As for MI, WI and PA - Which do we have the best shot at and which the worst?

[Quixote1818]

What are the latest projections?

Thanks

[MyNameIsKhan]

1. I am nervous about PA the most.... WI and MI looks reachable

[intrepidity]

13. Im most confident about PA, lol nt

[LovingA2andMI]

14. Would NOT bank on Michigan....

At this point. Wisconsin - Shaky AF.

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. I am trying to figure that out. the WI numbers are moving in a good direction.

No idea what's going on with MI and PA.

But if we get GA and NV, we won't need all three, I think (getting too tired to do math!)

[Hyper_Eye]

7. If we win GA, NE-2 (called), AZ, NV then we only need one of those.

Wisconsin is the smallest number of EC and also looks good for us. Here is the map in that case:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/wZrwJ

[mr_lebowski]

9. GA means we only need either MI or PA. WI alone would not do it.

Assuming we hold NV and AZ.

[TheRealNorth]

15. WI is a bit of a mixed bag at this point

Trump is adding some margin to his totals from 2016 in a lot of rural counties and/or small to-mid-size cities. Dane Co. has apparently added around a 50,000 vote margin to Biden compared to 2016. It looks like Biden may have cut into Trump's advantage slightly in Waukesha Co and Ozaukee Co, but this was somewhat offset by an increased margin in Washington Co.

It mostly will come down to the early votes in Milwaukee Co. But there are still some mid-size counties (Brown, Kenosha, Racine, Eau Claire) that if I remember correctly from 2018 also reported late and helped Evers against Walker.

But this is probably going to be a lot closer than the polling indicated. Trump has already managed to squeeze more votes out of WI than he did in 2016.

[DonaldsRump]

3. We will win all three.

We won MN handily and OH and IA was much closer than in 2016. That is an excellent leading indicator for MI, PA, and WI.

[ChoppinBroccoli]

4. I Love Joe's Chances In PA

Because there are MASSIVE uncounted votes, ALL from heavily Democratic areas. And when I say heavy, I mean like 80% Democratic or more. That's MILLIONS of votes still uncounted.

Joe's winning all three.

[intrepidity]

16. Same. 1.6M (D) ballots vs 0.6M (R) ballots nt

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Biden will win PA & WI. Michigan is looking good too.

[Bleacher Creature]

8. Weren't you down on PA a little while ago?

If so, happy to see you feeling more optimistic. There's a ton of votes still left in that state.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. I edited my post. My math was wrong.

[Bleacher Creature]

11. Cool. Thanks.

[mr_lebowski]

6. We basically need any combination of 2 of them ...

OR we need GA + either MI or PA.

That's assuming NV and AZ go in Joe's column which looks good.

[Orange Buffoon]

17. That's incorrect.

If we win Georgia, then any one of the three will get us to 270--Wisconsin's 10 will land us right on the nose at 270.

[GoCubsGo]

12. Biden has a good shot at all three.

The heavily-populated, blue areas, like Detroit, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, and Philly are all taking longer to count.