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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:14 AM

From Twitter uncounted votes

WI: Trump is +100k, but there are 700k votes still to countPA: Trump is +700k, but 1.8m to countMI: Trump is +300k, but 1.8m to count NC: Trump is +77k, but 300k to countGA: Trump is +100k, but 450k to countKeep in mind, those are mostly early/mail votes that favor Biden. Adam Miller (@AdamviaHarlem) November 4, 2020

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Arrow 7 replies Author Time Post
Reply From Twitter uncounted votes (Original post)
videohead5 Nov 2020 OP
progree Nov 2020 #1
littlemissmartypants Nov 2020 #2
progree Nov 2020 #4
littlemissmartypants Nov 2020 #5
progree Nov 2020 #7
DarthDem Nov 2020 #3
littlemissmartypants Nov 2020 #6

Response to videohead5 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:19 AM

1. Echoing with line breaks, plus how much of the uncounted Biden must win:

Last edited Wed Nov 4, 2020, 06:00 AM - Edit history (1)

# WI: Trump is +100k, but there are 700k votes still to count
Biden must win 400k to 300k, so must win 400k/700k = 57%of the uncounted)

# PA: Trump is +700k, but 1.8m to count
Biden must win 1250K to 550K, so must win 1250K/1800K = 69% of the uncounted

# MI: Trump is +300k, but 1.8m to count
Biden must win 1050K to 750K, so must win 1050K/1800K = 58% of the uncounted

# NC: Trump is +77k, but 300k to count
Biden must win 188.5K to 111.5K, so must win 188.5K/300K = 63% of the uncounted

# GA: Trump is +100k, but 450k to count (So must win 275/450 = 61.1% of the uncounted)
Biden must win 275K to 175K, so must win 275K/450K = 61% of the uncounted

Keep in mind, those are mostly early/mail votes that favor Biden. Adam Miller

UPDATE 459a ET: Wisconsin now has a lead for Biden with 95% of expected vote counted

(Note to myself: nor...xlsx sheet 4 top)

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Response to progree (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:23 AM

2. Thanks. My OCD just flew into overdrive. You rescued me. ❤

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Response to littlemissmartypants (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:34 AM

4. Thx. I did an update by doing the math: what percent of the uncounted that Biden needs to win /nt

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Response to progree (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:51 AM

5. Even better. ❤ nt

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Response to littlemissmartypants (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:56 AM

7. Now the question is, are we going to win the remaining votes by those margins?

State (electoral votes), margin of uncounted votes that Biden needs to win

WI(10) 57% < == 459a ET Biden leads in Wisconsin now https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214438741

PA(20) 69%
MI(16) 58%
NC(15) 63%
GA(16) 61%

In enough states to give us the 32 E.V. that Biden needs?

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Response to videohead5 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:33 AM

3. Good summary

My guess is Biden wins them all.

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Response to videohead5 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 05:52 AM

6. Bookmark. Thanks videohead5. ❤ nt

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