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How much of a head start does Hillary have on her potential GOP opponents? Virtually insurmountable (Original Post) stevenleser Nov 2014 OP
Still isn't enough to make me enthused about Clinton. hobbit709 Nov 2014 #1
You are already accounted for in the 41%. We have 51%. We'll be fine. nt stevenleser Nov 2014 #2
Let's see how things look in a year and a half. hobbit709 Nov 2014 #3
I'm curious myself to see what happens Populist_Prole Nov 2014 #20
Nice of you to treat the 41% like Mitt thought of the 47% zipplewrath Nov 2014 #22
"We'll be fine" Maybe you will. Goldman-Sachs will be ecstatic, Wall Street will celebrate for rhett o rick Nov 2014 #41
It's early yet, much can happen between now and then as anyone knows Autumn Nov 2014 #4
I love polls. What the poll left out was that the same 51% that think HRC will make rhett o rick Nov 2014 #45
There hasn't even been a primary. bravenak Nov 2014 #5
this mentality couldn't be more dangerous. cali Nov 2014 #6
And never underestimate the Bush Crime Family. Just sayin'. nm rhett o rick Nov 2014 #42
People who push that narrative are either full of shit or Ykcutnek Nov 2014 #7
Didn't you get the memo? leftofcool Nov 2014 #8
I see the party apparatchik's cannot admit their failure. SolutionisSolidarity Nov 2014 #9
Their path is well worn. L0oniX Nov 2014 #16
They're more loyal to their political faction than their political party. Marr Nov 2014 #47
This is what the Rethugs were planning on Wellstone ruled Nov 2014 #10
She's as unstoppable as she was in 2008 MannyGoldstein Nov 2014 #11
Bengazi! bahrbearian Nov 2014 #21
I was a the Philly Bike Expo today and a 20 year old woman was wearing a Hillary t-shirt. onehandle Nov 2014 #12
Well DAmn! We might as well call it now. The 20 year old with a tee-shirt is proof positive. nm rhett o rick Nov 2014 #43
Head start yes, insurmountable no. hay rick Nov 2014 #13
Well, we will see if a billion dollars in dark money will change that n2doc Nov 2014 #14
I just hope all the vocal Clinton supporters morningfog Nov 2014 #15
I rec'd the OP, but I agree with you. And personally I'd much rather have Warren. n/t nomorenomore08 Nov 2014 #33
Oh, they won't. Marr Nov 2014 #49
Steve, Hillary first has to make it Skidmore Nov 2014 #17
Yeah, and I remember when none of the Democratic "heavy hitters" wanted to challenge Bush Sr, Nye Bevan Nov 2014 #18
So you better just shut up and get on board NOW . . . hatrack Nov 2014 #19
All is Lost ! bahrbearian Nov 2014 #23
Take that to fox news and listen to them howl.. bahrbearian Nov 2014 #24
The only thing I conclude is that the 1% wants us to say it is inevitable that we have a 1% leader! cascadiance Nov 2014 #25
Right. Because never in the entire history of the world... WorseBeforeBetter Nov 2014 #26
Who cares? marmar Nov 2014 #27
... 99Forever Nov 2014 #28
I'm more worried about her policies than her electability. JEB Nov 2014 #29
Republicans wouldn't mind losing to Hilary. JEB Nov 2014 #30
It wasn't that long ago that the Democrats had a lock on both houses of Congress DavidDvorkin Nov 2014 #31
I don't care if she can beat Mike Tyson in a cage fight. I'm still not going to vote for her. Tierra_y_Libertad Nov 2014 #32
I couldn't have said it any better. nm rhett o rick Nov 2014 #44
Hillary is at her apex. She cannot gain any more support. She can only lose support over the morningfog Nov 2014 #34
In 2006 Obama wasn't on any list for potential presidential candidates. Dawgs Nov 2014 #35
This message was self-deleted by its author Corruption Inc Nov 2014 #36
ABC News and Pew had the 2012 election polled correctly. They are the most accurate. nt stevenleser Nov 2014 #37
Two years in advance? former9thward Nov 2014 #46
They're polling 0 years, 0 months and 0 days in advance on this poll. It's a poll of right now. nt stevenleser Nov 2014 #52
Hillary can beat the pants off of any GOP candidate, get them dry cleaned Rex Nov 2014 #38
This message was self-deleted by its author LawDeeDah Nov 2014 #39
Starting the gloat already? Celebrating the continuation of the disastrous Conservative Agenda. rhett o rick Nov 2014 #40
I'll just leave this here. Marr Nov 2014 #48
I voted for Obama twice, and would be happy to have the opportunity to vote for Hillary bhikkhu Nov 2014 #50
So, in addition to "why have a primary, Hillary is the ONLY possible choice" tone of sentiment - djean111 Nov 2014 #51
She's the first to snuggle with Henry Fucking Kissinger. JEB Nov 2014 #53
While she will not inspire the base customerserviceguy Nov 2014 #54

Populist_Prole

(5,364 posts)
20. I'm curious myself to see what happens
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:03 PM
Nov 2014

My hunch is that she'll say all the right things economic populist-wise while campaigning....stuff we want to hear, but actually govern center-right.

