Fri May 6, 2022, 11:18 PM

ColinC (5,668 posts)

Nate Silver on the Roe V Wade thing

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=8ONyOiRJ5ps0URyao0s5Kw

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Why Roe could matter, electorally: Voters like the status quo, and usually the party out of power doesn't get to enact major policy changes. Roe being overturned would be a *major* exception and would remind voters how much power Republicans have via courts and state governments.
9:03 AM · May 6, 2022

It is a clear reminder that the party in control of Congress and the presidency is not actually the party in power.

6 replies, 1282 views

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6 replies	Author	Time	Post
Nate Silver on the Roe V Wade thing (Original post)	ColinC	May 2022	OP
It doesn't help that it is a 50-50 Senate either, so I would use that term majority loosely with	JohnSJ	May 2022	#1
Truth	ColinC	May 2022	#2
Still I hope Roe finally is the issue that throw republicans out of power	JohnSJ	May 2022	#3
I have been sure that if that happened, it would	ColinC	May 2022	#4
I hope so Colin. Dave Wasserman is from the Cook Political Report, and his analysis is	JohnSJ	May 2022	#5
Agreed	ColinC	May 2022	#6

Response to ColinC (Original post)

Fri May 6, 2022, 11:21 PM

JohnSJ (84,619 posts)

1. It doesn't help that it is a 50-50 Senate either, so I would use that term majority loosely with

Manchin and Sinema

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Response to JohnSJ (Reply #1)

Fri May 6, 2022, 11:24 PM

ColinC (5,668 posts)

2. Truth

Democrats really don't have much power. The courts have functioned as an effective foil for the Democrats which could definitely be helpful in November.

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Response to ColinC (Reply #2)

Fri May 6, 2022, 11:28 PM

JohnSJ (84,619 posts)

3. Still I hope Roe finally is the issue that throw republicans out of power

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Response to JohnSJ (Reply #3)

Fri May 6, 2022, 11:35 PM

ColinC (5,668 posts)

4. I have been sure that if that happened, it would

Last edited Sat May 7, 2022, 01:45 AM - Edit history (1)

It is terrible that it got to this point, but electorally I see it as quite advantageous for Democrats.

Also this tweet was shared by Dave Wasserman. His whole narrative of Democrats having a horrible year may be taking a strong turn the other direction not too long from now.

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Response to ColinC (Reply #4)

Sat May 7, 2022, 12:57 AM

JohnSJ (84,619 posts)

5. I hope so Colin. Dave Wasserman is from the Cook Political Report, and his analysis is

Last edited Sat May 7, 2022, 01:53 AM - Edit history (1)

usually right on

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Response to JohnSJ (Reply #5)

Sat May 7, 2022, 01:46 AM

ColinC (5,668 posts)

6. Agreed

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