:17 PM
Jun 2015

Bromides will not win this election. By November 2016, the public will see more jobs, more loans and improved healthcare. They will vote for that status quo. They do not care that you are pissed. And they outnumber you by the hundreds of millions.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
112. According to the poll 92% of Democrats say they could vote for HRC...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:33 PM
Jun 2015

According to the poll 92% of Democrats say they could vote for HRC... The other 8% took over Skinner's board...


BTW, BHO received 92% of the Democratic vote in 012 so we are fine.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
120. i think it is too early to start popping the corks
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:44 PM
Jun 2015

didn't that happen in 2008?

and who is president now?

it is a long primary season and it hasn't even started yet.

wait till the debates. hrc will be bobbing and weaving on the issues and bernie will get standing o's.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
142. Yeah, people have known HRC for forty years and like her.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:08 PM
Jun 2015

It's not as if they are going to change their mind.

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #142)

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
133. It's like flypaper.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:01 PM
Jun 2015

But I think that the No Wayers are a very tiny minority of ProSense's trumad's Sid's Skinner's board. They sound like a swarm, but it's only because they're flapping their tiny wings furiously in a call for reinforcements. Note also that before they're inevitably caught, they shit everywhere they land.

(Docket excerpt: Defendant pleads guilty to a reduced charge of being mean, with the understanding that said defendant was very particular in his or her choice of targets - specifically, as stated, the "No Wayers". Per the judge's agreement, this plea immunizes Defendant from any outstanding or subsequent charges of broad-brushing toward any other group of people, regardless of their preferences to whit.)

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
117. i think you are underestimating the immense power differential
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:41 PM
Jun 2015

that exists from the widenening chasm between haves and have nots. people are angry and sick of it. and its not just me pissed. there are many more.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
101. Let's see Hillary has 75% and not a one of
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:20 PM
Jun 2015

those is part of the 99%?
Right, You want to buy a nice bridge?

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
123. hillary is a hawkish, corporate centrist who represents the 1%
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:46 PM
Jun 2015

bernie represents the people. the more people learn about both, the more. the bernmentum builds.

okasha

(11,573 posts)
240. The 1% are backing Republicans
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 05:37 PM
Jun 2015

and don't come into this calculus at all.

Sanders started out polling in the 13-16% range, and after all that"mojo" and "bern" and crowds and leaving no talking head show unturned and the Facebook exposure, he's still polling in the 13-16% range. To wit, Democrats are not moving for him at all. He has a problem. He may plateau out a point or two higher, but I have my doubts.

Face it. "Progressives" are not the Democratic base. The base consists of African Americans, Hispanics, lgbt's and women. Bernie is offering pie-in-the sky proposals, but he's not telling anyone how he's going to pay for any of that or even get his program through Congress. He hasn't shown any willingness so far to cut back on military spending, which is a black hole even deeper and wider than corporate welfare. The only concrete proposal the public knows about is raiding middle-income retirement funds. And that pig ain't gonna fly.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
242. he has a lot going for him and he is resonating with many
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:09 PM
Jun 2015

methinks so many hrc supports are so angry because they are worried.

okasha

(11,573 posts)
250. theethinks wrong.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:45 PM
Jun 2015

We're not angry, and we're not worried. Things look pretty good from the high end of 75-15.



restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
125. i would say yes.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:48 PM
Jun 2015

the more it becomes clear that hrc represents the corporate hawkish one percenters and Bernie represents the rest of us,it will be game on.

bernie has a message that will resonate with the non political junkies who aren.t even paying attention yet. but they will.

and the hrc supporters know it.

6chars

(3,967 posts)
251. I can't remember any candidate ever being as popular as Hillary
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:03 PM
Jun 2015

or any President for that matter, except for W right after 9/11.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
255. Then you either are very young or have a very short memory.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:06 PM
Jun 2015

Gawd, the stupid shit people say on the internet.

6chars

(3,967 posts)
256. short memory, actually
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:26 PM
Jun 2015

It's all coming back to me now. I guess President Obama was extremely popular for a week right after his election before everything became all partisan again. But Howard Dean or John Kerrey or Al Gore or even Bill Clinton never had the kinds of numbers Hillary has. Maybe Reagen after he was shot and Bush 1 for a short time during his Iraq war. OK, so without a huge historical event going on, she is up there with the top moments of recent history. That is a broad resevoire of support.

