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Tue Jun 14, 2022, 10:59 PM

WTF Texas!!!!! Republicans flip U.S. House seat in South Texas, historically a Democratic stronghol

https://www.texastribune.org/2022/06/14/texas-special-election-tx-34-mayra-flores-dan-sanchez/amp/

Republicans flip U.S. House seat in South Texas, historically a Democratic stronghold

Mayra Flores, a Republican, won a special election to fill the unexpired term of U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela. Another election will be held in November.

Republican Mayra Flores prevailed Tuesday in a special election for an open congressional seat in South Texas, marking a major breakthrough for Republicans eager to blaze new inroads in the historically blue region.

She beat Dan Sacnchez, the leading Democrat, outright in the closely watched race, according to Cook Political Report.







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Reply WTF Texas!!!!! Republicans flip U.S. House seat in South Texas, historically a Democratic stronghol (Original post)
jimfields33 Jun 2022 OP
SoCalDavidS Jun 2022 #1
jimfields33 Jun 2022 #3
thatdemguy Jun 2022 #6
jimfields33 Jun 2022 #8
Effete Snob Jun 2022 #14
mucifer Jun 2022 #18
CanonRay Jun 2022 #15
Polybius Jun 2022 #21
wanderer54 Jun 2022 #22
SunImp Jun 2022 #19
dem4decades Jun 2022 #2
Bev54 Jun 2022 #4
jimfields33 Jun 2022 #7
PortTack Jun 2022 #20
Historic NY Jun 2022 #5
ZonkerHarris Jun 2022 #9
herding cats Jun 2022 #10
jimfields33 Jun 2022 #11
herding cats Jun 2022 #13
In It to Win It Jun 2022 #12
Cha Jun 2022 #27
herding cats Jun 2022 #29
Cha Jun 2022 #31
Polybius Jun 2022 #30
luvallpeeps Jun 2022 #16
nycbos Jun 2022 #17
pecosbob Jun 2022 #23
LeftInTX Jun 2022 #25
Cha Jun 2022 #28
JCMach1 Jun 2022 #33
manicdem Jun 2022 #36
Rstrstx Jun 2022 #42
LeftInTX Jun 2022 #24
Amishman Jun 2022 #32
LeftInTX Jun 2022 #41
greenjar_01 Jun 2022 #26
manicdem Jun 2022 #34
Rstrstx Jun 2022 #43
Kingofalldems Jun 2022 #35
flying_wahini Jun 2022 #37
beaglelover Jun 2022 #38
LeftInTX Jun 2022 #39
Meowmee Jun 2022 #40

Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:01 PM

1. Democratic Party Would Be Smart To Avoid Spending Any $$$$$$$ In TX nt

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Response to SoCalDavidS (Reply #1)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:02 PM

3. So frustrating because it's a Hispanic majority district that went for

President Biden in 2020.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #3)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:03 PM

6. I heard its 84% Hispanic.

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Response to thatdemguy (Reply #6)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:04 PM

8. I heard that as well.

Democratic Party must reengage with Hispanics starting now. It’s an emergency quite frankly.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #8)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:13 PM

14. Absolutely

Re-engaging with one of the most reliable anti-choice voting groups will be interesting.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #3)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:15 PM

15. I lived there

All these people care about is local elections. Turnout was probably shitty.

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Response to CanonRay (Reply #15)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:52 PM

21. For our side it was

Apparently not for theirs.

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Response to CanonRay (Reply #15)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:53 PM

22. Less than 30,000 votes

Less than 30,000 votes were cast in this special election whereas
more than 200,000 were cast in the general election in 2020.

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Response to SoCalDavidS (Reply #1)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:44 PM

19. The Democratic party already spent some $$$ money in Texas in a few races

Was there any spent on this one?

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:01 PM

2. That's not good.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:02 PM

4. Have you seen Beto and Abbott's numbers, it makes me sick.

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Response to Bev54 (Reply #4)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:03 PM

7. Definitely. Beto is such a good person.

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Response to Bev54 (Reply #4)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:46 PM

20. Sad...TX could do so much better, yet they choose trash instead

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:02 PM

5. Wake up Texas

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:05 PM

9. Texas is stupid.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:06 PM

10. She'll lose in November in the redrawn district.

But, still this sucks. This district was a +4 Biden district. Turnout was practically nil.

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Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:07 PM

11. Sure hope so. Never should have won tonight.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #11)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:09 PM

13. Oh, I definitely agree. People should have voted.

I despise special elections like this one. They felt it didn't matter and just didn't bother to vote. On both sides but enough more on the D side.

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Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:08 PM

12. I was gonna ask about turnout

I imagine turnout would not have been that great.

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Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 12:09 AM

27. So, I was looking for a bit of

good news on that and looks like I found it.

Mahalo, Cat

The District doesn't change to Re-Districting until November?

Who do you think will beat Flores then?

💙💛

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Response to Cha (Reply #27)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 12:27 AM

29. It changes over when the new districts take effect in November.

She'll be facing Rep Vicente Gonzalez who is representing the 15th district currently. He'll beat her handily is my prediction.

Glad to offer up some happy news, but dang why can't people vote like it's their civic duty? Because it is!

