HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Who is getting COVID-19 i...

Mon May 3, 2021, 12:58 AM

Who is getting COVID-19 in Oregon's fourth surge?

https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2021/05/who-is-getting-covid-19-in-oregons-fourth-surge.html
"More than 28,000 Oregonians have tested positive for COVID-19 since March 8, 2021 -- the fourth surge of the pandemic. (Mark Graves/The Oregonian)"
"
Oregon cases are up roughly 30% and hospitalizations 40% in the past two weeks. Both have roughly tripled since the lows of early March.

New infections are, in fact, accelerating faster in Oregon than in any other state in the nation. Cases per capita in the past two weeks are the 13th highest even though Oregon has recorded the third lowest rate of infections since the beginning of the pandemic."
"Confounding public health experts is why cases are dramatically rising in Oregon when – in line with the rest of the nation – about 30% of residents are now fully vaccinated.

Officials at the Oregon Health Authority suspect Oregon’s relatively low rate of infections for most of the rest of the pandemic have left a larger proportion of the population more susceptible to the virus. On top of that, the much more contagious B.1.1.7 variant – now the dominant strain in Oregon and the nation as of early April – is allowing the virus to transmit with greater ease."
"Gov. Kate Brown said Friday that while fewer seniors are being hospitalized thanks to their higher rates of vaccination, the proportion of hospitalized patients who are between the ages of 18 and 34 has grown by almost 50% recently.

6 replies, 1252 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread

Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 03:35 AM

1. In the NY Times listing, Oregon is #14. Of the top 15, only 4 states are increasing, incldg Oreg

in daily new cases per 100,000 population, 7 day moving average
Of these 4 states, Oregon is increasing the most, percentage-wise

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html

In the below, for Michigan, for example, the 1st number, 40, is daily new cases per 100,000 population, 7 day moving average

and the 2nd number, -47%, is the change in number of cases over 14 days: most recent 7 day average vs. the 7 day moving average 14 days before

Positive percentages are bolded

#1 Michigan 40 -47%
#2 Colorado 29 +11%
#3 Minnesota: 28 -23%
#4 Pennsylvania: 25 -34%
#5 Rhode Island: 25 -39%
#6 Delaware: 25 -35%
#7 Florida 23 -23%
#8 Maine: 22 -38%
#9 Alaska 22 -5%
#10 Illinois 21 -17%
#11 New Jersey 21 -49%
#12 W. Virginia 20 -7%
#13 N. Dakota 19 +1%
#14 Oregon 19 +24%
#15 Washington 18 +3%

#50 California 5 -24%

#-- U.S. Overall 15 -27%

Looking at all 50, all the states that are increasing are in the western half of the country or southwest (except Alabama +2%). Fortunately, California isn't one of those.


Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 04:22 AM

2. On top of that, the much more contagious B.1.1.7 variant - now the dominant strain in Oregon and th

If there is a silver lining--the more contagious strain is not hitting the elderly.



...... On top of that, the much more contagious B.1.1.7 variant – now the dominant strain in Oregon and the nation as of early April – is allowing the virus to transmit with greater ease."

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 04:30 AM

3. Late comers, Children and Trump supporters that's a lot of cases for a smaller percentage of populat

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 05:48 AM

4. Prediction: Hospitalization of younger people is going to wake up many

who've preferred to believe Covid's overblown. At least a third of all who get Covid suffer from long-haul syndrome, and it's worse for those who were so bad they had to be hospitalized. New awareness of and concern for the possibility of permanent damage to health is going to rise. For younger people, the whole rest of their lives could be at risk.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 06:27 AM

5. A consistent pattern has been when different activities re-open,

cases go up for a bit, then back down. The same thing being said now about Oregon was being said about Pennsylvania just a few weeks ago. Now cases are down significantly and declining.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CentralMass (Original post)

Mon May 3, 2021, 09:05 AM

6. In my area southern Oregon

Just went back to Extreme and closed inside eating again. I live in conservative town, in stores people wear masks but not inside restaurants because you take off so good they closed them.

I looked at age on cases and most are young in my area from 20-40.

I think like everywhere people are tired of staying home. After getting all my shots I came down to CA to visit my older mom and staying with cousin. We are all vaccinated.

Its nice visiting, she lives in country so no people close by.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread