# General Discussion

Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums# So which state do you think will have the closest % margin (regardless of who wins)?

In 2016 it was NH, MI, WI, and PA (all under 1% margin).

Right now the prediction market is calling the top 3 as PA, OH, and FL although tied with only 13% chance each (at the time of this post). The fact that there is no clear frontrunner and nobody over 13% is another way of saying nobody knows for sure.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6687/Which-state-will-be-won-by-the-smallest-margin-in-the-presidential-election

What are your thoughts?

**19 replies**= new reply since forum marked as read

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#### Lochloosa

(15,846 posts)#### DanieRains

(4,619 posts)#### Tribetime

(4,457 posts)North Carolina 5th Arizona 6th.....all states for Joe

#### sfstaxprep

(9,998 posts)#### Buckeye_Democrat

(14,814 posts)It's been on a razor's edge for many weeks in the polls.

#### happybird

(4,109 posts)#### NoMoreRepugs

(8,847 posts)#### BainsBane

(52,916 posts)I think Trump will do there. I only hope he doesn't win, but it is a distinct possibility

We can, however ,win without Florida.

#### Buckeye_Democrat

(14,814 posts)... after 2000 and 2004 are far in the lead so far.

about favorites.

#### MoonlitKnight

(1,584 posts)But I hope we pull away tomorrow and never look back.

#### gopiscrap

(23,488 posts)#### roamer65

(36,622 posts)#### Withywindle

(9,986 posts)#### doc03

(34,280 posts)#### greenjar_01

(6,477 posts)Biden 2,806,500 50%

Trump 2,734,500 48.8%

60,000 or so on others.

#### Vivienne235729

(3,312 posts)Go w AZ to go blue before FL. But I think FL will go blue before OH.

#### PTWB

(4,131 posts)#### Statistical

(19,264 posts)#### PTWB

(4,131 posts)If we can’t hope for the best after seeing 4 years of this train wreck, when can we?

I want to believe in my fellow Americans.