Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:42 AM

For Pennsylvania

Trump currently has 2,954,221 votes.
Biden currently has 2,282,671 votes.

There are 1,841,305 ballots remaining. For Biden to win PA, he will have to win about 68.3% of those. Is there a shot of that happening?

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9 replies	Author	Time	Post
For Pennsylvania (Original post)	GaYellowDawg	Nov 2020	OP
Pennsylvania	rso	Nov 2020	#1
70-30 split very likely	Loki Liesmith	Nov 2020	#2
Pittsburgh and philly remain so yes.	MissB	Nov 2020	#3
Absolutely! And GA, and NC and MI Votes are still being counted.!	Boogiemack	Nov 2020	#4
Biden is likely to win 90% of the Philly votes	VMA131Marine	Nov 2020	#5
I'm getting 63.5%, which is doable. NT	Bleacher Creature	Nov 2020	#6
I think it is number four on probability of going to Biden now	exboyfil	Nov 2020	#7
I think those are just the in person election day ballots, right?	Salviati	Nov 2020	#8
The outstanding ballots breakdown:	intrepidity	Nov 2020	#9

Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

rso (1,672 posts)

1. Pennsylvania

I’m afraid our only path at this time is to win Michigan and Wisconsin, and then we squeak by barely.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

Loki Liesmith (4,582 posts)

2. 70-30 split very likely

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

MissB (15,164 posts)

3. Pittsburgh and philly remain so yes.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:45 AM

Boogiemack (1,406 posts)

4. Absolutely! And GA, and NC and MI Votes are still being counted.!

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:46 AM

VMA131Marine (3,552 posts)

5. Biden is likely to win 90% of the Philly votes

Republicans famously claimed fraud in 2012 because there were precincts were Romney got zero votes.

These are also absentee ballots which lean even more heavily to Democrats.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:48 AM

Bleacher Creature (10,890 posts)

6. I'm getting 63.5%, which is doable. NT

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:49 AM

exboyfil (17,201 posts)

7. I think it is number four on probability of going to Biden now

Georgia looks good. We need any two of WI, MI, GA, and PA assuming NV is a win.

NC could lead to a tie if it is combined with WI. Combine it with any of the other three, then it is a win.

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:49 AM

Salviati (5,731 posts)

8. I think those are just the in person election day ballots, right?

There are 2.5 million outstanding mail in ballots that aren't supposed to start being counted until tomorrow, and Democrats hold a 1.1 million vote advantage over the republicans in terms of returned ballots.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

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Response to GaYellowDawg (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:51 AM

intrepidity (4,627 posts)

9. The outstanding ballots breakdown:

1.6M (D)
0.6M (R)

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