Still better than any republican IMO though.

zipplewrath

(16,646 posts)
22. Nice of you to treat the 41% like Mitt thought of the 47%
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:14 PM
Nov 2014

Nice to know you don't care about 41% of the party.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
41. "We'll be fine" Maybe you will. Goldman-Sachs will be ecstatic, Wall Street will celebrate for
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 08:08 PM
Nov 2014

eight years, the fricking-frackers will party like there's no tomorrow (there won't be for our ground water). The Ruling Oligarchs will be fine. The 99% will continue their slide into feudalism. Yeah, you'll be fine.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
45. I love polls. What the poll left out was that the same 51% that think HRC will make
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 08:43 PM
Nov 2014

a good president also said (I'm pretty sure) that Sen Warren would make a better president.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
6. this mentality couldn't be more dangerous.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:19 PM
Nov 2014

you know what they say about a week in politics. anyone who thinks that hillary can't be beat is delusional and none too swift. she's demonstrated that she can be beat and she's a terrible campaigner.

 

Ykcutnek

(1,305 posts)
7. People who push that narrative are either full of shit or
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:20 PM
Nov 2014

believe if they put a picture of Bernie Sanders under their pillow, they'll wake up to a $100 bill.

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
8. Didn't you get the memo?
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:22 PM
Nov 2014

HRC is a third wayer, backstabbing, not liberal enough, not progressive enough, job killing, stinkin "not a real Democrat' who could never win an election against Cruz/Christie/Paul/Bush/Perry.

9. I see the party apparatchik's cannot admit their failure.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:24 PM
Nov 2014

Go ahead, rally around Hillary the inevitable. Sure, polling data 2 years out reflects actual electorate advantage and not name recognition/nostalgia. We'll still be here in 2017, wondering how Jeb Bush or Chris Christie became president. By then I suppose it will be Cuomo's turn. After all, when Hillary loses, it can only mean she was too left wing...

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
47. They're more loyal to their political faction than their political party.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 09:08 PM
Nov 2014

We've seen them prove it several times quite openly, with conservative Democrats backing Republicans over liberal Democrats. I really do think that, most of the time, they'd prefer a Republican gain the seat if the only other option is a liberal.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
10. This is what the Rethugs were planning on
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:26 PM
Nov 2014

and let the fun begin. You can bet the farm on every move by the Thugs from here on. A scenario will emerge from several Red States were there is little to none opposition by Democrats. Looking at Utah,Idaho,Nevada,and Arizona. Saying this because of will be key committee Chair Persons. If you have followed the Western States so called Press,the game plan is very evident. Huge changes coming for Social Welfare programs,gutted or killed off totally,and their excuse,we have a mandate. Sound familiar.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
11. She's as unstoppable as she was in 2008
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:26 PM
Nov 2014

And when you add all of her breakthroughs as SoS that I can't remember right now, to her many other triumphs that I also can't remember right now, to her overarching strategy of emphasizing women's rights that worked so well for Democrats last week, to her love of war, to...

Well, she's a shoe-in.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
12. I was a the Philly Bike Expo today and a 20 year old woman was wearing a Hillary t-shirt.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:37 PM
Nov 2014

I keep seeing Hillary bumperstickers on cars.

No sign of Jeb, Christie, Paul, Perry, or any Democratic potential candidate, on any bumper at all.

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
14. Well, we will see if a billion dollars in dark money will change that
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:42 PM
Nov 2014

Because that is the bid. Ante up!

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
15. I just hope all the vocal Clinton supporters
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:45 PM
Nov 2014

put in the work for whomever the actual nominee ends up being.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
49. Oh, they won't.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 09:14 PM
Nov 2014

I expect most would feel that old Reagan Democrat nerve tingling and go GOP before they'd vote for someone like Sanders.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
18. Yeah, and I remember when none of the Democratic "heavy hitters" wanted to challenge Bush Sr,
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:56 PM
Nov 2014

who supposedly had an insurmountable lead in the wake of a successful first Iraq war. Nobody gave Clinton much of a chance with his womanizing reputation.

I am a Hillary supporter but 2 years is an eternity in politics.

hatrack

(59,583 posts)
19. So you better just shut up and get on board NOW . . .
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 02:59 PM
Nov 2014

. . .with the candidate who hasn't declared against an opponent as yet undetermined in a race still two years off.

And if you don't, you'll make Debbie Wasserman Schultz's puppy cry!

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
25. The only thing I conclude is that the 1% wants us to say it is inevitable that we have a 1% leader!
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:21 PM
Nov 2014

Since they are only putting forth options here for the presidency that support Corporate America which likely is by design here.

I wonder what would happen if they threw Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders on this list. Of course even Obama had only half of Clinton's support only a year out from the election rather than two years out from the election, so timing wise, this poll is probably also pretty meaningless, when name recognition and lack of knowledge of who might run pretty much pollutes such polls.

WorseBeforeBetter

(11,441 posts)
26. Right. Because never in the entire history of the world...
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:25 PM
Nov 2014

has the one with the head start ever lost. 2008 ringing a bell?

And don't assume she'll win because she's a woman. A lot of women don't like her. And they don't like the "War on Women" angle -- it was a loser in 2014.

marmar

(77,066 posts)
27. Who cares?
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:28 PM
Nov 2014

Perhaps Dems need to deal with more immediate problems instead of reveling in glories that haven't happened.


DavidDvorkin

(19,473 posts)
31. It wasn't that long ago that the Democrats had a lock on both houses of Congress
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:38 PM
Nov 2014

When the GOP shut down the government, polls indicated that 2014 would be a Democratic wave election. Polls can change quickly.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
34. Hillary is at her apex. She cannot gain any more support. She can only lose support over the
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 03:58 PM
Nov 2014

next two years.

This is not the kind of candidate we need. We need someone who can keep building enough support to actually win.

Hillary, a completely known and polarized candidate, cannot gain on her 51%. Her margin of error is about 1 % and that is too close. She will get a very short bump when she officially announces and will steadily bleed support through the rest of the campaign (with predictable but insignificant bumps at key events).

Response to stevenleser (Original post)

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
38. Hillary can beat the pants off of any GOP candidate, get them dry cleaned
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 06:15 PM
Nov 2014

and have them back on the GOP loser before they even notice. They have no chance against her in 2016 imo.

Response to stevenleser (Original post)

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
40. Starting the gloat already? Celebrating the continuation of the disastrous Conservative Agenda.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 08:01 PM
Nov 2014

A couple of things. One, never count out the Bush Crime Family. Things seem to happen. While H. Clinton-Sachs is ok with the Oligarch Rulers, they would prefer Jeb (Babs favorite).

Second, if we thought that the last election had a weak turnout, wait 'til you see Oligarch Thing 1 vs. Oligarch Thing 2.

C. Gloat all you want but the middle class will suffer under another Clinton/Wall Street Administration. You'll be gloating with the Oligarchs.

Of course the Oligarch's media will support H. Clinton-Sachs, but they left off the question in their poll, "Will Sen Warren make a better President than H. Clinton-Sachs?" 86% of Democrats said yes while 90% of Republicans said no. (you heard it here first)

bhikkhu

(10,714 posts)
50. I voted for Obama twice, and would be happy to have the opportunity to vote for Hillary
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 09:16 PM
Nov 2014

...all the hatred here is dismaying, and I don't know how it got so bad (seldom are there any details), but I think she would make a fine president. If someone else with more popular support came along and won the primary, I'd vote for them instead, but really its about a united front to me - as a party we have to make sense, and we have to stand for something. I don't have any problem with the values of anyone in the party, really, now that Leiberman is gone.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
51. So, in addition to "why have a primary, Hillary is the ONLY possible choice" tone of sentiment -
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 09:32 PM
Nov 2014

why even have a general election? Evidently she's got it in the bag!

 

JEB

(4,748 posts)
53. She's the first to snuggle with Henry Fucking Kissinger.
Sun Nov 9, 2014, 11:50 PM
Nov 2014

She's got the war criminal vote locked down.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
54. While she will not inspire the base
Mon Nov 10, 2014, 01:33 AM
Nov 2014

She has enough pull with the mushy middle to get elected. I cannot be sure if she has any 'coattails', or whatever it is that a pantsuit trails.

In fact, I fully expect the Repukes to run ads along the lines of "Make sure you vote for a Senator/Representative who can neutralize Hillary Clinton, who your fellow Americans will be stupid enough to vote into office." It's going to work well in a lot of red, and even some purple areas of the country.

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