Dean Chambers Has Reneged.
As you may recall if you followed Dean's site, his final official projection was that Romney would win 275 electoral votes; a far cry from his original 359, but quite close to Nate Silver's 242.5. Did I hear an echo? Meanwhile, Nate Silver's projection at 11:59 on election eve was 222.7. (This changed to 225.0 on election day.)
Romney, as we all know, ended up winning 206 electoral votes. This meant that Dean owed me over a thousand dollars. I sent a PayPal link for him to pay me.
Would it surprise anyone to learn that Dean refused to pay?
He tried to pretend that he never thought the wager was for real money. He also took the position that the bet we made is illegal because of online gambling laws, the kind that prevent online casino businesses from collecting money or running wagers as a third party, but do not prohibit private, social wagers, either on the federal level or in our respective home states. I told Dean this, and he responded by linking to several websites along the line of Yahoo! Answers addressed completely different subjects. When that failed, he simply started repeating himself.
More at http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/13/1161290/-Dean-Chambers-Has-Reneged
= new reply since forum marked as read
and it went pretty much as I expected it would. 
Hopefully his rep is sunk. 
Though he does now have a ridiculous "Was the election stolen?" poll on his site.
No more reliable than his prediction model. You can vote more than once using anonymous proxies.
unskewedpolls.com (In case anyone thinks it's worth upping his hit count to DU the bogus poll.)