Renew Deal

(81,846 posts)
36. Sanders needs the Kucinich debate surge
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:09 PM
Jun 2015

If he only comes out and talks reasonably people will change their support and vote for him.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
84. Ubiquitous Financial Obscenities?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:06 PM
Jun 2015

I think he is talking about them already.

Maybe not using that term, but who knows... it might catch on.


DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
63. I was going to say Derek Fisher but he's from Detroit...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:34 PM
Jun 2015

You have to be beside yourself with what's going on.

BeyondGeography

(39,346 posts)
136. We used to have Frazier, Reed and affordable apartments
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:02 PM
Jun 2015

Things have really deteriorated. Of course, that was 45 years ago.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
140. I am originally from NYC so I was a NYK fan as a kid and a bit after, even when I moved.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:06 PM
Jun 2015

I can remember the 70 and 73 Finals.


ToxMarz

(2,162 posts)
75. They aren't meaningless unless you expect them to predict the winner 18 months from now
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:51 PM
Jun 2015

They are the current measure, as the race goes on we will see movement indicating who's resonating with voters and who isn't. It's valuable to the campaigns themselves. It also is great for fund raising and voter awareness of lesser known candidates (such as Bernie). People who may not have heard of him can see the poll and think who is this guy getting these numbers I have never heard of, and fundraising is helped if the poll numbers keep going up, you don't feel like you are throwing your money away on a hopeless candidate.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
189. Perhaps... but plenty of Bernie supporters tout polls when it fits their narrative.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:35 PM
Jun 2015

No matter how you slice it, it's a VERY steep climb for Bernie. Impossible to overcome? I think it probably is, unless something dramatic happens, but I've been wrong before.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
44. You guys keep saying that like it actually means something to the rest of us.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:16 PM
Jun 2015


IT DOESN'T!!! Deal with it!

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
106. Like Hillary is dealing with Iowa and New Hampshire?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:23 PM
Jun 2015

Even anonymous spokesmen are NOW saying
"Don't be surprised if Sanders WINS Iowa and New Hampshire."
Deal with it.

Dem Strategist: We Shouldn’t Be Surprised if Sanders Beats Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire
http://freebeacon.com/politics/dem-strategist-we-shouldnt-be-surprised-if-sanders-beats-clinton-in-iowa-and-new-hampshire/


OMG....Shades of 2008!
Bernie? Hell, Yes! It CAN happen again!

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
166. I never had you pegged as a fan of the Washington Free Beacon...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:51 PM
Jun 2015

the mouthpiece of the Center for American Freedom, funded by the Koch brothers.



You gotta wonder, how desperate are the Berniacs, when they resort to the Washington Free Beacon for the attacks on Hillary.

Sid

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
217. First of all there is no evidence of a Sanders surge in IA, ergo:
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 12:21 AM
Jun 2015
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html


And the only evidence of a surge in New Hampshire are two polls; one pollster that is new and one that was mired in controversy in 2012:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html.


I realize states are unique but a candidate isn't going one way in nat'l polls and another way is state polls as the latter is part of the former's universe.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
170. "Free Beacon"? A blog? Who cares what happens in IA & NH? Two of the whitest states in the nation.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:58 PM
Jun 2015

When the primaries come to America, we'll make our decision.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
176. "Polls don't matter at this time."
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:02 PM
Jun 2015

"Hey! Didya see the poll outta NH that shows Bernie only losing by ten points?"

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
190. Yeah, that's the talking point of Bernie supporters the last day or so.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:38 PM
Jun 2015

Bernie COULD win New Hampshire.... but I personally think he will not.

But until Bernie can break 30% nationally, he's not really a player. In the end, we'll see.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
225. Yet they constantly brag about how big Bernie's crowds are.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 08:27 AM
Jun 2015

If nobody knew his name, nobody would show up at his speeches.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
232. Ding! Ding! Ding! It's a canard that's played out at this point. People know BS & yet they've.....
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 12:54 PM
Jun 2015

rallied to Hillary. This poll bears out what most of us have known from Day 1. The Thom Hartmann, Ed Schultz & RT audiences combine themselves to make it look like some new organic movement is afoot, but if these numbers are to be believed, folks just aren't buying it. Can you say astroturf? Bernie could fill up stadiums nationwide, and it won't change the math.

