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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:12 AM

NYT needle moves Georgia to tilt Biden

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2020ģion=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

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Arrow 27 replies Author Time Post
Reply NYT needle moves Georgia to tilt Biden (Original post)
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 OP
PTWB Nov 2020 #1
msongs Nov 2020 #2
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #4
DrToast Nov 2020 #3
C_eh_N_eh_D_eh Nov 2020 #5
DrToast Nov 2020 #7
Blue_true Nov 2020 #16
Blue_true Nov 2020 #17
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #20
tishaLA Nov 2020 #6
Roland99 Nov 2020 #8
onetexan Nov 2020 #9
Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #11
onetexan Nov 2020 #14
CousinIT Nov 2020 #10
Roland99 Nov 2020 #12
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #13
Roland99 Nov 2020 #15
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #18
Tom Rivers Nov 2020 #19
fishwax Nov 2020 #21
Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #22
fishwax Nov 2020 #23
Roland99 Nov 2020 #24
Roland99 Nov 2020 #25
Roland99 Nov 2020 #26
Roland99 Nov 2020 #27

Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:13 AM

1. There's a lot of votes in Atlanta that couldn't be counted.

Itís possible, but man itís gonna be tight.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:13 AM

2. nyt account required nt

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Response to msongs (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:15 AM

4. I don't have one

And I can access them.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:14 AM

3. WTF? I hope they provide an explanation

That would be nuts!


?s=20

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Response to DrToast (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:16 AM

5. They have.

A major poll counting station in Atlanta had a burst pipe. Didn't damage any ballots, but it put them way behind schedule.

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Response to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:17 AM

7. Wow...that's nuts.

But as I'm playing with the map, it probably doesn't mean much.

GA doesn't seem like it would be a tipping point.

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Response to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)


Response to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:25 AM

17. Something like 500,000 uncounted ballots in Fulton County alone.

A second big blue county was late reporting another 500,000 votes and I believe won't do so until tomorrow.

I wonder whether the unreported votes also changes the Senate races?

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:29 AM

20. I would expect so n/t

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:17 AM

6. graphic




Hello, Georgia!

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:19 AM

8. protect those ballots!!

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:20 AM

9. teehee..the night gets stranger by the minute

Hope is alive & well!!

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Response to onetexan (Reply #9)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:21 AM

11. Reminds me of 2018. Everyone was freaking out then late at night EVERYTHING began to shift to the

Dems.

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Response to Quixote1818 (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:24 AM

14. exactly! As i've said earlier, we are close to a 50/50 nation (50 crazies/50 sensibles)

General elections mostly will be tight down to the wire

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:21 AM

10. 53% trump, 80% votes in. n/t

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:22 AM

12. IF we take GA after all, it's still possible for over 300 EVs!!

Take GA, PA, MI, WI, NV and NE-2!

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:24 AM

13. Good point

And I think they will win them all.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:25 AM

15. needle moved more! now at 67% (instead of 62%)

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #15)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:26 AM

18. Woo hoo!

Joe Biden - Mr. 300!

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:27 AM

19. Is a reverse of 2016 possible?

Needle looked strong for HRC early in a lot of places, then crashed and slowly slipped to Trump. The opposite appears to be happening. I'm still very hopeful, we've got a long way to go folks!

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:30 AM

21. Carville on MSNBC said he still felt pretty confident about Georgia

I'm trying not to keep my hopes too high ... gotta keep an even keel here

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Response to fishwax (Reply #21)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:32 AM

22. I know but I feel a helluva better than an hour ago

Lotsa doom and gloom here. But I think Biden will win, maybe by tomorrow.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Reply #22)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:33 AM

23. so my basic prediction earlier today was that Arizona and North Carolina would put Joe over the top

looks like it may be Arizona and Georgia (or Arizona and NE-2) instead. And I'm okay with being wrong, if that's the case.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:02 AM

24. Needle back to 56% as more ED votes have come in. GA at 84% in

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #24)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:22 AM

25. needle at 62%. 85% of precincts in

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #25)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:39 AM

26. 118,000 vote difference. 91% of precincts. NYT Needle at 59%

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:52 AM

27. when Dekalb is 100%, that should cut Biden's deficit by about 58,000 votes

Would leave 60k difference and there's still a 400k+ out in Fulton that's running 3:1 for Biden

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