Sun Nov 1, 2020, 10:12 PM

No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down.

Hello.

For you old timers out there, you'll remember my calling the election mere days before the results (2008 and 2012). I did not do 2016 because I honestly didn't know what to make of the election and I didn't want to taint my 2-0 record.

But I'm gonna go all out on this and risk that undefeated record by giving you election night returns.

If you'd like, you can view my past election prediction posts here:

2008

2012

No jinx - no bravado. Just fun.

And off we go...

7:00 Eastern:

Polls close in the following states:

Georgia
Indiana
Kentucky
South Carolina
Virginia
Vermont

Of course, the big prize of this hour will be Georgia and there will be A LOT of talk about Georgia - what the turnout is, a mix of phone and polling location exit polls and how vital this state will be to President Trump's reelection. We will not get a call, obviously, as the networks will claim it's too close to call.

Indiana and South Carolina will be categorized as 'too early to call' but with a Trump lead.

Kentucky will be called for Trump and Vermont for Biden.

Virginia will be categorized as 'too early to call' but with a Biden lead.

At 7:03, Trump has 8 electoral votes to Biden's 3.

Around 7:30, Indiana is called for Trump.

That gives Trump 19 electoral votes to Biden's 3.

At 7:30 Eastern, polls close in the following states:

North Carolina
Ohio
West Virginia

Trump is declared the winner in West Virginia.

North Carolina and Ohio will be classified as 'too close to call'.

Trump has 24 electoral votes to Biden's 3.

As we close in on 8:00, South Carolina is called for Trump - giving him 33 electoral votes to Biden's 3. Of course, it looks and feels like a lopsided Trump win but...

8:00 Eastern:

Polls close in the following states:

Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Mississippi
Missouri
New Hampshire
New Jersey
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Tennessee
Washington, D.C.

Trump is declared the winner in:

Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Biden is declared the winner in:

Connecticut
Delaware (HIS HOME STATE!)
Illinois
Maine (3 of 4 EV)
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Washington, D.C.

Florida, which has now been counting ballots for an hour (most the state closes at 7 but networks won't make any level of a projection until 8:00 when the panhandle closes at 8:00), is too close to call - as is Pennsylvania.

New Hampshire is 'too early to call' but with a Biden lead.

Missouri is 'too early to call' but with a Trump lead.

Biden has now taken the lead in the Electoral College: 78 to 66.

About an hour and a half after polls have closed, Virginia is called for Biden around 8:30 pm. That gives him 91 electoral votes.

The states that are either too early or too close to call at this hour:

Georgia
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Missouri
Florida
New Hampshire

As well as the 2nd Congressional District in Maine.

8:30 Eastern:

Arkansas closes and Trump is declared the winner.

Biden has 91 Electoral Votes to Trump's 72.

Right before 9:00, Missouri is called for Trump.

That gives him 82 Electoral Votes.

9:00 Eastern Time:

Polls have closed in the following states:

Arizona
Colorado
Kansas
Louisiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Nebraska
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota
South Dakota
Texas
Wisconsin
Wyoming

Trump is declared the winner in:

Kansas
Louisiana
Nebraska (4 of 5 EV)
North Dakota
South Dakota
Wyoming

Biden is declared the winner in:

New York

Minnesota, New Mexico and Colorado are 'too early to call' but with a Biden lead.

Arizona is too close to call.

Michigan is too close to call, but a good amount of the state will have already started as a chunk of the state's polls closed an hour prior (similar to Florida).

Wisconsin is too close to call.

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District is 'too early to call' but with a Biden lead.

So, shortly after the 9:00 hour, Biden has 120 Electoral Votes and Trump has 109 - with 203 not yet called.

At this point, the election is going to start taking shape. Florida should mostly be in, I'd say around 80-90% counted, and there's going to be a narrative at play here - and we'll also see it in North Carolina and Georgia. It's at this hour that it becomes apparent Biden is winning where he needs to in Georgia and North Carolina but it's still too close to call in either state.

Biden is also strong in Ohio, though any lead he may have, built on the back of mail-in ballots, is iffy at best.

Steve Kornacki on MSNBC says, "I would much rather be in the Delaware camp right now than those sitting in the White House."

Trump tweets I AM WINNING BIG IN PENNSYLVANIA

He is not, in fact, winning big in Pennsylvania. In fact, in a twist, with Philadelphia and its suburbs, along with Alleghany County, reporting mail-in ballots at a faster than expected clip, Biden is actually staving off a red wave there.

But there's still uncertainty.
By 9:30 Eastern Time, Colorado is called for Biden. Shortly after, so is New Hampshire.

"Top Republicans admit that Donald Trump is not performing at the rate he needs to win 270 electoral votes, despite the President's claiming otherwise."

The betting markets have Biden a 90% chance of winning the presidency based on outstanding state totals.

10:00 Eastern:

Polls close in the following states:

Iowa
Montana
Nevada
Utah

Iowa is 'too close to call'.

Montana and Utah are 'too early to call' but with a Trump lead.

Nevada is 'too early to call' but with a Biden lead.

There are 211 Electoral Votes still not called (and that isn't even counting the 85 that are still being decided in states where polls haven't closed).

Biden leads 133 to Trump's 109.

Trump tweets: I WILL WIN!

Shortly after 10:00 Eastern Time, Biden is declared the winner in Minnesota and New Mexico. He's now at 148 Electoral Votes.

Right before poll close on the west coast, Trump is declared the winner in Utah.

11:00 Eastern:

Polls have closed in the following states:

California
Idaho
Oregon
Washington

Trump is declared the winner in Idaho.

Biden is declared the winner in:

California
Oregon
Washington

Biden is now at 222 Electoral Votes. Trump 119.

At 11:30 Eastern, we have a big call to make. North Carolina has gone for Joe Biden. Biden is also declared the winner in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. Netting him one vote.

Biden now has 238 Electoral Votes.

"The feeling in Delaware is very positive - they think they have the votes to win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania," MSNBC announces.

"The Trump Team has gone quiet, refusing to grant any interviews to the media," FOX reports.

At 11:45, Montana is called for Trump.

Nevada then breaks for Biden.

Biden now has 244 Electoral Votes to Trump's 122.

12:00 Eastern

Polls have closed in Hawaii. Biden is declared the winner.

BREAKING: MICHIGAN HAS BEEN CALLED FOR JOE BIDEN.

Joe Biden is now six Electoral Votes away from the presidency - leading Trump 264 to 122.

12:10 Eastern Time:

WE HAVE A MAJOR PROJECTION TO MAKE:

Joe Biden has won the state of Wisconsin. With their 10 Electoral Votes, Joe Biden has surpassed the 270 needed to be projected the President-Elect of the United States.

Trump tweets: FAKE NEWS! NOT ALL THE VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED! HOW CAN THE MEDIA DECLARE BIDEN THE WINNER WHEN THERE ARE STILL VOTES LEFT TO BE COUNTED? FRAUD!

"Republicans are urging President Trump to concede to Joe Biden," reports ABC News. However, "the President is not expected to concede the results."

"Speaking with a Trump campaign official, they claim they will fight for the integrity of the election process and make sure every valid vote is counted and those invalid votes are tossed - this election is not over."

BIDEN TO SPEAK TO THE NATION AS TRUMP REFUSES TO CONCEDE

TRUMP, IN FRENZIED WHITE HOUSE SPEECH, CLAIMS BIDEN'S VICTORY MAY BE RESULT OF FRAUD, WILL INVESTIGATE IN COMING DAYS

At 12:45 Eastern, Biden is declared the winner in Georgia, giving him 290 Electoral Votes.

And that is where we'll leave it - with 123 Electoral Votes up for grabs.

Biden leads in Pennsylvania and Arizona. Trump barely leads in Ohio and Iowa, while Texas and Florida are too close to call.

It won't matter - Biden is the victor.

