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Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:25 AM

 

US murder rate by year, 1900-2010

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Response to HiPointDem (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:32 AM

1. Interesting graph -very significant changes in rate

 

It would be useful to know what drives the trends

World wide murder rates.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_intentional_homicide_rate

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Response to LARED (Reply #1)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:36 AM

3. Roe v. Wade and lead abatement are mentioned a lot

Along with locking up a tenth of the young male population.

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Response to Recursion (Reply #3)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:46 AM

9. The Freakonomics guys did a lot of statistical analysis on a bunch of variables, including

incarceration levels and police presence and gun ownership. Nothing correlated with the reduction in murders as well as the effects of Roe v. Wade.

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Response to Recursion (Reply #3)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:50 AM

10. Also mentioned, the "institutionalization" of the cocaine and

 

crack coke trade; territories and players settled and agreed upon by the dealers. I think the massive jailings (unjust as they are) had a shotgun effect, and rounded up a ton of bad actors. I'd settle with just warehousing the bad actors.

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Response to LARED (Reply #1)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 08:37 AM

12. Notice that the second hump takes off when the baby boom leaves the house and subsides as they age.

Murdering isn't as easy when you're no longer young and filled with piss and vinegar.

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Response to HiPointDem (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:35 AM

2. Notice " Murders " not deaths, I conclude from these chart's ..

 

Pot smokers and embezzlers have to get the same lawyers and congressmen as Murderers .

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Response to orpupilofnature57 (Reply #2)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:37 AM

4. Well, that's actually the "homicide" rate, so it doesn't change if the person wasn't convicted

Homicide as manner of death is determined by a coroner.

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Response to HiPointDem (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:37 AM

5. I noticed the big drop during the Depression, and

 

the big drop since '80, during the "punishment" time (a time of relative prosperity). Are there any explanations for both drops which appear to result from diff. phenomena?

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Response to Eleanors38 (Reply #5)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:38 AM

6. That first big drop is World War II

and has a lot to do with having a bunch of young men (the people who commit murders) overseas rather than in the US

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Response to Recursion (Reply #6)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:45 AM

8. it began at the tale-end of the depression and continued to the mid to late 60s.

 

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Response to HiPointDem (Reply #8)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:53 AM

11. Bad eyes, small screen.

 

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Response to Eleanors38 (Reply #5)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 07:44 AM

7. that's the tale-end of the depression and the beginning of ww2. my personal explanation for the

 

recent drop is at the bottom of the page: the high incarceration rate, 2.5 million people in prison & more under various kinds of surveillance (probation etc.)

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