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Tue Nov 10, 2020, 12:45 AM

I believe NC will be a Biden state once all the mail-in ballots are viuntef

NC required ballots to be postmarked by Election Day. Huge number havenít yet been counted and added to totals. I think NC may swing toward Biden.

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Reply I believe NC will be a Biden state once all the mail-in ballots are viuntef (Original post)
Piratedog Nov 2020 OP
Polybius Nov 2020 #1
Piratedog Nov 2020 #2
Rice4VP Nov 2020 #3
treestar Nov 2020 #4
Alex4Martinez Nov 2020 #5
Hyper_Eye Nov 2020 #8
LisaL Nov 2020 #14
Amishman Nov 2020 #18
msongs Nov 2020 #6
Jspur Nov 2020 #13
IsItJustMe Nov 2020 #7
obnoxiousdrunk Nov 2020 #9
Cha Nov 2020 #10
Statistical Nov 2020 #11
Jspur Nov 2020 #16
Polybius Nov 2020 #12
LisaL Nov 2020 #15
mnhtnbb Nov 2020 #17

Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 12:52 AM

1. I'm more concerned about the Senate seat

Trump could keep NC if I could only chose one.

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Response to Polybius (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 12:52 AM

2. Agreed

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 12:54 AM

3. I think so too

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 12:54 AM

4. Lol

Love it. Counted. Viuntef.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:00 AM

5. I hope you're right but don't see the math happening

From: https://www.yahoo.com/elections

There's a 74,819 advantage Trump has out of 5,394,231 total votes.
99% in, 1% remaining would be only 53,942 uncounted votes.

If all of those making up 1% went to Biden, it still wouldn't catch up.

BUT, if the Yahoo numbers are only estimates and there are more than 53,000 votes yet to count, it could happen.

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Response to Alex4Martinez (Reply #5)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:12 AM

8. According to this there are 186k votes left.

https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html#

Biden would need 70% of the remaining votes to overtake Trump. He hasn't been getting that.

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Response to Hyper_Eye (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 03:54 AM

14. That site is not accurate when it comes to uncounted votes.

NT

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Response to Alex4Martinez (Reply #5)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 06:41 AM

18. Unfortunately this

There are some very red counties with a meaningful amount of ballots not counted. Beaufort +26 Trump, Carteret +42 Trump, Randolph +56 Trump. Those are not tiny counties either.

When something like a 70/30 split is needed, it doesn't take much shortfall to to get behind.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:03 AM

6. peculiar the dem governor is so popular compared to senate and prez vote wise nt

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Response to msongs (Reply #6)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 03:52 AM

13. As a North Carolinian we have always been a Ticket Splitting state when it comes to Governor-

-Presidency races. NC since '92 has been doing Ticket Splitting for Govenor-Presidency races. The only time they didn't do it was in '08 when they elected Obama and Bev Purdue who were both Democrats. NC will usually elect a Democratic governor if the president is a republican or vice versa if the president is a Democrat.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:08 AM

7. That would be awesome!!!

Breaking the 306 would be great.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:24 AM

9. Sadly not happening.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:29 AM

10. I wish! What are the reasons

you think that? My sister lives in Asheville and voted for Biden.. on Tuesday, btw.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:35 AM

11. It is possible but unlikely. He would need one crazy split.

I do think the final tally will be close though meaning NC is very much in play in 2024.

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Response to Statistical (Reply #11)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 03:55 AM

16. It's been very frustrating that as a NC democrat we can't flip the state

blue. Obama barely won it in '08 and since then we have lost nail biters to GOP presidential candidates. Romney beat Obama down here 51-49 in '08. Trump beat Hillary down here in '16 49-46. Trump is going to win again I'm guessing probably 49-48 when the votes are counted up. Very infuriating to keep losing like this especially in the senate races.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:57 AM

12. Predictit has it as 96 for Trump in NC

They're been on the mark so far.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 03:54 AM

15. You believe wrong.

No chance of it happening.

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Response to Piratedog (Original post)

Tue Nov 10, 2020, 06:25 AM

17. Not going to happen. Low numbers of absentee ballots

are trickling in.

You can read an update from the NC Board of Elections on counting of absentee and provisional ballots here

https://www.ncsbe.gov/news/press-releases/2020/11/09/7-county-boards-elections-counting-additional-votes-today

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