Dropping Joe Biden & Elizabeth Warren from the polling did not inure to BS' benefit as had been expected by his supporters.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
247. I even heard Sanders repeat this pathetic meme today.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:38 PM
Jun 2015

I think he's buying into his own mythology.

He is a good guy, who fights for the middle class economically, but he is definitely a one trick pony. Voters know this.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
249. Exactly. I don't even know where he comes down on national security & foreign affairs, but I bet...
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:45 PM
Jun 2015

it would scare the hell out of me. I don't necessarily want someone who's overly hawkish, but I absolutely DO NOT want someone who wants to withdraw from our alliances abroad.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
57. The media's having a love affair with BS right now. They'll turn on him, but it's fun right now.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:30 PM
Jun 2015

None of the other lesser candidates can get oxygen as long as Hartmann, Schultz, MoveOn, RT & the rest are in the tank for BS.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
212. So I've been told. These voters have heard of Elizabeth Warren, but not BS? BS has been loafing...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:32 PM
Jun 2015

around DC for decades. The argument that people don't know who he is by now, speaks volumes.

Evergreen Emerald

(13,069 posts)
37. I recall him announcing an "exploratory committee" 11-14
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:09 PM
Jun 2015

but I do not recall him actually making up his mind to run. I can't find anything on the internet that shows his actual announcement. I am not certain what it means to have an exploratory committee.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
39. Huh maybe that's what I'm thinking of
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:11 PM
Jun 2015

Looking back that's all I see too. I could have sworn he did a full announcement, but I guess I'm wrong.

Evergreen Emerald

(13,069 posts)
41. He is certainly campaigning
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:13 PM
Jun 2015

like his is running, based on his webpage. At some point he will need to announce for campaign finance issues.

Metric System

(6,048 posts)
11. Obviously we need a stronger candidate for the general election. Those numbers are worrying. In fact
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:51 PM
Jun 2015

Hillary should bow out now.

(posting from bizarro world)

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
87. Tell me you're not feeling the burn
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:08 PM
Jun 2015

Big crowds, 100 % right on all the issues, soon to be admired by all minorities because rising prosperity solves everything

JI7

(89,239 posts)
13. i think O'malley has same type of constituents as Clinton
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:53 PM
Jun 2015

If she got out of the race i think most would go to him

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
18. I disagree. I think that Sanders and O'Malley are splitting the economic vote.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:58 PM
Jun 2015

But O'Mallley has also opined about every other issue under the sun.

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
30. I credit and applaud him for speaking about all the issues.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:06 PM
Jun 2015

Not just economics. He is my second choice and I would like to see him go up on the polls. I don't know why he is polling behind Webb.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
15. I wish I could see the numbers that make up this ENORMOUS lead, but don't want to subscribe.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 06:55 PM
Jun 2015

Didn't want to sign up for WSJ, and found this at NBC:

What's more, 92 percent of Democratic voters say they could see themselves supporting Clinton for the Democratic nomination, which is up six points since March.

Just eight percent can't see themselves backing her in the current poll, which was conducted right after Clinton formally kicked off her presidential campaign with a rally in New York City. (By contrast, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush's score among Republicans is 75-22 percent and Sen. Marco Rubio's, R-Fla., is 74-15 percent.)

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/hillary-clinton-dominates-2016-democratic-field-leads-gop-rivals-n379836


I thought BS would naturally inherit support from EW, but that doesn't appear to be the case. Hillary seems to have picked up some of EW's support, along with that of Joe Biden (not included in the poll).

I think Stephen Colbert would call that 8 percent = "backwash". What's clear from this latest poll is that Hillary has improved across ALL demographics.

kcjohn1

(751 posts)
31. Misleading
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:07 PM
Jun 2015

I don't see underlining numbers, but I'm pretty sure good chunk of that lead is because of name recognition. I would venture half of the people polled don't even know Sanders.

It is difficult for any politician to get 75% of votes in real elections. Once its contested and voters actually start reviewing the candidates, I would expect more people will consider the alternatives. That is not to say Clinton is not in the driver seat, but even when/if she wins, her vote total will be closer to 55% than 75%.

George II

(67,782 posts)
70. It's underlying, but whatever..........so people don't know Sanders. Are they going to go....
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:46 PM
Jun 2015

..into the polls on primary day and say "gosh, I'll vote for this guy I never heard of!" ????

 

Comrade Grumpy

(13,184 posts)
108. There is about a year between now and then, so I guess we'll see.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:26 PM
Jun 2015

Don't be too early for the coronation.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
105. I find your graphic offensive,
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:22 PM
Jun 2015

You may count your chickens before they hatch. Don't you know that you shouldn't do that, and it's not right to burst others' balloons. ESPECIALLY others running as Democratic candidates. After all, this IS Democratic Underground, Not Mrs. Clinton's Place.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
177. Do you really think that image helps?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:02 PM
Jun 2015

Even if you believe that Sanders either can't or won't win, does it really help to antagonize Democrats who are supporting a different candidate within the primary?

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
171. So if I looked around, I would't find any posts from Sanders supporters...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:59 PM
Jun 2015

...saying Hillary is going to lose?

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
221. So like my mother used to say
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:54 AM
Jun 2015

If other people jumped off the Brooklyn Bridge, would you want to do so too?

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
124. What I got from it was, if you support someone other than Hillary
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:46 PM
Jun 2015

You'd better get your butt off the internet and get to work for them.

I need to make a decision early this cycle it appears.

George II

(67,782 posts)
66. I was just about to post this - saw these polls numbers on Chris Matthews a few minutes ago....
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:42 PM
Jun 2015

The bottom line is that people are showing up at Sanders' rallies mostly because he's a novelty and interesting to watch, NOT because they'll vote for him in primaries.

Remember folks, in their first year of existence the Mets sold out most of their games, they still lost miserably.

sadoldgirl

(3,431 posts)
67. Very interesting
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 07:45 PM
Jun 2015

So HRC is way up front, but less than 50% would be
satisfied.

This tells me that it is still name recognition not
really happiness about her.

Give it time.

Lil Missy

(17,865 posts)
208. That's a tough one. Then when you factor in all the paid operatives on DU, then add
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:12 PM
Jun 2015

pro HRC supporters that are obviously running scared, you get the obvious results that Bernie is a shoe-in for the Primaries and GE.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
227. But I keep hearing that DU speaks for real Democrats
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:38 AM
Jun 2015

There are apparently very few real Democrats anywhere else however, which makes you wonder what the tens of millions of voters and tens of thousands of precinct and district party volunteers are.

I personally would probably either vote O'Malley or Sanders now if the primary were today, just because I like their style better, but I would be perfectly content with any announced candidate winning. The only money I've donated to so far is Sanders because he will need smaller donations to keep his message going, which I find valuable. My issue here is not partisan concern either way, but to demoinstrate the difference between DU reality and real reality.

For the perpertually poutraged this is not even meta-scorn. I am an unabashed left-biased advocate on most issues and have no problem with such advocacy even on issues where I may be more moderate personally. I come here FOR left-biased advocacy. I just find it a little sad and strange that many people here deny that they are anything but towards the far end of the political spectrum. If we weren't, the House would be 435-0 D and President Kucinich would be looking at his final policy priorities planning to hand things over to President Sanders after his unopposed nomination and EC sweep.

I haven't visited places like FR in a long time, but when I'd skim it during the nomination and election campaigns, I saw brutal deranged lunacy for sure, but I saw honest brutal deranged lunacy. Nobody there pretends they are not far right. They revel in it and announce it proudly. Sure they fool themselves that more people agree with them than really do, but their self-deception is about numbers (which we sadly have too) not a false idea of where they are on the range of political opinion that is prevalent here, even when wider polls such as this one hammer home the gap between mainstream Democrats, let alone the whole gamut of Americans, and DU.

It reminds me of how the kumbaya Christians here pretend that's the vast majority of believers, and ignore data that show most believers accept Young Earth Creationism, a literal Hell, and other fundamentalist doctrines.