233 replies, 30701 views

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233 replies	Author	Time	Post
No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down. (Original post)	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	OP
Sounds good to me. Whatever happened	AkFemDem	Nov 2020	#1
As a non Georgian	AkFemDem	Nov 2020	#2
Popping the champagne already! n/t	moonscape	Nov 2020	#86
As a Georgian,	klook	Nov 2020	#165
He says 12:45, Georgia called for Biden.	Captain Zero	Nov 2020	#27
Yay!	AkFemDem	Nov 2020	#36
Michigan	DownriverDem	Nov 2020	#157
michigan	pamdb	Nov 2020	#194
michigan	pamdb	Nov 2020	#195
Dang, it's like I was there!	AleksS	Nov 2020	#3
This message was self-deleted by its author	Catcar	Nov 2020	#4
sounds perfect!!!!!	Demsrule86	Nov 2020	#5
I feel like I just read	TxDemChem	Nov 2020	#6
me too thanks I needed that	ace3csusm	Nov 2020	#74
We'll see how this shakes out on Tuesday	MustLoveBeagles	Nov 2020	#7
Great fun, thanks! nt	babylonsister	Nov 2020	#8
Bookmarking this	Ananda62	Nov 2020	#9
Bookmarked!	gristy	Nov 2020	#10
Now I need a smoke.	Hassin Bin Sober	Nov 2020	#11
"This isn't a hospital! It's an insane asylum!"	louis-t	Nov 2020	#162
Bookmarked! This will make it more fun.	JohnnyLib2	Nov 2020	#12
PA & MI won't be called to Wednesday	Trenzalore	Nov 2020	#13
MI passed a law this year allowing counties with populations bigger than 25,000 to start processing	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#21
Did you see 60 Minutes sun night?	NJCher	Nov 2020	#116
Arizona will have a lot of ballots counted...	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#119
I think Philadelphia is going to report as much as it can as fast as it can	WSHazel	Nov 2020	#85
That was intense.	crickets	Nov 2020	#14
I think you'll be right.	C_U_L8R	Nov 2020	#15
12:10am is perfect re: its tweet	Roland99	Nov 2020	#16
And I bet this becomes the most bookmarked thread ever at DU!	Roland99	Nov 2020	#17
Wow	bdamomma	Nov 2020	#18
Shit - so was I.	calimary	Nov 2020	#40
Bookmarked. :)	TwilightZone	Nov 2020	#19
Please, please, please crow as soon as you are proven correct	Ferrets are Cool	Nov 2020	#20
Brilliant, D.I. Very entertaining. Thanks for doing this.	brush	Nov 2020	#22
Nope. MI and Wi will be called for Biden by 11:00 Eastern.	My Pet Orangutan	Nov 2020	#23
Thanks for the well-thought-out projection. Encouraging.	Nitram	Nov 2020	#24
9:00 AM Eastern, dem4decades pops a bottle of champagne with his wife.	dem4decades	Nov 2020	#25
Thank you for assuring me in advance, if Biden is down 33 to 3	Mr. Ected	Nov 2020	#26
If it goes like this so will buy you a bottle of scotch	SoonerPride	Nov 2020	#28
love it!	samnsara	Nov 2020	#29
That was very enjoyable! Thank you!	liberalla	Nov 2020	#30
AND not to mention, but Biden will have a HUGE popular vote victory.	Captain Zero	Nov 2020	#31
Impressive ! Thank you!	apcalc	Nov 2020	#32
That's great - nice job, very entertaining read, thanks. Without as much detail.....	George II	Nov 2020	#33
MI - 95% Biden, WI - 93% Biden (538) Called by 11PM .	My Pet Orangutan	Nov 2020	#34
Damned if that doesn't sound incredibly plausible to me	Silent3	Nov 2020	#35
I know this sounds ridiculous..but by 9pm ET the election will be called for Biden.	Stuart G	Nov 2020	#37
The networks will wait until the polls close on the west coast	PoindexterOglethorpe	Nov 2020	#47
Wow!!! This was so exciting!! Bookmarked	Olafjoy	Nov 2020	#38
Wow	ColoradoBlue	Nov 2020	#39
Welcome to DU, ColoradoBlue!	calimary	Nov 2020	#45
Outstanding, reasonable and entertaining. One question	grantcart	Nov 2020	#41
That's a really beautiful time machine you got there.	Mystery sage	Nov 2020	#42
Well thought out. But even if not exactly right, we have other paths to victory.	Stinky The Clown	Nov 2020	#43
You make as much sense as about anything else I've seen.	Liberal In Texas	Nov 2020	#44
