Democrats Seem Poised to Pick Up a Few Governor’s Seats
Many of the governors races remain exceedingly close, according to the latest round of data from The New York Times/CBS News/YouGov online panel of nearly 100,000 respondents.
The data shows that there are 11 contests within 4 percentage points; another half-dozen races are within 10 percentage points.
On balance, Democrats seem set to pick up two or three states, mainly because the Republicans enter the elections with twice as many Republican-held seats. But it is easy to imagine the Republicans holding their advantage there are 29 Republican governors and 21 Democratic ones or the Democrats picking up a half-dozen seats.
The list of competitive governors races spans the spectrum of American politics: Republican incumbents fighting for re-election in red states; Democratic governors in close races in blue states; and classic matchups in the presidential battlegrounds.
The fight for control of the Senate has received most of the attention this year, but the results of the governors races may ultimately play a big role in how analysts interpret the results Nov. 4, including whether this will be viewed as a wave election. Republican incumbents in purple and red states should have no business losing in a wave year, yet as many as seven Republican incumbents remain vulnerable at this stage.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/28/upshot/democrats-seem-poised-to-pick-up-a-few-governors-seats.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0