Sancho

(9,067 posts)
86. The numbers I would expect...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:08 PM
Jun 2015

hopefully Hillary will improve as we move into the big Sunbelt states where she can campaign with her base. Jeb has LOTS of money and the family machine, so we have to keep the pressure on!


salib

(2,116 posts)
88. These are good numbers for both Hillary and Bernie.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:08 PM
Jun 2015

Hillary is solid and Bernie is make real progress.

O'Malley is not budging, though.

raindaddy

(1,370 posts)
89. The idea of Hillary is much more appealing than the actuality...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:09 PM
Jun 2015

Clinton lacks passion and you can't fake passion..

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
95. Just the kind of horse race
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:15 PM
Jun 2015

that the MSM likes to see. It will bring them many advertising dollars from the candidates.
That's why they commission these polls, review the questions to make sure that things end up the way that they want.
Oh, and thanks for the link behind a pay wall. If I want to read it to see what it says, I have to pay. How quite American that is.

Sancho

(9,067 posts)
97. Here's the biggest weakness Bernie has when the attack ads start...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:16 PM
Jun 2015

look at the poll drop when someone is called a "socialist"...even with the Jewish population.

http://jpupdates.com/2015/06/22/poll-bernie-sanders-doesnt-have-a-jewish-problem/

"Among Democratic voters, 92% would support a Jewish candidate, while only 59% are inclined to support an identified socialist. Among Independents and Republicans

“At one point, Americans might have withheld their votes from him because of his Jewish faith — fewer than half said they would support a Jewish candidate in 1937 — but today his socialist ideology, given Americans’ views on voting for a socialist candidate, could hinder his candidacy more,” Gallup noted."

It's bad enough Bernie doesn't have a following with minority, but when the professional hit team labels him a socialist, his competitiveness will drop like a rock. Those are people who won't attend a rally, but will watch TV.


OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
116. That's not surprising. I'll add:
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:39 PM
Jun 2015

I visited my folks in their assisted-living community last evening. I know that my mom (89) and stepdad (93) would never vote for a Jew for president. It's a generational thing, to a certain extent, but (at least anecdotally... since it's all the rage around here) these first and second-generation Jewish-Americans wince at the notion of a prominent Jew in the crosshairs. That's exactly how they see it, as well as their friends at the dinner table. I understand.

Add to that that my stepdad was a Holocaust survivor who escaped Hungary during the Russian invasion. To him, to my mom, and to the rest (to a man and woman) Socialist is Hitler. Socialist is Stalin.

They will vote for the blonde shiksa. All of them.

My generation is tougher to discern. Some of our parents' paranoia rubbed off, so they may share some of the same feelings.

Generations following have lost much of their Jewish identity.

I am really looking forward to a Primary poll of American Jews. I have no idea with whom they're aligned, but it's likely to be fascinating.

Sancho

(9,067 posts)
128. A lot of voters will not vote for an identified "socialist"....
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:51 PM
Jun 2015

Jews, immigrants with various experiences, independents who just listen to the ads, etc.

There are problems with Bernie other than that, but he's pretty much a sitting duck for a serious. well-funded opponent. There may be a populist candidate out there who would be able to rally America, but Bernie simply isn't the one.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
102. How in the world is O'Malley below Web?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:21 PM
Jun 2015

That's so wrong!

Not that I'm denying the polling, I mean it's morally wrong in my eyes.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
131. Hey welcome......but your snark doesn't help Bernie win
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:59 PM
Jun 2015

Maybe look up thread for the non-reality of your statement. Besides Sanders is no Obama so you are comparing apples to oranges

 

En Garde

(94 posts)
252. What "snark"? You assume wrongly.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 07:09 PM
Jun 2015

Hillary cheerleaders patronizing young voters of color won't win her votes.

tritsofme

(17,370 posts)
107. The 2016 Democratic Primary will be much more similar to 2012
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:25 PM
Jun 2015

Than 2008, 2004, or 2000.

Attracting only token opposition, Hillary is in the strongest position of any candidate who was not already an incumbent president ever.





hootinholler

(26,449 posts)
110. Nice, quote a poll behind a paywall
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:29 PM
Jun 2015

All I know for sure is teh WSJ loves them some Hillary.

