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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMy electoral college projection for today: Obama 303 electoral votes.
Starting today, I will post my useless electoral college projections based on polling, demographics and electoral history. Today I predict that Barack Obama will win 303 electoral votes. Romney takes 235, picking up Indiana, North Carolina and Florida.
Spaldeen
(219 posts)332 Obama, 206 Rmoney.
I think Rmoney can really only hope at this point to pick up Indiana and North Carolina, which let's face it, were pretty pink to begin with.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=KZJ
RandySF
(58,534 posts)Are what I call "once in a landslide" states. Some people say the financial collapse of 2008 gave Obama the White House. But it was obvious to me that any competent Dem. was going to win. What the collapse did was hand Obama two typically Republican states that are very difficult under more normal circumstances.
Spaldeen
(219 posts)What is your reasoning for awarding Florida to Rmoney?
RandySF
(58,534 posts)And that demographic just hates Obama too much. I hope I am wrong, though.
Spaldeen
(219 posts)Florida this summer. My time was split between Floribama in the northwest, and Tampa/St. Pete the rest of the time. Floribama felt like hostile territory, but I'm still crossing my fingers on the rest of the state going our way. I wasn't in Tampa/St. Pete in 2008 (missed it by a year, went in 2009), so I'm not sure what the level of excitement was last election.
Loge23
(3,922 posts)There's oodles of fools down here - not Southerners, but transplanted NE'ers, many with civil pensions - who are in the bubble.
Add in many, many undereducated, ill-informed people who think the Mitt$ter is really the image that he is trying to pull off.
Sadly, I think FL will go to the elite party.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Spaldeen
(219 posts)Come from Nebraska?
I heard they redistricted the little blue island of civility and normality from 2008 into the districts around it to turn it pink.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Good guys win:
OH
WI
IA
NV
NH
Bad guys win:
FL
NC
VA
CO (this will be the closest, though)
Spaldeen
(219 posts)on my list is probably colorful Colorado.
Any ears to the ground there? Do you think we can hang on to CO, or have the savages outnumbered the responsible adults there this go around?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Romney people feel good about VA, FL, NC.
Obama people feel good about NH, NV, IA, WI, OH.
CO? Gonna be tight.
RainbowOverTexas
(71 posts)It will come down to Ohio IMO
mim89
(102 posts)I got the same prediction