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Response to herding cats (Reply #29)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 01:22 AM

31. Not only their "civic duty" but

as if their lives depend on it.. because in many cases it does!

Gracias for the Vincente Gonzalez news.. I saw it down thread after I posted to you.. Yay!!

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Response to herding cats (Reply #10)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 01:19 AM

30. Especially on our side

Their side much turned out substantially more, which is a horrific sign for November.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:29 PM

16. This defies logic

I honestly don’t understand this. Heartbreaking.🫣❤️‍🩹

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:29 PM

17. Given what happened in November in South Texas this isn't a surprise.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:55 PM

23. This special election was to replace a retiring Dem and only runs until January

The seat will likely be retaken in the November election.

Vicente Gonzalez, who currently represents a neighboring district, is the Democratic nominee for November, and is widely favored to win the race against Ms. Flores, who is also running to fill the seat permanently in November.

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Response to pecosbob (Reply #23)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:59 PM

25. I'm still pissed at Filemon Vela for quitting to be a lobbyist or whatever. It could have waited

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Response to pecosbob (Reply #23)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 12:25 AM

28. Yay! Viva Vincente Gonzalez .. Gracias!

💙💛

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Response to pecosbob (Reply #23)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 08:30 AM

33. People just staying home in the South TX heat knowing Nov. Is a lock

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Response to pecosbob (Reply #23)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 04:45 PM

36. It's going to be very tough

Gonzales won 50% to 47% in the 2020 election.

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Response to manicdem (Reply #36)

Thu Jun 16, 2022, 01:43 AM

42. He'll be running in a much more favorable district

It was redrawn to be solidly Democratic.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Tue Jun 14, 2022, 11:56 PM

24. I don't know why Filemon Vela had to resign now. He could have finished this out

He's gonna work at prestigious Akin Gump (yeah the name doesn't sound prestigious but it is) as either a lobbyist or an attorney.

Those jobs are always available. I doesn't make sense to me why he did this.

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Response to LeftInTX (Reply #24)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 06:11 AM

32. Perhaps he sees what is coming

We're barrelling full tilt towards recession. Interest rates need to go up a lot and the Fed hasn't even really started reducing their balance sheet.

Russia / Ukraine looks like it could drag out for months or even years, which will keep food and fuel prices rising.

Unless we can turn things around fast, post November there will probably be fewer cushy openings for former politicians, and a lot more competition from those.

Reading this thread has been depressing, I don't think enough appreciate just how much economic issues matter compared to everything else.

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Response to Amishman (Reply #32)

Thu Jun 16, 2022, 01:04 AM

41. He just wanted $$$$$$$. He stated that he didn't think the seat would flip..

Stupid...

Everyone knows special elections are traps.


Speaking with The Texas Tribune hours before he submitted his resignation in March, Vela expressed confidence his seat would remain blue in a special election and said he was not aware of any efforts to get him to reconsider resigning.https://www.texastribune.org/2022/06/15/republicans-flip-house-seat-south-texas-mayra-flores/


And stupid for people not to encourage him to reconsider

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 12:01 AM

26. ...

 

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 04:34 PM

34. Vincente Gonzalez will be very tough

I've seen some posts that Gonzales will be a easy win in November. I'm not so sure. He won the 2020 elections 50% to 47%. With the current state of affairs, he's going to lose.

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Response to manicdem (Reply #34)

Thu Jun 16, 2022, 01:50 AM

43. See above post

He’s not running in the same district. Even this one Mayra won will be redrawn for November and will be more Democratic.

The best thing Democrats can do is force her to make some uncomfortable votes. Right now she has absolutely no record.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 04:40 PM

35. Well we know real Democrats will not be rioting

and threatening lives like republicans. And parading around with their army man guns at their side. And we generally don't taunt on republican forums when we win. Don't you agree?

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 04:50 PM

37. As a Texan I have to say that Tejanos (Latinos born here) vote because they are


Anti abortion, Catholic and blame migrants for giving them a bad name.
They will tell you this and there is no changing their minds.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Wed Jun 15, 2022, 04:52 PM

38. Not a good harbinger for the elections in November, IMO.

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Thu Jun 16, 2022, 12:59 AM

39. Democrats voted for the GOP candidate

One GOP analysis found that nearly half of the early voters — 47% — had Democratic primary voting history, while only 32% had Republican primary voting history and the rest had no primary voting history. (Texas does not have party registration, so campaigns try to approximate the partisan makeup of early vote turnout by looking at voters’ primary voting history.)

Democrats were seeing a similar breakdown in their early vote — and the projected Democratic turnout was even larger when they factored in other data.

Sanchez gave voice to that Democratic optimism when he suggested during an election-eve rally that he had a shot at winning the special election without a runoff.

“Our numbers are super close,” Sanchez said. “Out of all of the votes, the analysis puts us at 49% right now.”

But Flores ended up winning the early vote 47% to 46%, suggesting that a good chunk of voters with Democratic primary voting history crossed over to support her.

https://www.texastribune.org/2022/06/15/republicans-flip-house-seat-south-texas-mayra-flores/

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Response to jimfields33 (Original post)

Thu Jun 16, 2022, 01:03 AM

40. More depressing news

It seems like T is a lost cause maybe...

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