Biden at 50.1% in GEORGIA on 538. Over 50% is good.

[yellowcanine]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
(Scroll over Georgia on the winding path.

Georgia is almost as important as Ohio in defeating Trump as it has 16 EV, Ohio has 18. Either way, Trump needs both to win, assuming he does not get any 2016 Clinton states, which is a good assumption.

[mucifer]

1. That's great. But they are predicting Ossoff will lose

[Buckeye_Democrat]

2. Unbelievable!

After that last debate, I don't understand how people could still support Perdue.

[Ilsa]

3. I don't see how they support perdue, period.

It must be his "look". He tries to look like a tough, rugged cowboy character, but he's really another smarmy trumper.

[Demsrule86]

5. There will likely be a runnoff.

[jcgoldie]

8. Thats the other race.

for Loeffler's seat.

[Demsrule86]

14. Both could be runoffs my sis in Georgia tells me.

The race is close and if the libertarian could take some.

[jcgoldie]

15. Didnt realize this thx

[karynnj]

13. I wonder if that is why he is "rated" lower than what you might guess looking at just the polling

The third candidate polling very low is a libertarian. That might mean that any simulation that results in a runoff, favors Perdue because he might get those extra around 2 or 3 percent. Not to mention, they might be looking at the fact that we do comparatively better in a regular election than a runoff election - especially a regular election in a Presidential year.

The best thing to see is that the trend is in Ossoff's favor.

[jcgoldie]

6. They aren't predicting he will lose

They are saying the incumbent is still the favorite... that said its trending in the right direction and 58-42 is very much a tossup.

[edhopper]

9. The polls are at

a virtual tie.

[beachbumbob]

11. Nope, only means a runoff in January

[Silent3]

4. That makes me wonder what's been up with Ohio

Much of the rest of the area around Ohio -- PA, MI, WI -- that normally goes blue, but went to Trump in 2016, has flipped back to looking good for Democrats again. But Ohio is still hanging on right at the edge, leaning maybe a little toward Trump still.

I don't get it.

[Yavin4]

7. OH has become a Republican lean state

I don't really consider it a swing state any more.

[BumRushDaShow]

12. Many people were fed up and left

One of my BIL's is from OH and although his older sister and one of his older brothers is still there with their mom, he and his friends left long ago. I expect after the Great Recession killed the auto industry for awhile and many of the parts manufacturers were located in OH (e.g., in Dayton), those people left for greener pastures.

[bigtree]

10. over 50% is indeed a good sign

...not as much of a feature in 2016.