Got a link to the poll from a free source?

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
126. Even with all the hoopla about Bernie-mentum and "huge" wild crowds..
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:49 PM
Jun 2015

he's still in the mid-teens. Respectable but not a threat.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
129. I think most Democrats aren't even going to give him a chance.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 08:56 PM
Jun 2015

They are happy with Hillary especially when they see she will likely beat anyone the GOP can put up.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
138. i actually don.t think she can beat every gop hopeful
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:03 PM
Jun 2015

which is one of the reasons i don't support her. besides her positions, she will not be a heavyweight in a general because she is too similar to an r.

two corporate centrists. it will come down to personality. and we know gwb was the guy everyone wanted to have a beer with.

 

Oh Yes

(20 posts)
132. Got the breakdown? The tabs?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:00 PM
Jun 2015

I consider this poll a big, big outlier.

If they want to tout this as gospel, fine with me, but it still does not convince me the Hillary Clinton has a clear path to victory. She still has issues to address, and based on "Hard Choices" that I read, I am not in favor of her or her "gold standard" of trade for Trans-Pacific Partnership.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
135. Primaries can be tricky for "sure thing" candidates.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:02 PM
Jun 2015
1968



Gold denotes a state won by Lyndon B. Johnson. Purple denotes a state won by Robert Kennedy Green denotes a state won by Eugene McCarthy. Blue denotes a state won by George Smathers. Orange denotes a state won by Stephen M. Young. Grey denotes a state that did not hold a primary.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
144. I don't think I realized states didn't always...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:09 PM
Jun 2015

All have primaries, good info thanks. I'll have to read up not that!

bornskeptic

(1,330 posts)
191. I'm pretty sure NH was the only primary before LBJ dropped out.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:40 PM
Jun 2015

The map does show all the primaries that were held in 1968. Humphrey got the nomination without winning a single primary. LBJ could have been nominated. He didn't want to run.

RichVRichV

(885 posts)
143. Couple issues with the polling.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:08 PM
Jun 2015

The results are impressive, but I question them. Besides the fact that it's early and one has overwhelming name recognition. I can think of two flaws with the poll. The first is the sample size. Hillary has a massive majority of Democrats favoring her according to 247 people polled. That is a small sample size by any polling standard. I know it's anecdotal but half of the Democrats I know like her and the other half can't stand her. Far from the huge popularity rating these polls seem to give her. Polls usually trump anecdotal evidence, but we'll see how it plays out in a few months.


The other issue is one not specific to this poll. In order to maximize accuracy of polls, a lot of polling organizations only poll people "Likely to vote". They don't want non-voters skewing the results. Normally that's a good idea. The problem with that is that if Bernie wins it's going to be largely because of people "Not likely to vote" as well as cross over votes, not the people who normally vote in Democratic primaries. Are the polls even considering this?

This is why I believe Hillary had better retain good leads in the polls. Because I suspect the number of Bernie voters come election days are going to be substantially higher than the polls account for (and I expect his polling numbers to improve a lot). There's signs of a lot of disenfranchised people are starting to come back because of him, as well as first time young voters. If he ever gets close to even with her in the polls then she is in trouble.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
153. I don't agree with part of what you are saying...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:15 PM
Jun 2015

Right now everyone who supports Bernie is "likely to vote" so if they polled those people I don't feel that's a poll flaw.

RichVRichV

(885 posts)
162. Not nescessarily.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:40 PM
Jun 2015

I've already heard many anecdotal (that evil word again) instances of non-voters saying they're going to vote just because of him. People who haven't voted recently and aren't yet registered are often eliminated from polls. Also young people are undercounted in polls because they are traditionally unreliable. If social media is any indication, Bernie is already making major inroads there.

Again it's way too early to know if trends are proof of a larger pattern or just early anomoly.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
164. ?
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:42 PM
Jun 2015
non-voters saying they're going to vote just because of him.


This now makes them "likely voters"...

RichVRichV

(885 posts)
187. Not automatically.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:31 PM
Jun 2015

Sorry, I refuse to link outside sources because I never know what is considered a right wing rag around here (we really need a running list posted). Just google "polling likely voters" for better explanation.

