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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:42 AM

For Pennsylvania

Trump currently has 2,954,221 votes.
Biden currently has 2,282,671 votes.

There are 1,841,305 ballots remaining. For Biden to win PA, he will have to win about 68.3% of those. Is there a shot of that happening?

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply For Pennsylvania (Original post)
GaYellowDawg Nov 2020 OP
rso Nov 2020 #1
Loki Liesmith Nov 2020 #2
MissB Nov 2020 #3
Boogiemack Nov 2020 #4
VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #5
Bleacher Creature Nov 2020 #6
exboyfil Nov 2020 #7
Salviati Nov 2020 #8
intrepidity Nov 2020 #9

Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

1. Pennsylvania

Iím afraid our only path at this time is to win Michigan and Wisconsin, and then we squeak by barely.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

2. 70-30 split very likely

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

3. Pittsburgh and philly remain so yes.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

4. Absolutely! And GA, and NC and MI Votes are still being counted.!

 

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:46 AM

5. Biden is likely to win 90% of the Philly votes

Republicans famously claimed fraud in 2012 because there were precincts were Romney got zero votes.

These are also absentee ballots which lean even more heavily to Democrats.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:48 AM

6. I'm getting 63.5%, which is doable. NT

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:49 AM

7. I think it is number four on probability of going to Biden now

Georgia looks good. We need any two of WI, MI, GA, and PA assuming NV is a win.

NC could lead to a tie if it is combined with WI. Combine it with any of the other three, then it is a win.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:49 AM

8. I think those are just the in person election day ballots, right?

There are 2.5 million outstanding mail in ballots that aren't supposed to start being counted until tomorrow, and Democrats hold a 1.1 million vote advantage over the republicans in terms of returned ballots.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:51 AM

9. The outstanding ballots breakdown:

1.6M (D)
0.6M (R)

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