I hope they are wrong about	cannabis_flower	Nov 2020	#129
Me, too, cannabis_flower. I hope Texas blows trump out of the race, and dems take	BComplex	Nov 2020	#152
Bookmarked	LostinRed	Nov 2020	#46
I hope so.	IronLionZion	Nov 2020	#48
thanks for all this. It will be helpful on election night	Hamlette	Nov 2020	#49
From your lips to God's ears. nt	SunSeeker	Nov 2020	#50
I won't be home until 10:30pm so I won't be able to watch the results until then.	IrishEyes	Nov 2020	#51
BOOKMARKED and Wow (Truly impressive And a tad obsessive)...	Ellipsis	Nov 2020	#52
Pennsylvania will def. go for Biden	FakeNoose	Nov 2020	#198
I got chills when I got to 12:10 in your projection	mikelgb	Nov 2020	#53
Virginia will be called at 7. We've been	Rice4VP	Nov 2020	#54
You may well be right, but in the past the largest county didn't report its	spooky3	Nov 2020	#57
That was fun! nt	cry baby	Nov 2020	#55
Reads like a thriller. Great job.	Pepsidog	Nov 2020	#56
You put a helluva lot of work into this-- thank you!!	ailsagirl	Nov 2020	#58
Thanks. I'll remember not to freak out early on.	nolabear	Nov 2020	#59
Bookmarked.	MontanaMama	Nov 2020	#60
I'll be in bed by 7	cilla4progress	Nov 2020	#64
I told my guys that	MontanaMama	Nov 2020	#69
Sweet, thank you!	cilla4progress	Nov 2020	#80
Universe be with your girl.	MontanaMama	Nov 2020	#83
I know.	cilla4progress	Nov 2020	#94
So sorry to hear this.	ancianita	Nov 2020	#102
So far,	cilla4progress	Nov 2020	#202
I went to bed early last time and	BrightKnight	Nov 2020	#199
Hey! You're not drunk all the time, are you!	dchill	Nov 2020	#61
Brilliant exposition and lucid thinking. Muchas gracias! nt	Prof.Higgins	Nov 2020	#62
OMG! I hope you are psychic...	MoonchildCA	Nov 2020	#63
Wow, that was fun to read!	liberal_mama	Nov 2020	#65
Oh, I do hope so! Thank you for all this work. Meanwhile, phonebanking.	somaticexperiencing	Nov 2020	#66
Well done DI ! Saved to savor again in two days.	FailureToCommunicate	Nov 2020	#67
Great analysis	Poiuyt	Nov 2020	#68
Ok w me!	lindysalsagal	Nov 2020	#70
Epic post! You made Mr. Giblets cry tears of joy, not an easy feat.	flibbitygiblets	Nov 2020	#71
Bookmarked!	Mme. Defarge	Nov 2020	#72
Bookmarked	HubertHeaver	Nov 2020	#73
This is an exciting read...	Trueblue Texan	Nov 2020	#75
great level of detail	AlexSFCA	Nov 2020	#76
49 hours til President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris!	Roland99	Nov 2020	#77
I could hear Brian William's voice as I read it.	SharonClark	Nov 2020	#78
Sounds good, but you forgot....	cbdo2007	Nov 2020	#79
Nikki will never be approved by congress.	HubertHeaver	Nov 2020	#99
Recommended.	H2O Man	Nov 2020	#81
This message was self-deleted by its author	lunatica	Nov 2020	#82
New Mexico's 3 EVs will be called for Biden around 10 pm EST, possibly earlier. Bank on it. n/t	TygrBright	Nov 2020	#84
NM has 5 EV's not 3 but I agree it will be called very early after polls close there. nt	Quixote1818	Nov 2020	#118
Very cool.	Joinfortmill	Nov 2020	#87
Damn you!	SCantiGOP	Nov 2020	#88
Works for me	world wide wally	Nov 2020	#89
That is one thorough and well-considered breakdown.	BobTheSubgenius	Nov 2020	#90
Well done!	Jon King	Nov 2020	#91
Riveting! Followed your timeline, state by state analysis --Biden wins--damn going to be quite	RestoreAmerica2020	Nov 2020	#92
Bookmarked	Tom Rivers	Nov 2020	#93
Bookmarked	JohnnyRingo	Nov 2020	#95
Nice work	WSHazel	Nov 2020	#96
Texas count will essentially be done before midnight.	yellowdogintexas	Nov 2020	#125
I predict that Trump will lose in a landslide, 413-125. Trump will declare victory anyway.	StevieM	Nov 2020	#97
Book marked	burrowowl	Nov 2020	#98
K & R !!! Excellent analysis !!! nt	Progressive Jones	Nov 2020	#100
I just want to get home before the cult starts shooting up the place.	AllyCat	Nov 2020	#101
Wow! That was wonderful!	lucca18	Nov 2020	#103
Here's hoping	sakabatou	Nov 2020	#104
As the Emperor told Luke, "So be it, Jedi!" I've bookmarked this post for	PatrickforO	Nov 2020	#105
Dam that's some good work.	njhoneybadger	Nov 2020	#106
Kick.	Iggo	Nov 2020	#107
I'm visualizing it...	Blue Owl	Nov 2020	#108
This sounds right.	coti	Nov 2020	#109
Here's my off the wall prediction:	TryLogic	Nov 2020	#110
Not to Russia: Too much Polonium there. More like Saudi Arabia or the UAE (Dubai or Abu Dhabi).	Lock him up.	Nov 2020	#111
Your killing me	MFM008	Nov 2020	#112
Well, you know I gotta bookmark this for Tuesday, glad I won't be up late on the West Coast. Nt	Fiendish Thingy	Nov 2020	#113
DI - I look forward to looking at your prognostication Tues nite!!	NoMoreRepugs	Nov 2020	#114
Thanks, DI! That's it. I can't be exhausted twice in one week so I'm going with your prediction.	ancianita	Nov 2020	#115
My plan, exactly!	cilla4progress	Nov 2020	#178
Wow. Extraordinarily impressive that you pulled this together	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#117
Picking up some Guinness for Tues and bookmarking this..	HipChick	Nov 2020	#120
Bookmarking! And even though I am on the West Coast, I plan to stay up quite late!	CaliforniaPeggy	Nov 2020	#121
I think Florida will be declared sooner.	AmericanCanuck	Nov 2020	#122
Nope.	James48	Nov 2020	#123
Na. We will. Only way we don't is if Biden loses GA, FL & NC...	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#124
Not Really	smb	Nov 2020	#201
Impressive!	honest.abe	Nov 2020	#126
A friendly reminder about celebratory libations (some are better than others) ...	Hermit-The-Prog	Nov 2020	#127
Thank you for this.	niyad	Nov 2020	#131
Great analysis!!	SweetieD	Nov 2020	#128
Bookmarking	niyad	Nov 2020	#130
Trump rally today in North Carolina sets tone for his sinking campaign	srose58089	Nov 2020	#132
This will be fun to follow. Thanks for the hard work!	UCmeNdc	Nov 2020	#133
This is great...one exception...	634-5789	Nov 2020	#134
Now that's what I call	rizlaplus	Nov 2020	#135
I hope so	LeftInTX	Nov 2020	#136
I'm keeping this thread open in my tabs.	GoneOffShore	Nov 2020	#137
Nice work DI!	panader0	Nov 2020	#138
Very exciting narrative! Thanks for sharing that!	NurseJackie	Nov 2020	#139
Wow that was a lot of crystal ball work!	bucolic_frolic	Nov 2020	#140
Love it!	ucrdem	Nov 2020	#141
thanks nice work	scarytomcat	Nov 2020	#142
It would be fun to run this as an Election Results thread	jimlup	Nov 2020	#143
Slainte!	Roisin Ni Fiachra	Nov 2020	#144
Wait a minute, what about the other states?	jaxexpat	Nov 2020	#145
Bookmarked! I think Florida will be called between 11-12.	Pacifist Patriot	Nov 2020	#146
This is an amazing post - brilliant	DIVINEprividence	Nov 2020	#147
And they all lived happily ever after. 😊😊😊	dixiechiken1	Nov 2020	#148
I appreciate your efforts	TNNurse	Nov 2020	#149
This could be your first journal entry.	Mosby	Nov 2020	#150
Counting on you going 3 for 3...	icnorth	Nov 2020	#151
How do you download into a text file?	BarbD	Nov 2020	#181
Happy that Wisconsin puts him over.	Borchkins	Nov 2020	#153
I'll see it when I wake up in the moring. Or the mid-evening bathroom break	oldsoftie	Nov 2020	#154
I think your assessment fails on the West Coast	brooklynite	Nov 2020	#155
This seems like a realistic scenario	mcar	Nov 2020	#156
Here's DI's map as of 12:45 AM election night	honest.abe	Nov 2020	#158
This is Great. I hope you're right	Beringia	Nov 2020	#159
Thank you - now I can tune out on Tuesday night.	Merlot	Nov 2020	#160
Love it!	ariesgem	Nov 2020	#161
I hope you are right and	yuiyoshida	Nov 2020	#163
Thanks for saving me from watching all that. LOL! n/t	Zing Zing Zingbah	Nov 2020	#164
You left out: "At 7:04, Trump declares victory"	zaj	Nov 2020	#166
AM or PM? nt	smb	Nov 2020	#203
hahaha!	zaj	Nov 2020	#204
Seeing As How	RobinA	Nov 2020	#167
Make it so!	Proud Liberal Dem	Nov 2020	#168
