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Fri Nov 20, 2020, 09:32 PM

Question about how Covid Policies will impact voter survivorship based on party affiliation.

When I think about how winning the electorate comes down to votes in defined precincts, I wonder how these two facts may have a long term effect on voter turn out in the future.

1) Precincts have been gerrymandered by the Republican party to favor their voters, which means their voters are pooled in geographical areas.

2) Trump's refusal to take Covid seriously has exposed his own supporters to the virus based on local campaign stops that have created super-spreader events, which easily draw people from these precincts.

When you look at these two facts, can we assume that more Republicans will fall sick to Covid, and therefore, percentage-wise, their voters will fall off from the voter rolls as they drop dead? Which means that Trump may be decimating his own support base, where he needs it the most?

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Reply Question about how Covid Policies will impact voter survivorship based on party affiliation. (Original post)
Baitball Blogger Nov 20 OP
Phoenix61 Nov 20 #1
Baitball Blogger Nov 20 #2
Cicada Nov 20 #3

Response to Baitball Blogger (Original post)

Fri Nov 20, 2020, 09:37 PM

1. Sort of a self-correcting problem. Sadly,

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Response to Phoenix61 (Reply #1)

Fri Nov 20, 2020, 09:57 PM

2. Common sense suggests that the less we interact with Republicans, the better chance we stay safe

in our own safe bubbles.

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Response to Baitball Blogger (Original post)

Fri Nov 20, 2020, 11:40 PM

3. In an area of uniform population density which party gets sick from covid more?k

Dems live in cities, with higher population density. The higher the density the more interactions with others. So we canít just compare Dems with Repubs overall. But if both Dems and Repubs live in the same area with comparable density then a comparison migh be informative.

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