To try and explain it, people who don't vote often tell pollers they will (don't ask me why, I'm not an expert). To make "likely voters" more accurate they have a series of questions they ask including things such as "are you registered", "have you voted recently", "what age are you", "do you know where your polling place is", "how likely are you to vote from 1 to 10", etc. Then they score them based on the answers to determine if they're actually a likely voter.

People who don't check off enough boxes may be excluded even if they say they intend to vote.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
163. The only way the number of Bernie voters will be higher is if people volunteer for his campaign
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:40 PM
Jun 2015

Yes, the internet is a an amazing tool, and it has a place in elections. What it doesn't do is replace people interacting in real life with other people. No matter how we want to pretend it does. Knocking on doors and phone banking done by a real person still helps spread the message beyond the wonks on the internet. Which by the way, the vast majority of American's are not wonks.

Bernie has a good message and he is a veteran at campaigning. However, this is a national election. It takes having boots on the ground, lots and lots of boots on the ground to create a wave. It takes hard work and dedication by his supporters. Not petty bickering on the internet. Petty bickering on the internet has one an election...never.

This post is in my estimation a rebuttal (my apologies if I'm wrong Cali Democrat!) to the hoopla based on this previous polling data. Even I admit I wasn't thrilled by it, but it is extremely early. The media used it to generate some false sense of a major surge by Bernie. Which led to some people here acting like they were owning the process prematurely. Primary wars...they're never good for the underdog on the internet. People get distracted by the media trying to turn it into a horse-race and ignore the reality that if their choice is the underdog, they're going to have to work their asses off to make them not so.

If you want Bernie to do better in the primary election, work for him. That's what makes a difference. I'm all about the process, and I've spent years encouraging people to engage and support a Democratic candidate with everything they have. I still believe every primary election, on all levels, is when we make our needs be known. People need to commit and really dedicate their time to their choice. Not on a message board, but where the campaign says they need you and doing what you can in that location. This is how we exercise our power.

Having given my get out there and get to work speech, I'm now admitting I'm not committed. It's crazy early and I'm still getting a feel for the candidates on a national platform. If you're not like me, and you're feeling a soul level connection, then get to work! Real work, not being an antagonist on the internet. Unless you support Hillary you have some serious work to do ahead of you, and even for her supporters you need to stay on your game. Don't think you have it in the bag and that you can sit out this cycle. That's how elections are lost.

I'm sorry. I think I got carried away and most of this wasn't directed at you or your post. Politics bring out my passionate side.

/rant

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
178. "The media used it to generate some false sense of a major surge by Bernie."
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:02 PM
Jun 2015

This is really confusing. I was told (here) that the media was marginalizing or ignoring Sanders.

Boy, the politics stuff is complicated.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
185. Yeah, I admit don't pay too much attention to what people say here.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:18 PM
Jun 2015

I'm not trying hit a dig on you. Surprising, right? I just realize people here say some pretty crazy stuff just to be sensational. I saw all those threads talking about the "Bernie surge" and just shook my head. I'd read the data, I knew the reality of the situation. It's an uphill fight if he's your choice. You need to get out and do the leg work to make something happen. Not bait people on an internet forum. It's about hard work and dedication. That's the premise of grassroots politics.

You're a Hillary supporter. I pay attention. I think you're involved beyond posting here, which is a great thing! You love your candidate, maybe work to encourage others to volunteer? I live to see new people brought into the process. That's what keeping our party alive is all about. It's how fellow wonks are born.

I'm a hard working Democrat to the bone. I just get frustrated sometimes by people who complain and aren't active in the process. It's as if they expect something to magically happen because they've clicked their heels together three times and posted about it on the internet.

RichVRichV

(885 posts)
193. Oh I agree completely.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:42 PM
Jun 2015

I've said many times that nothing trumps word of mouth. Thing is it's a little early to annoy strangers with phone banks. lol

Our voices go farther with people that know and trust us. That's why my current focus is on bringing Bernie's message to family, friends, and co-workers. If the 200k+ volunteers he has are doing the same thing then Bernie will have a small army ready once the real election season gets going. Right now it's about sowing the seeds.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
201. You're mirroring my words in another post here not too very long ago.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:58 PM
Jun 2015

Talk to people you know about your choice. Everyone you know, and be passionate about why you feel the way you do. That's how minds are opened and ultimately changed! Know why you believe what you believe and stay positive in your messages when you're talking to people. People respond to a positive dialog much more than a negative one.

