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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:36 AM

So things are looking pretty good?

I went to bed at 11:00 last night since nothing was happening but it sounds like we are on track to take Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona no? It might not be a blowout but Biden seems to be favored, right? That's the impression I'm getting. Am I wrong?

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Arrow 21 replies Author Time Post
Reply So things are looking pretty good? (Original post)
Dr. Jack Nov 2020 OP
W_HAMILTON Nov 2020 #1
rownesheck Nov 2020 #2
The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2020 #5
Mike 03 Nov 2020 #9
getagrip_already Nov 2020 #19
Mike 03 Nov 2020 #8
onetexan Nov 2020 #11
getagrip_already Nov 2020 #3
GoCubsGo Nov 2020 #12
brer cat Nov 2020 #20
sweetloukillbot Nov 2020 #4
The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2020 #6
atse Nov 2020 #14
The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2020 #15
DarthDem Nov 2020 #7
underpants Nov 2020 #10
Marthe48 Nov 2020 #16
Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #13
liberalla Nov 2020 #21
Liberal In Texas Nov 2020 #17
Statistical Nov 2020 #18

Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:39 AM

1. Yes, it's looking VERY good now!

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:39 AM

2. Maybe not Pennsylvania.

Last I saw he was down 700k with only 1.4 million left to count.

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Response to rownesheck (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:41 AM

5. If Biden gets more than half of that 1.4 million he'll overcome that deficit.

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Response to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:43 AM

9. +1



That's great news. I was worried he needed more than that. Biden can do that!

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Response to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:59 AM

19. Aren't these early ballots now?

Should get the lions share of votes if they are.

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Response to rownesheck (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:42 AM

8. We might get PA. Here's an interesting post by Drunken Irishman

He's had a lot of insight and made some good calls.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214439448

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Response to rownesheck (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:49 AM

11. PA is doable. Nate Cohn tweeted Biden has enough votes to overcome the Con's lead.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:39 AM

3. don't know why, but the nyt "needle" still tilts biden in GA as well

The top level numbers don't show it, so it must be a county reporting calc.

But ec wise we are still in it even without ga.

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Response to getagrip_already (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:52 AM

12. Lots of votes in heavily Democratic Atlanta are still uncounted.

Also in the district which houses Albany State University, a "historically black" college.

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Response to GoCubsGo (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 08:00 AM

20. Dougherty County is reliably blue. nt

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:40 AM

4. Yes

Arizona should be called.
Biden is up in Wisconsin with no more votes out there.
Michigan he's down by 2000 and there's a lot of absentee ballots out.
Georgia is down 100K with Atlanta and suburbs outstanding.
Nevada is touch and go - he's only up 7K, but all of yesterday's votes are counted and it's just absentee outstanding from Clark County.

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Response to sweetloukillbot (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:42 AM

6. Nevada's absentee ballots can be counted if received by the 10th

so we might not know about it for a few days yet.

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Response to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:53 AM

14. Blue

Those absentee ballots are supposed to tilt blue in a big way. And Clark County's outstanding ballots are supposed to tilt blue too. Where could Trump possibly get votes to win?

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Response to atse (Reply #14)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:55 AM

15. Yup, they just can't count the state as won until those ballots are counted.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:42 AM

7. You're Right

Watch Georgia and NC too. And look out for those live-under-bridge sorts.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:48 AM

10. God did I need to read this

I woke up to gloom and despair

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Response to underpants (Reply #10)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:56 AM

16. Yes

I went to bed almost 1, slept fitfully, woke up a few minutes ago, dreading.

It ain't over, and I'll stay positive.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:52 AM

13. Yeah, he's got this.

I'm actually more disappointed with the Senate results than I am with Biden not achieving a landslide.

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Response to Turin_C3PO (Reply #13)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 08:01 AM

21. Me too. The Senate is a disappointment. I know it's not over yet, but

it looks bleak.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:56 AM

17. Trumpo is going to thrown as many monkey wrenches he can, but I think Joe will

prevail. I still wish it had been a blowout and Texas had turned blue, but it is what it is.

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Response to Dr. Jack (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 07:57 AM

18. Add GA to that list as a possible.

Very Likely
-----------
NV
AZ

Likely
-------
MI
WI

Possible
--------
PA
GA

Unlikely (but not yet impossible)
-----------------
NC
ME-2

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