I sure as hell hope you are right!!	Aviation91	Nov 2020	#169
You forgot to add that Trump after Republicans fail to have Trump concede.	LiberalFighter	Nov 2020	#170
And then go SPLAT down onto the ground below.	calimary	Nov 2020	#174
Great scenario.	BarbD	Nov 2020	#182
Printed this out with check marks to use as my cheatsheet	lettucebe	Nov 2020	#171
Thank you!	wryter2000	Nov 2020	#172
I feel the need to bookmark this one.	calimary	Nov 2020	#173
I'm not planning on watching TV at all Tuesday evening and night	Catherine Vincent	Nov 2020	#175
Wow, you put a lot of effort into that	PatSeg	Nov 2020	#176
Fabulous	malaise	Nov 2020	#177
Fascinating Analysis	COL Mustard	Nov 2020	#179
⭐️⭐️⭐️K&R ⭐️⭐️⭐️	spanone	Nov 2020	#180
Thank you - bookmarked - k&r nt	Clearly fogged in	Nov 2020	#183
I'd love this so much that	GOPBasher	Nov 2020	#184
Not seeing it ...	Rob_NC	Nov 2020	#185
Just curious, how many Presidential election night returns have you seen?	Roc2020	Nov 2020	#186
If I heard the news correctly, Arizona has already started	ChazII	Nov 2020	#187
So, with your detailed play-by-play, I can actually start drinking now.	JustABozoOnThisBus	Nov 2020	#188
kicking for visibility	bdamomma	Nov 2020	#189
K&R nt	Javaman	Nov 2020	#190
Bookmarked. I won't know what they comment on tv as I am doing on line only	robbedvoter	Nov 2020	#191
bookmarking	angel823	Nov 2020	#192
made me laugh	CountryFirst	Nov 2020	#193
I'll go ahead and call Florida for Biden now absolutely smoking Trump.	Ligyron	Nov 2020	#196
Kick	USALiberal	Nov 2020	#197
Man that was so much fun reading	proud patriot	Nov 2020	#200
What's your prediction on the final number of EV's and spread?	Polybius	Nov 2020	#205
I hope your prognosis is correct. I don't think	akbacchus_BC	Nov 2020	#206
Bookmarking for later. n/t	Yavin4	Nov 2020	#207
Kickety kick	Roland99	Nov 2020	#208
Kick	USALiberal	Nov 2020	#209
Kickin' (n/t)	Lock him up.	Nov 2020	#210
Using it as a template: so far, ahead with Virginis being called for Biden	robbedvoter	Nov 2020	#211
See? Ahead	robbedvoter	Nov 2020	#213
So far, so good!	RexLipton	Nov 2020	#212
Kick	Clearly fogged in	Nov 2020	#214
Amazing!	karin_sj	Nov 2020	#215
Predicted at 8:30 EST : Biden-91, Trump-66. Actual : Biden-85, Trump-55.	bullwinkle428	Nov 2020	#216
I am going to be off tonight, unfortunately. Biden is underperforming what I expected.	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#218
Improvement: NM is called for Biden	robbedvoter	Nov 2020	#217
My respect grows with each passing moment!	dchill	Nov 2020	#219
Improvement: Colorado called for Biden by 🦊	robbedvoter	Nov 2020	#220
You're pretty much on the timeline	csziggy	Nov 2020	#221
Yes but I was way off with important calls: Biden winning North Carolina & Michigan being called.	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#222
Bummer. But why isn't he going to win if he pulls out MI WI and PA?	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#223
Because they're not going to be called tonight.	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#224
Ok. But there's no way trump's hate rallies could erase the leads	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#225
Can Biden win w/o AZ?	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#226
He'll win Arizona. I am less confident about the rustbelt states.	Drunken Irishman	Nov 2020	#227
If he steals I think he'll steal WI. Just because I heard him	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#228
Trump is always one step ahead.	UCmeNdc	Nov 2020	#229
I always get flamed for saying this but sometimes I am	Laura PourMeADrink	Nov 2020	#233
It is how he wins. The media communicates to his people on the ground how to act in unison.	UCmeNdc	Nov 2020	#230
It all comes back to PA	UCmeNdc	Nov 2020	#231
You were closer than some of the "experts"	Ferrets are Cool	Nov 2020	#232

Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Sun Nov 1, 2020, 10:18 PM

AkFemDem (975 posts)

1. Sounds good to me. Whatever happened

To Georgia though?

No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down.

1. Sounds good to me. Whatever happened

2. As a non Georgian

86. Popping the champagne already! n/t

165. As a Georgian,

27. He says 12:45, Georgia called for Biden.

36. Yay!

157. Michigan

194. michigan

195. michigan

3. Dang, it's like I was there!

5. sounds perfect!!!!!

6. I feel like I just read

74. me too thanks I needed that

7. We'll see how this shakes out on Tuesday

8. Great fun, thanks! nt

9. Bookmarking this

10. Bookmarked!

11. Now I need a smoke.

162. "This isn't a hospital! It's an insane asylum!"

12. Bookmarked! This will make it more fun.

13. PA & MI won't be called to Wednesday

21. MI passed a law this year allowing counties with populations bigger than 25,000 to start processing

116. Did you see 60 Minutes sun night?

119. Arizona will have a lot of ballots counted...

85. I think Philadelphia is going to report as much as it can as fast as it can

14. That was intense.

15. I think you'll be right.

16. 12:10am is perfect re: its tweet

17. And I bet this becomes the most bookmarked thread ever at DU!

18. Wow

40. Shit - so was I.

19. Bookmarked. :)

20. Please, please, please crow as soon as you are proven correct

22. Brilliant, D.I. Very entertaining. Thanks for doing this.

23. Nope. MI and Wi will be called for Biden by 11:00 Eastern.

24. Thanks for the well-thought-out projection. Encouraging.

25. 9:00 AM Eastern, dem4decades pops a bottle of champagne with his wife.

26. Thank you for assuring me in advance, if Biden is down 33 to 3

28. If it goes like this so will buy you a bottle of scotch

29. love it!

30. That was very enjoyable! Thank you!

31. AND not to mention, but Biden will have a HUGE popular vote victory.

32. Impressive ! Thank you!

33. That's great - nice job, very entertaining read, thanks. Without as much detail.....

34. MI - 95% Biden, WI - 93% Biden (538) Called by 11PM .

35. Damned if that doesn't sound incredibly plausible to me

37. I know this sounds ridiculous..but by 9pm ET the election will be called for Biden.

47. The networks will wait until the polls close on the west coast

38. Wow!!! This was so exciting!! Bookmarked

39. Wow

45. Welcome to DU, ColoradoBlue!

41. Outstanding, reasonable and entertaining. One question

42. That's a really beautiful time machine you got there.

43. Well thought out. But even if not exactly right, we have other paths to victory.

44. You make as much sense as about anything else I've seen.

129. I hope they are wrong about

152. Me, too, cannabis_flower. I hope Texas blows trump out of the race, and dems take

46. Bookmarked

48. I hope so.

49. thanks for all this. It will be helpful on election night

50. From your lips to God's ears. nt

51. I won't be home until 10:30pm so I won't be able to watch the results until then.

52. BOOKMARKED and Wow (Truly impressive And a tad obsessive)...

198. Pennsylvania will def. go for Biden

53. I got chills when I got to 12:10 in your projection

54. Virginia will be called at 7. We've been

57. You may well be right, but in the past the largest county didn't report its

55. That was fun! nt

56. Reads like a thriller. Great job.

58. You put a helluva lot of work into this-- thank you!!

59. Thanks. I'll remember not to freak out early on.

60. Bookmarked.

64. I'll be in bed by 7

69. I told my guys that

80. Sweet, thank you!

83. Universe be with your girl.

94. I know.

102. So sorry to hear this.

202. So far,