Nevada and Arizona - by my calculations Biden should win BOTH once the votes are all counted...
My methodology was to list the number of votes each has gotten in each county and the % of the votes counted, then the number of outstanding votes.
Then I calculated the % each has gotten in each county and then multiplied that by the number of outstanding votes to get the expected votes after everything is counted.
Biden currently has a lead of 7965, and will increase that lead by 4720 more votes among the uncounted votes, resulting in a total lead of 12,685.
Thankfully some of the counties with the highest number of outstanding votes are those where Biden is leading.
Also thankfully Nevada has only 16 counties. If it was a state like neighboring California I wouldn't have bothered.
Now I think I'll do the same for Arizona, which has only 14 counties.
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The same methodology for Arizona:
Biden currently has a lead of 93,016, and will increase that lead by 36,762 more votes among the uncounted votes, resulting in a total lead of 129,778.
That gives him the 17 Electoral Votes in those states and 270 total, and as they've been saying on CNN, that "gets him to the finish line"!
If he winds up with Pennsylvania and Georgia that's gravy.
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