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RandySF

(63,060 posts)
Sat Oct 19, 2013, 04:09 PM Oct 2013

Not Larry Sabato: Terry Mac heading for record win for a Dem in Virginia.

The election of 2013 can be summed up with some very simple numbers.

In 2001, Mark Warner averaged a net +31% in favorability over unfavorability ratings as he ran for Governor. He won by 5%. Many people who liked Warner didn't end up voting for him but helped him form a strong base of support while he was Governor.

In 2005, Tim Kaine averaged a net +24% in favorability over unfavorability ratings in his race for Governor. He won by 6%.

In 2013, Terry McAuliffe is averaging a -7% in favorability versus unfavorability. Yes, a *negative* 7%. But he is leading in polling by a wider margin than Warner or Kaine and looks to win the largest margin for any Democrat for Governor since Gerry Bailies in 1985. In fact- he may even break that record (just over 10%) for the biggest Democratic win for Governor in the modern era.

How could this be? It's because this years election isn't about the Democrats or Terry McAuliffe. It is solely about Ken Cuccinelli. Voters have decided to reject his candidacy and they don't seem to care about McAuliffe- even voters that say they dislike Terry are favoring him by massive margins when they say they also dislike Cuccinelli.


http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/doh/2013/10/governors-race-is-now-a-virtual-lock.html

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Not Larry Sabato: Terry Mac heading for record win for a Dem in Virginia. (Original Post) RandySF Oct 2013 OP
Fortunately Pab Sungenis Oct 2013 #1
I'd be in the same boat if I were in VA. Can't stand Mac, but I'd vote for him.... Tarheel_Dem Oct 2013 #2
 

Pab Sungenis

(9,612 posts)
1. Fortunately
Sat Oct 19, 2013, 04:38 PM
Oct 2013

Virginia term limits Governors at one. This way Terry doesn't have to worry about pulling those favorables up.

Get in, do what needs doing, and face the fact he will never be elected to the Senate.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,325 posts)
2. I'd be in the same boat if I were in VA. Can't stand Mac, but I'd vote for him....
Sat Oct 19, 2013, 06:09 PM
Oct 2013

anyday, over that crazy ass Kooch dude.

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