I've worked too many political campaigns, that army at this point could be an infantry of foot soldiers by the time they're called into service. Most never produce fruit, but usually if the ones who are dedicated work hard you can get something real going. Be one of the dedicated ones if you really believe in the cause. You owe it to yourself, your family and anything you hold dear within the process.

Maybe let me know how things go for you over the course? Even if I pick someone else, I'm totally invested in everyone supporting their choice with their whole hearts. That's how we create change, with our passion and our hard work. That's what the process is all about.

The best of luck to you!

RichVRichV

(885 posts)
200. Another issue I have with the polls.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:54 PM
Jun 2015

Hillary is out polling Bernie 5 to 1. The problem is she's not out drawing him 5 to 1. They're drawing pretty equally at their rallies across the country. What this tells me is that Hillary has a small contingent of enthusiastic voters and Bernie has a small contingent of enthusiastic voters. The vast majority of Democrats are fence sitters (probably because they just don't care that much this early) who lean Hillary.

So why do they lean Hillary? Because on one hand you have a former first lady and secratary of state who was regularly in the news. On the other hand you have a senator from Vermont. People tend to go with the person they know over the person they don't (human nature).

I'd take the early polls more seriously if other evidence was aligning with them.

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
157. Lets review our excuses...
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:29 PM
Jun 2015

1. It's only name recognition

2. There are 8 months until people vote

And

3. The MSM won't let Bernie's message get out.

 

YOHABLO

(7,358 posts)
158. People are also very misinformed, they're buying Hillary's faux populism she's putting on.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:31 PM
Jun 2015

Damn right Bernie is having an impact on her campaign. She'll show her true colors if elected. They always swing left during campaigning, and swing back centrist right, once elected. Bill did it, Obama did it, even Jimmy Carter did it. Bernie is the real deal folks, he won't back down. Still too early to start declaring Hillary's victory. Way too early. The Republican clown car will be quite a show to watch, get popcorn ready. But in the end it will be Bush. We know that it's coming.

ybbor

(1,554 posts)
165. I just threw up in my mouth a little bit
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 09:45 PM
Jun 2015

That's the taste I'll have in my mouth on Election Day if she wins the nomination.

Don't know if I can make myself vote for her, won't vote repub, but not sure I could vote for her.. She doesn't represent me.

Our country needs more than two shitty choices every four years.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
175. Man that is a helluva a lead.
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 10:02 PM
Jun 2015

The only hope for Bernie to pull this out is an unprecedented tortoise and hare run. He's hownlong some gains are possible on NH. I fully expect Iowa to tighten with the next poll. If he can make gains in the other pre-Super Tuesday races, he can change the narrative and get the national attention.

The debates will really be a determining factor as to whether this is possible.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
205. Hey, don't be mean!
Mon Jun 22, 2015, 11:03 PM
Jun 2015

I like O'Malley way more than Web. I cannot figure out that data. At least in the other polls they have O'Malley .5% ahead of Web. Which is somewhat easier to stomach. Most of the people I've spoken to don't know who either one is, but damn folks, O'Malley has at least announced!

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
228. Polls are only valid if they validate my bias; otherwise, they're simply flawed/it's-too-early/parti
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:42 AM
Jun 2015

Polls are only valid if they validate my bias; otherwise, they're simply flawed/it's-too-early/partisan-sponsored.

 

sonofspy777

(360 posts)
235. Bernie hasn't been to California yet
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 03:33 PM
Jun 2015

...and even so he's at 15%

Wait til he actually GOES THERE!!!



HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)
248. Or Oklahoma or Texas or Arizona Or the deep South..or Missouri, where Hillary had a fantastic day
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 06:38 PM
Jun 2015

Bernie needs to get out of his comfort zone.
Good Luck.

 

bunnies

(15,859 posts)
259. I finally understand why politically engaged people give up and drop out.
Tue Jun 23, 2015, 10:32 PM
Jun 2015

Im almost at that point myself. Fuck it.

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