GOP Polling Memo Finds Big Swing to Democrats

GOP Polling Memo Finds Big Swing to Democrats

May 25, 2023 at 4:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 186 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2023/05/25/gop-polling-memo-finds-big-swing-to-democrats/

"SNIP.........

A Republican polling memo obtained by Roll Call finds “the generic ballot has shifted toward Democrats, with Republicans losing ground among independents on the abortion issue.”

The memo found “a 6 point swing in the last year on the Generic Senate ballot from R+3 to D+3” led overwhelmingly “by independent and new voters that identify abortion as one of their top issues.”

The poll had similar findings on the House side with “a 10 point swing in the last year on the Generic House Ballot from R+6 to D+4.”

.........SNIP"

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3 replies	Author	Time	Post
GOP Polling Memo Finds Big Swing to Democrats (Original post)	applegrove	May 25	OP
The dog finally caught the ambulance.	Aristus	May 25	#1
They are chasing rainbows now......................	Lovie777	May 25	#2
Yep, ever since Dobbs every single election held has swung about +6 D	localroger	May 25	#3

Response to applegrove (Original post)

Thu May 25, 2023, 07:57 PM

Aristus (62,623 posts)

1. The dog finally caught the ambulance.

And now they don't know what to do with it.

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Response to Aristus (Reply #1)

Thu May 25, 2023, 08:10 PM

Lovie777 (8,755 posts)

2. They are chasing rainbows now......................

and it will be the same result, backfire.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Thu May 25, 2023, 08:48 PM

localroger (3,382 posts)

3. Yep, ever since Dobbs every single election held has swung about +6 D

...even when the D ultimately lost, they lost by 6 points less than would be typical in that venue. I think the R's are starting to wake up to the fact that this is something even gerrymandering can't overcome. In fact, gerrymandering can make it even worse for them because if you've traded a few districts large majority for a lot of districts small majority to get more representatives, that +6 D swing can wipe you out. This is why their efforts have moved to voter suppression and other tactics, but the problem is those +6 D voters are very highly motivated. If you never voted before and you signed up and showed up because of Dobbs, you're probably not going to let a long line or a bit of a drive stop you.

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